CandlestickNeutral

Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern: Meaning, Trading Rules and Tested Results

A small body in the middle of long shadows: buyers and sellers both moved price, neither kept it. Here is what the spinning top means, how to trade its break and how that trade did.

· Founder of PatternsWizard
Updated Statistics updated 14 min read
Spinning top pattern
Occurrences tested
789,541
6 markets, 1970 to 2026, found by code
2:1 trade vs random dates
No clear edge
Target hit 33.4% of the time vs 33.4% on random dates, all markets, daily

How we tested this pattern

Sample
789,541 occurrences on 6 markets (crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities), 1970 to 2026.
Detection
Found by code, never picked by hand: every match of the rule on full price history, winners and losers alike.Short body with both shadows longer than the body.
Benchmark
Each occurrence is compared with the same assets on random bars: the move 10 bars later, and a 2:1 reward-to-risk trade.
Checks
Block bootstrap and a correction for the thousands of tests we run, plus a random-walk self-test that the bench passes: on random prices, no pattern should win.
Updated
Data updated November 5, 2026, code version c2a1683f. Read the methodology · Raw data (JSON)

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At a glance: what textbooks say, what we measured
Direction
Neutral
Occurrences tested
789,541 occurrences, all markets, daily
Where it did best
Crypto, daily: +0.05 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
Verdict
2:1 trade: No clear edge

See the statistics

On this page
  1. What is a spinning top candlestick?
  2. The market psychology behind the spinning top
  3. How to identify a spinning top on your chart
  4. Spinning top vs. doji: key differences
  5. How to trade the spinning top candlestick
  6. Top trading strategies for the spinning top
  7. Risk management and stop loss placement
  8. Common mistakes to avoid when trading spinning tops
  9. Spinning top across different timeframes
  10. Statistical reliability of the pattern
  11. Real examples of the spinning top pattern
  12. Frequently asked questions
  13. Summary of key points

The spinning top candlestick pattern is a single candlestick with a small real body near the middle of its range and long upper and lower shadows, longer than the body. It represents market indecision: buyers and sellers both moved price during the session, and neither kept control by the close.

This guide covers the definition, how to identify it on a chart, how traders use it, and what happened after it. Our test bench applied the same rule to full price history, 789,541 spinning tops on daily charts alone across stocks, crypto, forex, ETFs, indices and commodities, and compared the outcome with random days on the same assets.

What is a spinning top candlestick?

The spinning top candlestick is a very frequent candlestick pattern: on daily charts, our bench found one every 11 bars. It signals indecision and has no direction of its own: it can appear in an uptrend, in a downtrend or in a sideways market, and it can be green or red.

Definition and anatomy

Steve Nison, who introduced Japanese candlestick charting to Western traders in Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques (1991), describes spinning tops as candlesticks with small real bodies, a sign that the market is in balance. The TA-Lib definition, which our bench uses, adds that both shadows (or wicks) are longer than the body.

Our test bench uses that rule, written so a computer can apply it without judgment: a short real body (a small gap between open and close), and both shadows longer than the body. Sizes are relative to the 10 prior candles, as in the open-source TA-Lib library. No trend is required before the formation.

Visual characteristics

The chart below is not drawn by hand. It is the median shape of the spinning tops our bench detected on daily charts across all markets, with the lines of the setup we test in each direction: entry at the break of one extreme of the candle, stop loss at the other extreme, target at twice the risk.

TPSLEntryBullish
Bullish setup on the median shape of 1,523 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)
TPSLEntryBearish
Bearish setup on the median shape of 1,523 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)

The typical one is not a large candle. On the median daily occurrence, the whole range covers 2.28% of price, or 0.85 times the average true range (ATR) of the asset: less volatility than a typical session.

The market psychology behind the spinning top

Why indecision defines this pattern

The small real body says that the open and close prices ended near each other. The long upper and lower shadows say that price traveled far from them during the session. Put together, the candle shows a market that explored both directions and came back near its open: neither buyers nor sellers won.

