Pattern direction

CandlestickBullish: Short white lineBearish: Short black line

Short Line Candlestick Pattern: Meaning, Trading Rules and Tested Results

A candle with a short body and short wicks: a quiet session. Its bearish trade lost a little less than random dates on daily charts, a gap too small to pass even a simple test; here are the rules, the trade and the full results.

· Founder of PatternsWizard
Updated Statistics updated 20 min read
Short white line patternShort black line pattern

How we tested this pattern

Sample
964,555 occurrences on 6 markets (crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities), 1970 to 2026.
Detection
Found by code, never picked by hand: every match of the rule on full price history, winners and losers alike.short white line pattern: Short white body (not a doji) with short shadows.short black line pattern: Short black body (not a doji) with short shadows.
Benchmark
Each occurrence is compared with the same assets on random bars: the move 10 bars later, and a 2:1 reward-to-risk trade.
Checks
Block bootstrap and a correction for the thousands of tests we run, plus a random-walk self-test that the bench passes: on random prices, no pattern should win.
Updated
Data updated November 5, 2026, code version c2a1683f. Read the methodology · short white line pattern data (JSON) · short black line pattern data (JSON)

Every pattern's results on one sheet

The only pattern cheat sheet with tested stats: 152 patterns, what the textbook says and what really happened on 6 markets. Free PDF, sent to your inbox.

One email with the PDF, then a note when a result changes. Unsubscribe anytime. Privacy.

At a glance: what textbooks say, what we measured
Pattern
Bullish: Short white line
Occurrences tested
492,203 occurrences, all markets, daily
Textbook: price should rise after it
Too close to call · −0.04% vs the market, 10 bars
Where it did best, US stocks left out
Crypto, daily: +0.01 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
Verdict
10-bar move: Weak, below chance2:1 trade: No clear edge
Pattern
Bearish: Short black line
Occurrences tested
472,352 occurrences, all markets, daily
Textbook: price should fall after it
Too close to call · −0.04% vs the market, 10 bars
Where it did best
US stocks, daily: 0.00 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
Verdict
10-bar move: No clear edge2:1 trade: No clear edge

See the statistics

On this page
  1. What is a short line candlestick pattern?
  2. Why short line candles matter in technical analysis
  3. How to identify short line patterns on your chart
  4. Trading the short line candlestick pattern
  5. Bullish implications of short line patterns
  6. Bearish implications of short line patterns
  7. Multi-candle patterns featuring short lines
  8. How to confirm short line signals
  9. Common mistakes when trading short line candles
  10. Advanced techniques
  11. Is the short line pattern reliable?
  12. Real examples of the short line candle
  13. FAQ: the short line candlestick pattern
  14. Summary

The short line candlestick pattern is a single candle with a short real body, smaller than the average body of the previous 10 candles, and short wicks at both ends. A bullish (green or white) short line closes slightly above its opening price, a bearish (red or black) one slightly below. It describes a quiet session: neither buyers nor sellers took control, and the candle closes near where it opened.

This guide explains how to identify a short line candle on a candlestick chart, what it says about market sentiment, how it differs from the doji, the spinning top and the long line, where it appears inside other candlestick patterns, and how traders use it. It also shows what the price did next. Our test bench applied the same rule to full price history, 492,203 bullish and 472,352 bearish on daily charts alone across stocks, crypto, forex, ETFs, indices and commodities, and compared the outcome with random bars on the same assets.

What is a short line candlestick pattern?

Defining the short line candle

A short line (sometimes called a short day) is a type of candlestick whose real body, the distance between the opening price and the closing price, is small compared with recent candles. The upper and lower wicks, which mark the high and low of the period, are short too. It is a single-candlestick pattern, like the doji: it needs no prior trend and no second candle.

Definitions vary between sources. Our bench uses the rule of the open-source TA-Lib library: the body is shorter than the average of the previous 10 bodies (but not so small that the candle is a doji), and each shadow is shorter than the average shadow of those 10 candles. On geometry alone, our rule finds 86% of the bullish cases and 89% of the bearish cases TA-Lib flags.

Anatomy of a short line candle

A short line candlestick has three parts:

  • a real body that is short, but still clearly visible;
  • a short upper wick;
  • a short lower wick.

The color comes from the close. A bullish short line (a green candle) opens low and closes slightly higher; a bearish short line (a red candle) opens high and closes slightly lower. On the median daily occurrence our bench found, the whole candle spans 1.62% of price for the bullish version and 1.72% for the bearish one, or 0.57 times the average true range (ATR) of the asset. In other words, the short line is a narrow candle: its range is well below the range of an average session.

The figure below is not drawn by hand. It is the median shape of the short line candles our bench detected, with the faded candles before it and the lines of the setup we test: for a bullish short line, entry above its high, stop below its low, target at twice the risk; the mirror for a bearish one.

TPSLEntryBullish
Bullish setup on the median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)
TPSLEntryBearish
Bearish setup on the median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)

Difference between short line and long line candles

A long line candle is the opposite: a real body more than 1.3 times the average of the previous 10 bodies (1.6 times on a textbook pattern), also 1.5 times the average of the previous 50, with short wicks. It shows one side in strong control of the session, with heavy buying pressure or selling pressure. A short line shows the absence of control and of momentum. Read that way, the long line should be the stronger signal. Our data does not support that ranking: on daily charts, the bearish short line, a candle that closes slightly lower, did no better on its 2:1 setup than the same setup on random dates, and still lost money on average (29.4% of targets hit against 29.1% on random dates), whereas the bearish long line did 29.1% against 29.4%: neither shows a measurable difference in average result per trade.

Why short line candles matter in technical analysis

Market indecision and consolidation

A short body means that the open and close ended near each other: neither side was able to push the price far from its opening level, and the session was not completely one-sided. Short wicks mean that the price did not travel far from them either. Together they describe a period with little conflict and little momentum: a pause. Classic analysis reads a series of short lines as a consolidation, a period where the market waits for news or for a key level to break.

Assessing volatility through body size

Body size is a simple gauge of volatility. Long bodies appear when volatility is high, short ones when it contracts. In classic analysis, a run of short line candles after a strong move suggests that momentum is fading, a shift from trend to range, and that buying pressure (or selling pressure) is drying up. Classic analysis expects a larger move after such a contraction, though the candle does not give its direction; we have not measured it.

The role of context in pattern interpretation

In classic analysis, the meaning of a short line depends on where it forms. After a strong uptrend, a short line suggests that buyers are losing momentum; after a downtrend, it suggests that sellers are. In the middle of a range it suggests almost nothing. The candle is the same in each case. Our split by prior trend, in the trading section below, found only a small difference, and we have not measured the position inside a range.

How to identify short line patterns on your chart

123
  1. Short shadowbelow the average shadow of the last 10 candles
  2. Short white bodybelow the average of the last 10 bodies, not a doji
  3. Short shadow
Median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, found by our test bench.
123
  1. Short shadowbelow the average shadow of the last 10 candles
  2. Short black bodybelow the average of the last 10 bodies, not a doji
  3. Short shadow
Median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, found by our test bench.

Visual characteristics to look for

Check three points once the candle has closed:

  • a body shorter than the average of the previous 10 candles;
  • short wicks on both sides, so the candle looks compact;
  • a body that is still visible: if the open and close are almost equal, it is a doji.

Short lines are frequent: one white short line every 17 bars on daily charts, one black short line every 18. On hourly charts, about one every 13 or 14 bars.

Short line vs. doji: what is the difference?

A doji has almost no body: the open and close are virtually equal. A short line has a small but real body, so it still has a color and leans slightly to one side. A doji is a neutral statement of indecision.

Short line vs. spinning top: key distinctions

A spinning top also has a small body, but its shadows are longer than the body: the price traveled far in both directions. A short line has short wicks: the price stayed in a narrow band. The spinning top shows a battle without a winner; the short line shows a quiet period. Our bench also tests them differently: the spinning top setup follows whichever side breaks first, while the short line setup follows its color.

Trading the short line candlestick pattern

Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy or sell. It describes how a rule behaved in the past, which does not guarantee future behavior. Leveraged products such as CFDs, futures, margin forex or crypto derivatives can lose more than the stake: size every position for the worst case.

On its own, a short line candle shows a lack of momentum, not a strong signal; it is better used to time an entry inside a larger plan. Our bench tests the simplest version:

  • bullish short line: a buy stop just above its high, a stop loss below its low, a target at twice the risk;
  • bearish short line: a sell stop just below its low, a stop loss above its high, the same 2:1 target;
  • if the price breaks the opposite end first, the setup is canceled.
TPSLEntryBullish
Entry
Buy stop at the pattern high
Stop loss (SL)
At the pattern low
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1)
The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets.
TPSLEntryBearish
Entry
Sell stop at the pattern low
Stop loss (SL)
At the pattern high
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1)
The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets.

A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern13.4011.39+10 barsTPSLEntry2013-12
TextbookMSTR January 21, 2014Daily chart0.2% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry

A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern4.033.79+10 barsTPSLEntry1977-02
TextbookIBM March 16, 1977Daily chart2.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R

On daily charts, the bullish setup was triggered 76.5% of the time and canceled 23.5% of the time; the bearish setup was triggered 74.0% of the time. Positions that reached the target took a median of 2 bars, stopped positions a median of 1 bar.

Identifying market trends before the pattern

Start with the trend. In the classic reading, a bullish short line in an uptrend is a pause that may resolve upward, a bearish one an early sign of hesitation. We split daily bullish short lines by the prior trend: after a rise, the 2:1 target was hit 31.5% of the time (−0.06 R); after a decline, 32.7% (−0.02 R). The difference is small, and these breakdowns are descriptive, not corrected for the number of tests.

Using short line candles as support and resistance

The high and low of a short line define a tight range. A break above the high of a short line that sits on a support level, or below the low of one under a resistance level, gives a precise entry with a small stop. The narrow range is the main advantage of this candlestick: the risk per position is small compared with a long candle.

Combining patterns with volume analysis

A classic filter wants high volume on the candle or on the breakout. We measured it: on daily charts, bullish short lines printed with volume above 1.5 times the 20-day average hit the 2:1 target 33.6% of the time (+0.01 R), against 32.0% on normal volume (−0.05 R). For black (bearish) short lines, 29.7% against 29.4%. Volume changed the result by less than two points.

Bullish implications of short line patterns

Short line candles in an uptrend

In an uptrend, a bullish short line is read as a pause: buyers still close the session higher, but with less momentum than before: the candle closes up, the move slows down. Classic analysis reads a series of small green candles climbing a moving average as continuation rather than reversal; we have not measured it.

When to expect a breakout

Classic analysis gives more weight to a breakout when several short lines form a tight range under a resistance level; we have not measured it. The bullish confirmation is a close above the range, ideally with a long green candle that shows buyers back in control. A single short line gives no timing on its own: on daily charts, the bar after a bullish short line was higher 49.6% of the time, against 50.5% for random bars.