The tug-of-war between buyers and sellers

Buyers pushed price higher and left the upper shadow; sellers pushed it lower and left the lower shadow. By the end, neither side held its gains. After a strong move, traders read this balance as a sign that momentum is losing strength: the side that was in control could not extend the movement. That reading is plausible, but whether one balanced session predicts the subsequent price action is a question for data, which we answer in the reliability section.

How to identify a spinning top on your chart

To identify a spinning top candlestick pattern, check three points once the candle is closed.

123
  1. Upper shadowlonger than the body
  2. Short body
  3. Lower shadowlonger than the body
Median shape of 1,523 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, those with the candle colors drawn here (51% of the 3,000 drawn), found by our test bench.

Identifying the small real body

The body, the distance between the opening price and the close, must be short compared with recent candles. Because both shadows must be longer than the body, the body never sits at the very top or bottom of the range. If the open and close prices are almost equal, so that the body is a thin line, it is a doji rather than a spinning top. Our bench is less strict than this definition: its rule (a body short compared with recent candles, and both shadows longer than it) does not exclude dojis, so some of the candles in its statistics have almost no body. The Real examples gallery leaves out every candle that passes our doji rule (a body of at most 10% of the average range of the previous 10 candles).

Analyzing the upper and lower shadows

Both shadows must be longer than the body. They do not need to be equal, but if one is very long and the other almost absent, it becomes a different candlestick pattern: a long lower shadow with no upper one is a hammer or a hanging man, a long upper shadow with no lower one is an inverted hammer or a shooting star. When both shadows are more than twice the body, it is called a high wave candle.

Does color matter?

No. A bullish spinning top (green) closed slightly above its open, a bearish one (red) slightly below. The difference is a few ticks, and the definition accepts both. Our statistics count both colors together.

Spinning top vs. doji: key differences

Both are indecision patterns: each candle expresses market indecision. What separates them is the size of the body.

Structural variations

A doji has an open and close at or very near the same price, so the body is almost invisible. A spinning top has a small but visible real body. The doji has its own page, but our spinning top statistics include some near-doji candles. The long-legged doji and the rickshaw man are dojis with very long wicks on both sides.

Differences in sentiment intensity

Candlestick theory treats the doji as the stronger statement of indecision, since it ended at its opening price. Our data shows only a slight difference: on daily charts, the doji setup reached its 2:1 target 33.7% of the time and the spinning top setup 33.4%, against 33.5% and 33.4% for the same setups on random dates.

How to trade the spinning top candlestick

Because a spinning top candlestick has no bias, the classic trading strategy is to let the market choose: place a buy stop above its high and a sell stop below its low, and follow the side that breaks first. This is the setup our bench simulates on every occurrence.

TP buyBuy stopSell stopTP sellIndecision
Buy stop
At the pattern high, stop loss at the low
Sell stop
At the pattern low, stop loss at the high
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1), on the side hit first
Whichever order is hit first is traded, the other is canceled. The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of 1,523 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, those with the candle colors drawn here (51% of the 3,000 drawn).

A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern2.582.25+10 barsTPSLEntry1990-10
TextbookKO November 23, 1990Daily chartPrice rose 2.9% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R

Context matters: location on the chart

In candlestick theory, where the formation appears matters more than its shape: a spinning top after an extended advance at resistance, or after an extended decline at support, shows hesitation where the trend had reasons to stop and indicates a potential reversal, while one in the middle of a range carries little weight. We have not measured location.

Importance of trend confirmation

The spinning top pattern is the setup, not the signal: the indecision is resolved by the next candles. The following candle gives the confirmation: a close above the high is a bullish confirmation, a close below the low a bearish one. A stricter plan waits for that confirmation close instead of using a stop order. A stop order at either extreme is a form of confirmation, and it is the version we measured. In our tests price broke one extreme in 789,075 of 789,541 cases.

Using volume to validate the signal

One rule wants higher volume on the candle, as it indicates that buyers and sellers both traded with size. We measured it: on daily charts, spinning tops printed with volume above 1.5 times the 20-day average reached the 2:1 target 33.4% of the time, against 33.4% on normal volume. This breakdown is descriptive (not corrected for the number of tests), and the gap is too small to use as a filter.