Short line candles after a downtrend

A bullish short line after a decline shows that sellers could not push the price lower that session, even though they had control in the previous candles. Classic analysis reads it as a possible first sign of a bottom, more so when the next candle is a strong green one; we have not measured that follow-up. It can also be only a breath before the next leg down: wait for confirmation.

Bearish implications of short line patterns

Short line candles in a downtrend

In a downtrend, a bearish short line is a pause in selling: sellers still push the price lower by the close, without the selling pressure of the previous candles. Classic analysis reads a series of small red bodies drifting lower as continuation, a downtrend resting rather than ending; we have not measured series of short lines.

Identifying exhaustion in price moves

After a strong uptrend, a bearish short line shows that buyers failed to extend the move, the first hint of exhaustion and a potential bearish reversal. A stricter plan waits for confirmation from the next candle, for example a bearish engulfing pattern or a close below the low. On daily charts, the bearish short line setup hit its 2:1 target 29.4% of the time against 29.1% for the same setup on random dates, and its average result per trade matched chance. The catch: that expectancy is negative, at −0.13 R before costs, against −0.13 R for chance. Selling the break of a red short line lost about as much as selling at random.

Multi-candle patterns featuring short lines

Short lines are the building blocks of many classic candlestick patterns. In each of them, the short candle is the pause; the long candles carry the direction. What these patterns suggest depends on the order: a short line after a long candle suggests the move is stalling, a long candle after a short line suggests a shift in control.

Understanding the harami pattern

A harami is a long candle followed by a short line whose body sits inside the previous candle's body. The small second candle shows that the strong move of the first one stalled. When the second candle is a doji, it is a harami cross.

Engulfing patterns

The engulfing pattern is the reverse order: a short line followed by a long candle whose body covers the previous candle's body completely, a strong shift. In a bullish engulfing pattern, a short red candle is engulfed by a long green one after a decline; in a bearish engulfing pattern, a short green candle is engulfed by a long red one after a rise. The short line is the hesitation; the engulfing candle is the shift in control.

Star patterns

The morning star and the evening star are three-candle reversal patterns whose middle candle is a short line (or a doji) that gaps away from the first candle. The short middle candle, the star, marks the moment the trend loses its force; the third candle confirms the shift in market sentiment.

Short lines within consolidation zones

Continuation patterns such as the rising three methods and the mat hold are made of a long candle, a few short lines against the trend, and a second long candle that resumes it. The short lines are the rest; the long candles are the trend.

The impact of price gaps near short lines

In classic analysis, a gap between a long candle and a short line, as in a star, signals a sharper change of pace than a short line inside the previous range, as in a harami. Gaps are frequent on daily stock charts and rare on crypto charts, which trade around the clock.

Single-candle relatives

Some candles with a short body are not short lines because one of their shadows is long. The hammer and the hanging man have a long lower shadow; the inverted hammer and the shooting star have a long upper shadow. These long wicks show a rejected move, a different story from a quiet session.

How these candlestick patterns compare

The table below compares the short line with the candlestick patterns it belongs to, using each pattern's own 2:1 setup on daily charts, all markets, from our bench. It shows how close most patterns are to chance once you compare them with random dates on the same assets, whatever the textbook patterns suggest.

Pattern (daily, all markets)OccurrencesClosed trades2:1 target hitSame setup, random datesExpectancy
Bullish short line492,203376,22632.1%32.0%−0.04 R
Bearish short line472,352348,93829.4%29.1%−0.13 R
Bullish long line402,234349,21036.2%36.5%+0.08 R
Bearish long line380,773323,10429.1%29.4%−0.13 R
Bullish engulfing59,94848,55436.9%35.7%+0.12 R
Bearish engulfing88,46468,44028.5%29.1%−0.14 R
Bullish harami27,06113,89736.8%36.3%+0.11 R
Bearish harami32,56815,37328.6%27.5%−0.14 R
Morning star3,0392,36640.6%34.2%+0.29 R
Evening star4,1933,00526.6%25.8%−0.16 R
Hammer15,36312,00535.4%36.1%+0.06 R
Shooting star16,64613,18928.8%29.7%−0.14 R

Two things stand out, and both qualify the textbook reading of reversal patterns. First, bullish patterns look better than bearish ones, but so do random dates: markets rose more often than they fell over the history, so long setups start ahead. Second, the gap between each pattern and its random benchmark is a few points at most in every row. None of these 2:1 trades passed our correction for multiple testing on daily charts, all markets: none shows a measurable difference from chance on this measure, the short line included.

How to confirm short line signals

Waiting for the next candle close

Setting stop loss levels based on shadows

The natural stop loss is the other end of the candle: below the low of a bullish short line, above the high of a bearish one. Because the candle is narrow, the stop is close. That makes position sizing easy, but it also means normal noise can hit the stop: on daily charts, the median losing position was stopped within 1 bar.

Defining profit targets

The target we test is twice the risk. With a 2:1 target, a position must win more than one time in three to break even before costs. Neither short line reached that rate on daily charts (32.1% for the bullish one, 29.4% for the bearish one). Of the red short line positions that hit their stop, 20.9% had first been up 1 R, which argues for a partial exit or a trailing stop.

Common mistakes when trading short line candles

Trading in isolation without confirmation

A short line is one of the most common candles on any chart. With one bullish short line every 17 daily bars and one bearish every 18, taking every one as a signal means trading constantly, with no edge on most markets.

Ignoring the broader market trend

Overlooking time frame significance

A short line on a 1-hour chart and one on a daily chart are different signals, and our results differ by timeframe (see the reliability table). One plan reads the trend on the higher timeframe and uses short lines on the lower one only in its direction; we have not tested that combination.

Advanced techniques

Using short line candles with moving averages

A short line that forms on a rising moving average, after a pullback, is a classic place to look for a continuation entry: the candle shows that the pullback has lost speed at a level where buyers already had a reason to act. We have not tested this filter.

Integrating RSI with short line analysis

One filter takes short lines only when the relative strength index (RSI) is overbought or oversold, on the idea that a pause at an extreme is more meaningful. We have not tested an RSI filter: test it on your own market before relying on it.

Analyzing short lines in forex vs. stocks

The results differ by market. On hourly forex, both types did worse than chance on direction after our correction. The bullish short line was higher 10 bars later 50.0% of the time, against 50.6% of random bars, and its trade did worse than random dates too (30.2% against 31.7%, −0.10 R against −0.06 R), a gap the full table rates Worse than chance. The bearish one did worse on both measures: 46.7% were lower 10 bars later, against 49.2% of random bars, and its 2:1 target was hit 25.5% of the time against 29.8%. On 4-hour forex, the bearish trade also did worse than chance after correction (26.9% against 28.8%, −0.19 R against −0.13 R per trade): its row in the 2:1 trade table of the full results reads Worse than chance, while its 10-bar move reads No clear edge. On daily US stocks, where the data also misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized, both 2:1 trades matched random dates while still losing money, and no daily short line trade passes even a simple test.

Is the short line pattern reliable?

Not as a trading signal on its own. Here are the numbers from our test bench, which applies the same rule to full price history and compares each occurrence with random bars on the same assets and with the rest of the market.

52.7%vs 53.2% at random

Moved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.

Measured on 492,203 daily short white line occurrences across 2,357 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.

Weak, below chance
46.4%vs 46.9% at random

Moved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.

Measured on 472,352 daily short black line occurrences across 2,357 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.

No clear edge

Short white line against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

Moved the expected way 10 bars laterShort white lineRandom bars
  • All markets
    All markets, Short white line: 52.7%
    All markets, Random bars: 53.2%
  • Crypto
    Crypto, Short white line: 42.1%
    Crypto, Random bars: 44.1%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Short white line: 53.8%
    US stocks, Random bars: 54.1%
  • Forex
    Forex, Short white line: 51.5%
    Forex, Random bars: 51.2%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Short white line: 56.4%
    ETFs, Random bars: 56.9%
  • Indices
    Indices, Short white line: 58.4%
    Indices, Random bars: 57.7%
  • Commodities
    Commodities, Short white line: 53.7%
    Commodities, Random bars: 52.5%
2:1 trade hit its targetShort white line tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Short white line trade: 32.1%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 32.0%
  • Crypto
    Crypto, Short white line trade: 30.0%
    Crypto, Same trade, random dates: 29.5%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Short white line trade: 32.1%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 32.1%
  • Forex
    Forex, Short white line trade: 31.5%
    Forex, Same trade, random dates: 31.7%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Short white line trade: 32.5%
    ETFs, Same trade, random dates: 32.9%
  • Indices
    Indices, Short white line trade: 38.3%
    Indices, Same trade, random dates: 39.1%
  • Commodities
    Commodities, Short white line trade: 35.5%
    Commodities, Same trade, random dates: 34.3%

Short black line against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

Moved the expected way 10 bars laterShort black lineRandom bars
  • All markets
    All markets, Short black line: 46.4%
    All markets, Random bars: 46.9%
  • Crypto
    Crypto, Short black line: 56.1%
    Crypto, Random bars: 56.1%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Short black line: 45.1%
    US stocks, Random bars: 45.7%
  • Forex
    Forex, Short black line: 48.2%
    Forex, Random bars: 49.1%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Short black line: 42.6%
    ETFs, Random bars: 43.3%
  • Indices
    Indices, Short black line: 42.9%
    Indices, Random bars: 42.7%
  • Commodities
    Commodities, Short black line: 47.4%
    Commodities, Random bars: 48.0%
2:1 trade hit its targetShort black line tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Short black line trade: 29.4%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 29.1%
  • Crypto
    Crypto, Short black line trade: 32.4%
    Crypto, Same trade, random dates: 30.9%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Short black line trade: 28.9%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 28.8%
  • Forex
    Forex, Short black line trade: 28.5%
    Forex, Same trade, random dates: 29.3%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Short black line trade: 28.4%
    ETFs, Same trade, random dates: 28.6%
  • Indices
    Indices, Short black line trade: 34.7%
    Indices, Same trade, random dates: 33.3%
  • Commodities
    Commodities, Short black line trade: 31.2%
    Commodities, Same trade, random dates: 30.9%
All statistics

Full results for the short line candlestick pattern, market by market

Every occurrence our rule finds on full price history, compared with what the same assets did on random bars. A pattern only earns an edge if it beats random entries after correcting for the thousands of tests we run.

Our verdict

Weak, below chance. It does slightly worse than the baseline, but not in every check.