Top trading strategies for the spinning top

Four approaches use the spinning top candlestick as a trigger. Each one adds a filter the candle does not have on its own, and each should be tested on your own market before trading it with real capital.

Using the spinning top for trend reversals

After a strong move, a spinning top at a key level is read as a potential reversal: a bearish reversal after an uptrend, a bullish reversal after a downtrend. The trader waits for a break against the previous move. Our bench split the daily setups by the prior move: after a decline, the 2:1 target was reached 33.8% of the time (expectancy +0.01 R); after an advance, 33.0% (expectancy −0.02 R). Both are close to chance.

Identifying trend continuation setups

In a strong trend, the candle can be only a pause. The trader takes the break with the trend and ignores the other side, using the candle as a brief consolidation before the next movement.

Combining with support and resistance levels

The classic filter in technical analysis is location: only trade spinning tops that form at levels already marked on the chart, such as a prior swing high or low, a round number or a moving average. The logic is confluence: hesitation at a level where buyers and sellers already had a reason to act. We have not measured it.

Integrating technical indicators for confluence

Momentum indicators can be added, such as the relative strength index (RSI) in overbought or oversold territory, or a momentum divergence. We have not tested an RSI filter. We did test the long-term trend filter: on daily charts, setups above the 200-day moving average reached the 2:1 target 33.0% of the time and setups below it 33.9%. The filter barely changed the result.

Risk management and stop loss placement

Where to place your stop loss

Setting realistic profit targets

The target we test is twice the risk (a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio). On daily charts, trades that reached that target took a median of 4 days, and trades that were stopped took a median of 2. The range is small, so the target is close; the next support or resistance level is a potential exit. Expect reversals: in our data, of the daily trades that hit their stop, 24.0% had first been up 1 R.

Common mistakes to avoid when trading spinning tops

Trading in isolation

One spinning top appears about every 11 daily bars. Signals that frequent cannot carry much information alone. Our data confirms it: on its own, the candle did no better than random days on the same assets in any row that survives our correction.

Ignoring the broader market trend

Spinning top across different timeframes

Intraday trading applications

On hourly charts, a spinning top forms about once every 12 bars, and once every 11 on 4-hour charts. In forex, where hourly volatility is low, the median hourly one spans only 0.13% of price, so spreads and fees weigh heavily on intraday trading signals.

Swing trading and long-term investing

On daily and weekly charts, results were closer to neutral. On weekly charts, the setup reached its 2:1 target 33.7% of the time against 33.7% on random weeks.

Statistical reliability of the pattern

The spinning top candlestick is not reliable on its own: on most markets and timeframes we tested, the setup did about as well as the same trade on random dates; daily and weekly crypto looked better without surviving our correction, and on hourly crypto it did slightly worse. Here are the numbers from our test bench.

33.4%vs 33.4% at random

Hit the 2:1 target, compared with the same trade on random dates.

Measured on 787,847 closed trades on 789,541 daily spinning top occurrences across 2,356 assets. The same trade on random dates on the same assets is the honest baseline.

No clear edge

Spinning top against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

2:1 trade hit its targetSpinning top tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Spinning top trade: 33.4%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 33.4%
  • Crypto
    Crypto, Spinning top trade: 35.0%
    Crypto, Same trade, random dates: 33.4%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Spinning top trade: 33.1%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 33.2%
  • Forex
    Forex, Spinning top trade: 33.7%
    Forex, Same trade, random dates: 33.6%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Spinning top trade: 34.6%
    ETFs, Same trade, random dates: 34.5%
  • Indices
    Indices, Spinning top trade: 37.4%
    Indices, Same trade, random dates: 38.0%
  • Commodities
    Commodities, Spinning top trade: 36.3%
    Commodities, Same trade, random dates: 35.8%
All statistics

Full results for the spinning top candlestick pattern, market by market

Every occurrence our rule finds on full price history, compared with what the same assets did on random bars. A pattern only earns an edge if it beats random entries after correcting for the thousands of tests we run.