10-bar move Weak, below chance2:1 trade No clear edge

Short white line: 492,203 occurrences tested

Bullish pattern · All markets · Daily · 2,357 assets · 1970-03 to 2026-10

Moved the expected way after 10 bars
52.7%
vs 53.2% on random bars
Excess return vs its market, 10 bars
−0.04%
95% interval −0.07% to −0.01%
its market−3%+3%
2:1 trade hit the target
32.1%
vs 32.0% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
−0.04 R
vs −0.04 R on random dates

What this means. A difference shows up (p < 0.05), but below the baseline, and it does not survive the multiple-testing correction. For the 2:1 trade: no measurable difference from the same trade on random dates on the same assets.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
1 day · middle half 1 to 1 · on 376,468 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme. 242 of these entries are not among the 376,226 trades: still open at the end of our data, or left out by the trade rules.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
2 days · middle half 1 to 5 · on 120,622 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
1 day · middle half 0 to 2 · on 255,539 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
1 day · middle half 0 to 3 · on 376,226 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
1.6% · middle half 1.1% to 2.5% · on 492,203 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
0.57× · middle half 0.48× to 0.66× · on 492,203 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
0.79 R · middle half 0.00 R to 2.14 R · on 376,226 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
19.9% · on 255,539 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
76.5% · on 492,203 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. Short white body (not a doji) with short shadows. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (20 rows)

10-bar move: did price go the expected way?

Figures in gray: fewer than 30 occurrences, not interpreted. Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. The test uses the bootstrap’s standard error and the interval its percentiles: near the 0.05 line, or on a few extreme moves, an interval can leave out zero while the test does not pass, and the test decides. Stock data misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized, which can flatter stock rows.
MarketOccurrencesPatternRandom barsExcess10-bar move verdict
Crypto · 1-hour1,055,55747.9%48.3%−0.01%No clear edge
Forex · 1-hour168,24250.0%50.6%−0.01%Opposite of the textbook
All markets · 1-hour1,223,79948.2%48.6%−0.01%No clear edge
Crypto · 4-hour282,92646.8%47.4%−0.004%No clear edge
Forex · 4-hour40,86849.6%50.6%−0.01%Weak, below chance
All markets · 4-hour323,79447.2%47.8%−0.005%No clear edge
Crypto · Daily51,17542.1%44.1%−0.05%No clear edge
US stocks · Daily408,13153.8%54.1%−0.04%Weak, below chance
ETFs · Daily15,35956.4%56.9%−0.10%Weak, below chance
Indices · Daily8,48758.4%57.7%−0.13%Opposite of the textbook
Forex · Daily4,66451.5%51.2%+0.01%No clear edge
Commodities · Daily4,38753.7%52.5%−0.004%No clear edge
All markets · Daily492,20352.7%53.2%−0.04%Weak, below chance
Crypto · Weekly5,20134.6%37.1%+1.88%No clear edge
US stocks · Weekly88,47057.3%57.6%+0.04%No clear edge
ETFs · Weekly3,33165.1%62.7%+0.09%No clear edge
Indices · Weekly1,88564.1%62.6%−0.12%No clear edge
Forex · Weekly89147.4%50.4%−0.16%No clear edge
Commodities · Weekly76253.5%54.3%−0.86%No clear edge
All markets · Weekly100,54056.4%56.7%+0.12%No clear edge

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
Crypto · 1-hour839,85729.6%31.3%−0.11 R vs −0.06 ROpposite of the textbook
Forex · 1-hour136,17630.2%31.7%−0.10 R vs −0.06 ROpposite of the textbook
All markets · 1-hour976,03329.7%31.3%−0.11 R vs −0.06 ROpposite of the textbook
Crypto · 4-hour223,96229.3%29.9%−0.12 R vs −0.10 RNo clear edge
Forex · 4-hour33,79728.8%30.3%−0.14 R vs −0.09 ROpposite of the textbook
All markets · 4-hour257,75929.2%29.9%−0.12 R vs −0.10 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Daily38,81930.0%29.5%−0.10 R vs −0.11 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Daily312,67832.1%32.1%−0.04 R vs −0.04 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Daily11,04032.5%32.9%−0.03 R vs −0.03 RNo clear edge
Indices · Daily6,52038.3%39.1%+0.15 R vs +0.18 RNo clear edge
Forex · Daily3,83231.5%31.7%−0.06 R vs −0.05 RNo clear edge
Commodities · Daily3,33735.5%34.3%+0.07 R vs +0.03 RNo clear edge
All markets · Daily376,22632.1%32.0%−0.04 R vs −0.04 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Weekly3,88631.4%30.5%−0.06 R vs −0.08 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Weekly71,50634.7%34.5%+0.04 R vs +0.03 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Weekly2,70839.1%36.1%+0.17 R vs +0.08 RNo clear edge
Indices · Weekly1,55837.4%37.8%+0.12 R vs +0.13 RNo clear edge
Forex · Weekly72429.3%31.7%−0.12 R vs −0.05 RNo clear edge
Commodities · Weekly60736.9%35.6%+0.10 R vs +0.07 RNo clear edge
All markets · Weekly80,98934.7%34.4%+0.04 R vs +0.03 RNo clear edge

Our verdict

Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.

10-bar move No clear edge2:1 trade No clear edge

Short black line: 472,352 occurrences tested

Bearish pattern · All markets · Daily · 2,357 assets · 1970-04 to 2026-10

Moved the expected way after 10 bars
46.4%
vs 46.9% on random bars
Excess return vs its market, 10 bars
−0.04%
95% interval −0.08% to +0.004%
Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. On a bearish setup, it means the asset lagged its market.
its market−3%+3%
2:1 trade hit the target
29.4%
vs 29.1% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
−0.13 R
vs −0.13 R on random dates

What this means. No measurable difference from the rest of its market over the next 10 bars.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
1 day · middle half 1 to 1 · on 349,372 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme. 434 of these entries are not among the 348,938 trades: still open at the end of our data, or left out by the trade rules.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
2 days · middle half 1 to 4 · on 102,596 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
1 day · middle half 0 to 2 · on 246,237 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
1 day · middle half 0 to 3 · on 348,938 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
1.7% · middle half 1.2% to 2.8% · on 472,352 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
0.57× · middle half 0.48× to 0.66× · on 472,352 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
0.75 R · middle half 0.00 R to 2.09 R · on 348,938 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
20.9% · on 246,237 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
74.0% · on 472,352 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. Short black body (not a doji) with short shadows. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (20 rows)

10-bar move: did price go the expected way?

Figures in gray: fewer than 30 occurrences, not interpreted. Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. The test uses the bootstrap’s standard error and the interval its percentiles: near the 0.05 line, or on a few extreme moves, an interval can leave out zero while the test does not pass, and the test decides. Stock data misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized, which can flatter stock rows.
MarketOccurrencesPatternRandom barsExcess10-bar move verdict
Crypto · 1-hour1,097,11850.7%50.8%−0.04%Opposite of the textbook
Forex · 1-hour167,13646.7%49.2%−0.005%Opposite of the textbook
All markets · 1-hour1,264,25450.2%50.6%−0.04%Opposite of the textbook
Crypto · 4-hour293,50752.7%52.2%−0.04%Weak, below chance
Forex · 4-hour39,80349.1%49.4%+0.004%No clear edge
All markets · 4-hour333,31052.3%51.9%−0.04%Weak, below chance
Crypto · Daily56,85556.1%56.1%+0.08%No clear edge
US stocks · Daily390,17645.1%45.7%−0.05%Weak, below chance
ETFs · Daily11,36242.6%43.3%+0.003%No clear edge
Indices · Daily5,54542.9%42.7%+0.01%No clear edge
Forex · Daily4,22048.2%49.1%−0.03%No clear edge
Commodities · Daily4,19447.4%48.0%−0.17%No clear edge
All markets · Daily472,35246.4%46.9%−0.04%No clear edge
Crypto · Weekly7,81761.7%63.9%−0.59%No clear edge
US stocks · Weekly76,59842.3%42.9%−0.26%No clear edge
ETFs · Weekly2,11941.3%38.5%+0.05%No clear edge
Indices · Weekly1,03036.2%38.1%−0.28%No clear edge
Forex · Weekly78951.0%49.5%+0.06%No clear edge
Commodities · Weekly77144.0%46.4%−0.47%No clear edge
All markets · Weekly89,12444.0%44.6%−0.28%Weak, below chance

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
Crypto · 1-hour880,34030.2%31.5%−0.09 R vs −0.05 RWeak, below chance
Forex · 1-hour140,60425.5%29.8%−0.23 R vs −0.10 ROpposite of the textbook
All markets · 1-hour1,020,94429.6%31.3%−0.11 R vs −0.06 ROpposite of the textbook
Crypto · 4-hour234,04130.5%30.9%−0.08 R vs −0.07 RNo clear edge
Forex · 4-hour32,21426.9%28.8%−0.19 R vs −0.13 ROpposite of the textbook
All markets · 4-hour266,25530.1%30.6%−0.10 R vs −0.08 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Daily44,00432.4%30.9%−0.03 R vs −0.07 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Daily287,21028.9%28.8%−0.14 R vs −0.14 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Daily7,49928.4%28.6%−0.17 R vs −0.17 RNo clear edge
Indices · Daily3,93734.7%33.3%+0.03 R vs −0.01 RNo clear edge
Forex · Daily3,19328.5%29.3%−0.14 R vs −0.12 RNo clear edge
Commodities · Daily3,09531.2%30.9%−0.12 R vs −0.09 RNo clear edge
All markets · Daily348,93829.4%29.1%−0.13 R vs −0.13 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Weekly6,15233.3%30.1%0.00 R vs −0.09 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Weekly58,03427.4%27.1%−0.18 R vs −0.19 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Weekly1,52629.9%27.6%−0.10 R vs −0.18 RNo clear edge
Indices · Weekly74428.2%28.0%−0.15 R vs −0.16 RNo clear edge
Forex · Weekly59927.4%27.2%−0.18 R vs −0.18 RNo clear edge
Commodities · Weekly58727.1%31.4%−0.19 R vs −0.06 RNo clear edge
All markets · Weekly67,64228.0%27.5%−0.16 R vs −0.18 RNo clear edge

Data updated November 5, 2026 · code version c2a1683f · Read the methodology. We measure every pattern on crypto and forex (1-hour, 4-hour, daily and weekly charts) and US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities (daily and weekly charts). A market or timeframe from that list missing from the tables above had no occurrence.

What you often read

“The short white line is a quiet pause, after which price keeps rising.”

What our data shows

On 492,203 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 52.7% of the time, against 53.2% for random bars: its average excess return over the rest of the market passes a simple test but does not survive our correction.

What you often read

“The short black line is a quiet pause, after which price keeps falling.”

What our data shows

On 472,352 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 46.4% of the time, against 46.9% for random bars: no clear edge, since the average excess return is not statistically significant.