Our verdict

As a 2:1 trade: Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.

2:1 trade No clear edge

Spinning top: 789,541 occurrences tested

Neutral pattern · All markets · Daily · 2,356 assets · 1970-03 to 2026-10

2:1 trade hit the target
33.4%
vs 33.4% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
−0.01 R
vs −0.01 R on random dates

What this means. This pattern has no expected direction, so only the 2:1 trade is compared with the same trade on random dates. For the 2:1 trade: no measurable difference from the same trade on random dates on the same assets.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
1 day · middle half 1 to 1 · on 789,075 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme. 1,228 of these entries are not among the 787,847 trades: still open at the end of our data, or left out by the trade rules.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
4 days · middle half 2 to 7 · on 263,079 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
2 days · middle half 1 to 5 · on 523,297 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
2 days · middle half 1 to 6 · on 787,847 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
2.3% · middle half 1.6% to 3.5% · on 789,541 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
0.85× · middle half 0.70× to 1.06× · on 789,541 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
0.98 R · middle half 0.26 R to 2.13 R · on 787,847 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
24.0% · on 523,297 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
99.9% · on 789,541 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. Short body with both shadows longer than the body. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (20 rows)

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
Crypto · 1-hour1,215,23232.1%33.4%−0.03 R vs +0.01 ROpposite of the textbook
Forex · 1-hour198,52832.1%32.4%−0.04 R vs −0.03 RNo clear edge
All markets · 1-hour1,413,76032.1%33.3%−0.03 R vs +0.01 ROpposite of the textbook
Crypto · 4-hour339,27232.4%32.9%−0.02 R vs −0.01 RNo clear edge
Forex · 4-hour48,11332.3%32.7%−0.03 R vs −0.02 RNo clear edge
All markets · 4-hour387,38532.4%32.8%−0.02 R vs −0.01 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Daily56,07735.0%33.4%+0.06 R vs +0.01 RPromising
US stocks · Daily684,12733.1%33.2%−0.02 R vs −0.01 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Daily21,99634.6%34.5%+0.02 R vs +0.02 RNo clear edge
Indices · Daily10,31737.4%38.0%+0.12 R vs +0.14 RNo clear edge
Forex · Daily8,61033.7%33.6%+0.01 R vs +0.01 RNo clear edge
Commodities · Daily6,72036.3%35.8%+0.09 R vs +0.07 RNo clear edge
All markets · Daily787,84733.4%33.4%−0.01 R vs −0.01 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Weekly5,28735.8%33.3%+0.08 R vs +0.01 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Weekly123,75233.6%33.6%+0.01 R vs +0.01 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Weekly4,02335.3%35.0%+0.06 R vs +0.05 RNo clear edge
Indices · Weekly2,04035.4%35.2%+0.06 R vs +0.06 RNo clear edge
Forex · Weekly1,59833.2%33.0%0.00 R vs −0.01 RNo clear edge
Commodities · Weekly1,34033.2%35.5%−0.01 R vs +0.06 RNo clear edge
All markets · Weekly138,04033.7%33.7%+0.01 R vs +0.01 RNo clear edge

Data updated November 5, 2026 · code version c2a1683f · Read the methodology. We measure every pattern on crypto and forex (1-hour, 4-hour, daily and weekly charts) and US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities (daily and weekly charts). A market or timeframe from that list missing from the tables above had no occurrence.

What you often read

“The spinning top candlestick pattern signals indecision before a big move.”

What our data shows

On 787,847 daily closed trades, the 2:1 trade taken on the side of the first breakout hit its target 33.4% of the time, against 33.4% for the same trade on random dates: no clear edge, since the average result per trade is not statistically significant.