Table quoted in the text (verdicts and every market: see All measurements)
Candle, market and timeframeOccurrencesMoved as expected after 10 barsRandom barsClosed trades2:1 target hitSame setup, random datesExpectancy
Bullish, all markets, daily492,20352.7%53.2%376,22632.1%32.0%−0.04 R
Bearish, all markets, daily472,35246.4%46.9%348,93829.4%29.1%−0.13 R
Bullish, crypto, hourly1,055,55747.9%48.3%839,85729.6%31.3%−0.11 R
Bearish, crypto, hourly1,097,11850.7%50.8%880,34030.2%31.5%−0.09 R
Bullish, forex, hourly168,24250.0%50.6%136,17630.2%31.7%−0.10 R
Bearish, forex, hourly167,13646.7%49.2%140,60425.5%29.8%−0.23 R
Bullish, all markets, weekly100,54056.4%56.7%80,98934.7%34.4%+0.04 R
Bearish, all markets, weekly89,12444.0%44.6%67,64228.0%27.5%−0.16 R

Read the table in pairs of columns. "Moved as expected" means higher 10 bars later for a bullish short line and lower for a bearish one. On daily charts, 52.7% of bullish short lines were followed by a rise, which sounds bullish until you see that 53.2% of random bars on the same assets were too. The excess return over the rest of the market after 10 bars is −0.04% for the bullish version and −0.04% for the bearish one. Zero is inside the confidence interval of the bearish version (no clear edge on direction), but not of the bullish one: on direction, the bullish short line did slightly worse than chance, a gap that passes a simple test but not our correction (weak, below chance).

The 2:1 setup tells the same story. The bearish short line matched the same setup on random dates (29.4% against 29.1%, −0.13 R against −0.13 R per trade), and so did the bullish version (32.1% against 32.0%): neither average result per trade passes even a simple test. In both cases the expectancy, the average result per position in units of risk (R) before costs, stays negative: −0.04 R for the bullish one, −0.13 R for the bearish one. This is why the statistics card rates the bearish 2:1 trade No clear edge, and the 10-bar move reads No clear edge: the first verdict compares the trade with the same trade on random dates, the second compares the direction of price, and neither means the trade made money. The bullish 2:1 trade reads No clear edge as well. Hourly charts are worse: on hourly forex both did worse than chance on direction and on the setup, and on all hourly markets combined both 2:1 trades read worse than chance (−0.11 R for the bearish one and −0.11 R for the bullish one, against −0.06 R and −0.06 R on random dates).

How we decide what counts as an edge: confidence intervals come from a bootstrap that resamples blocks of 13 weeks or more, because on a crash day hundreds of assets move together and should not count as independent evidence. Each verdict is then corrected for the number of tests with the procedure of Benjamini and Hochberg (Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 1995), which keeps the expected share of wrong discoveries at 5%.

The full table, with every market, timeframe and verdict, is in the statistics section of this page. The method is published in our methodology.

Real examples of the short line candle

The gallery in this section shows real short line candles, picked by our bench (best and worst results, textbook shapes, most recent, random draws), with their actual outcome. The cases written up below are on daily crypto charts, and all three are also among its cards. None of them won, which is not unusual: with a 2:1 target reached about 3 times in 10, most positions lose.

Real occurrences from our test bench, each on its market's main timeframe. Crypto examples come from liquid assets only (the largest coins). Best and Worst are the best and worst 2:1 trade results, Textbook the cleanest shapes (chosen on geometry alone, never on the outcome), Most recent the latest detections among the assets the gallery draws from, Typical a random draw. Shaded area: the pattern. Dashed lines: entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP) of the tested trade. Dotted line: 10 bars after the signal. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open. From the short black line gallery, we left out 1 card with a single bar so large that the pattern or the trade levels could not be read. It still counts in the statistics, and is not replaced: our bench picks a fixed number of cards per category.

Examples
Crypto overallAcross 1,055,557 short white line occurrences on 1-hour charts, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 47.9% of the time, against 48.3% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern13.8912.94+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-122025-12
Best tradeETC December 5, 20251-hour chart0.1% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.08 R
◂ Pattern352.2316.2+10 barsTPSLEntry2017-10
Best tradeETH October 15, 20171-hour chart4.2% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.08 R
◂ Pattern0.07840.0765+10 barsTPSLEntry2020-06
Worst tradeXLM June 8, 20201-hour chart0.3% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.03 R
◂ Pattern5.054.77+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-01
Worst tradeETC January 10, 20191-hour chart10.2% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.01 RAfter the pattern, price left the chart: low 4.14 on January 10, 2019.
◂ Pattern21.0918.45+10 barsTPSLEntry2021-08
TextbookATOM August 20, 20211-hour chart1.5% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entryAfter the pattern, price left the chart: high 23.55 on August 21, 2021.
◂ Pattern23.3122.11+10 barsTPSLEntry2023-02
TextbookETC February 19, 20231-hour chart0.6% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 RAfter the pattern, price left the chart: low 21.75 on February 20, 2023.
◂ Pattern138.7130.9TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentAAVE October 28, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern7.757.49TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentETC October 28, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern265.9242.0+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-06
TypicalAAVE June 20, 20251-hour chart4.4% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern61.2056.70+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-11
TypicalAAVE November 25, 20221-hour chart2.5% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern48.4045.15+10 barsTPSLEntry2021-09
TypicalETC September 27, 20211-hour chart1.4% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern57.2054.70+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-12
TypicalAAVE December 21, 20221-hour chart1.1% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
Crypto overallAcross 1,097,118 short black line occurrences on 1-hour charts, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 50.7% of the time, against 50.8% for random bars. The verdict rests on the average excess return over the rest of the market, −0.04% (positive favors the pattern), not on this rate.Opposite of the textbookThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern10.379.91+10 barsTPSLEntry2023-01
Best tradeATOM January 7, 20231-hour chart1.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.02 R
◂ Pattern73.2043.17+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-05
Best tradeSOL May 11, 20221-hour chart31.7% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern0.11190.0962+10 barsTPSLEntry2018-12
Worst tradeXLM December 14, 20181-hour chart0.9% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.02 R
◂ Pattern32,22230,237+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-05
TextbookBTC May 31, 20221-hour chart0.3% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern4.564.32+10 barsTPSLEntry2024-06
TextbookFIL July 1, 20241-hour chart0.9% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
Pattern ▸7.757.492026-102026-10
Most recentETC October 28, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: not triggered
Pattern ▸0.21010.2007TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentADA October 28, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: in progress
◂ Pattern21.1519.41+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-05
TypicalETC May 19, 20221-hour chart3.5% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern13.2912.64+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-09
TypicalLINK September 22, 20261-hour chart0.2% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern91.6279.77+10 barsTPSLEntry2024-04
TypicalAAVE April 14, 20241-hour chart4.4% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern0.56480.5472+10 barsTPSLEntry2024-09
TypicalXRP September 4, 20241-hour chart1.5% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R

Example: a bearish short line that went the right way first

On February 12, 2023, ATOM/USDT printed a bearish short line between 13.376 and 13.948, with a body less than half the average body of the previous 10 candles. The next day the price broke the low, triggering a sell entry at 13.376 with a stop at 13.948 and a 2:1 target at 12.232. That same day it fell to 12.667, more than 1 R in favor of the position, then rebounded and hit the stop on February 15, two days after entry. ATOM was 0.4% higher 10 days after the candle.

Example: a quick stop

On August 6, 2023, BCH/USDT printed a bearish short line between 221.5 and 228.6. The next day the price traded both below the low and above the high, up to 245.4: the sell entry at 221.5 and the stop at 228.6 were hit in the same session, a 1 R loss. BCH was nevertheless 6.7% lower 10 days after the candle.

Example: a bullish short line stopped too early

On December 24, 2024, DOGE/USDT printed a bullish short line between 0.3162 and 0.34053. The next day the price traded above the high, triggering a buy entry at 0.34053, and on December 26 it fell to 0.30837, under the stop at 0.3162: a 1 R loss. On January 3, DOGE rose to 0.38944, above the 0.38919 target, and it was 12.7% higher 10 days after the candle. The expected move came, but only after the stop; the rule simply did not catch it.

FAQ: the short line candlestick pattern

Are short line candles reliable for day trading?

Not on their own. On hourly crypto charts, both types stayed within a fraction of a point of random bars, though the tiny gap of the bearish one still reads worse than chance on direction, and the bullish 2:1 trade did worse than random dates (29.6% of targets hit against 31.3%); on hourly forex both did worse than chance on direction and on the trade, with 2:1 expectancies between −0.23 R and −0.10 R before costs.

How do I distinguish a short line from a spinning top?

Look at the wicks. A short line has short wicks; a spinning top has shadows longer than its body.

Do short line patterns work in crypto markets?

On daily crypto charts, the bearish short line setup hit its target 32.4% of the time against 30.9% on random dates, but on 56,855 occurrences (44,004 closed trades) the gap in average result per trade does not pass our test. On hourly crypto, both trades did slightly worse than random dates.

What does a series of short line candles indicate?

Low volatility and a pause: a consolidation where neither side is pushing. Classic analysis expects a larger move after such quiet periods, without saying in which direction; we have not measured it.

Is volume necessary when trading short lines?

It helps a little at most. On daily charts, the bullish short line hit its target 33.6% of the time on high volume against 32.0% on normal volume, and the bearish one 29.7% against 29.4%.

Can short line patterns be used for swing trading?

Yes, as a timing tool at a level you already chose, with a stop at the other end of the candle. On weekly charts, the bullish short line setup had a small positive expectancy (+0.04 R), close to chance (+0.03 R).

Summary

  • A short line is a candle with a short real body (not a doji) and short wicks: a quiet session.
  • Bullish short lines close slightly higher, bearish ones slightly lower; both reflect a pause, not a strong signal.
  • On 472,352 daily bearish short lines (348,938 closed trades), the 2:1 setup hit its target 29.4% of the time against 29.1% on random dates, no measurable difference, and its expectancy is still −0.13 R.
  • On direction, neither type beat chance: 52.7% of bullish ones rose over 10 bars, against 53.2% of random bars, and the bullish 10-bar row reads Weak, below chance, a gap our correction does not confirm.
  • On hourly forex, both types did worse than chance on direction and on the 2:1 trade.

Treat a short line as a pause that tells you where to place a tight stop, not as a reason to trade. Define the stop at the other end of the candle, size the position on that distance, and keep the risk per trade small.

About the author and the data. Written by Amaury, founder of PatternsWizard, who is passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. He built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each setup with published rules on full market history: crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities. Trades and win rates are compared with random bars on the same assets, excess returns with the rest of the market, with error margins and a correction for multiple testing, and the whole pipeline is checked on random-walk prices, where nothing can be predicted. Statistics on this page were generated on November 5, 2026. The full methodology explains every step.

, Founder of PatternsWizard

Passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. Amaury built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each pattern on full price history and measures what happened next against random entries.

Statistics on this page come from our open methodology: every occurrence our rule finds on full history, compared with chance. How we test patterns.

179 patterns testedRandom-walk self-test passed