Table quoted in the text (verdicts and every market: see All measurements)
Market and timeframeSpinning tops testedClosed trades2:1 target hitSame trade, random datesExpectancy (R)Verdict
All markets, daily789,541787,84733.4%33.4%−0.01No clear edge
US stocks, daily685,184684,12733.1%33.2%−0.02No clear edge
Crypto, daily56,60556,07735.0%33.4%+0.06Promising
Crypto, hourly1,216,2621,215,23232.1%33.4%−0.03Worse than chance
Forex, hourly198,751198,52832.1%32.4%−0.04No clear edge
Indices, daily10,32510,31737.4%38.0%+0.12No clear edge
Commodities, daily6,7486,72036.3%35.8%+0.09No clear edge
All markets, weekly139,538138,04033.7%33.7%+0.01No clear edge

What backtesting data reveals

Read the table in pairs of columns. On daily charts, the spinning top setup reached its target 33.4% of the time. That number means little alone: the same entry, stop and target placed on random days of the same assets reached it 33.4% of the time. The expectancy, before fees, is −0.01 R against −0.01 R at random: no clear edge.

Among daily rows, crypto shows the largest gap (35.0% against 33.4%, an expectancy of +0.06 R against +0.01 R), but it passes a simple test and not our correction for the thousands of tests we run, so we do not count it as an edge, and the statistics section rates it Promising, not proven. Weekly crypto shows a lead of the same kind (35.8% against 33.3%, +0.08 R), but it does not pass even a simple test: its row reads No clear edge. Daily forex shows a much smaller gap (33.7% against 33.6%), and its expectancy is +0.01 R against +0.01 R at random, so its row reads No clear edge. None of the three survives our correction. On hourly crypto, the gap goes the other way and is significant after correction: trading the break of this candle did slightly worse than trading the same break at random. On hourly forex, the setup stayed close to the same trade on random dates. Academic work points the same way: Ben Marshall, Martin Young and Lawrence Rose (Journal of Banking & Finance, 2006) found that candlestick trading strategies did not create value on large US stocks.

Managing expectations for win rates

A 2:1 setup breaks even at a win rate of one in three. The spinning top sits close to that level on most rows, and daily indices and commodities sit higher, as random dates do there, which is what you would expect from a signal with no information: the outcome follows the reward-to-risk ratio, not the pattern. Trading fees and slippage then push the result below zero on most rows; the exceptions stay small, at most +0.07 R per trade on weekly crypto. The method is published in our methodology.

Real examples of the spinning top pattern

The gallery in this section shows real spinning top patterns picked by our bench (best and worst results, textbook shapes, most recent, random draws), with their actual outcome. The cases written up below are on daily crypto charts.

Real occurrences from our test bench, each on its market's main timeframe. Crypto and US stock examples come from liquid assets only (the largest coins, the most traded stocks). Best and Worst are the best and worst 2:1 trade results, Textbook the cleanest shapes (chosen on geometry alone, never on the outcome), Most recent the latest detections among the assets the gallery draws from, Typical a random draw. Shaded area: the pattern. Dashed lines: entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP) of the tested trade. Dotted line: 10 bars after the signal. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time. We left out 4 cards with a candle that is the thin first bar of the trading week. They still count in the statistics, and are not replaced: our bench picks a fixed number of cards per category.

Market
Examples
Crypto overallAcross 1,216,262 spinning top occurrences on 1-hour charts (1,215,232 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 32.1% of the time, against 33.4% for the same trade on random dates.Opposite of the textbookThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern5.254.42+10 barsTPSLEntry2018-12
Best tradeETC December 25, 20181-hour chartPrice rose 8.6% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.04 R
◂ Pattern0.27540.2695+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-06
Best tradeXLM June 2, 20251-hour chartPrice rose 2.9% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.04 R
◂ Pattern4.384.11+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-01
Worst tradeETC January 22, 20191-hour chartPrice rose 1.0% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.01 R
◂ Pattern138.7127.4+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-10
Worst tradeMost recentAAVE October 28, 20261-hour chartPrice rose 1.8% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern67,80065,000+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-03
TextbookBTC March 29, 20261-hour chartPrice rose 0.2% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern0.44850.4265+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-12
TextbookADA December 3, 20251-hour chartPrice rose 3.1% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
Pattern ▸304.8282.4TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentBCH October 28, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: in progress
◂ Pattern0.21010.2031TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentADA October 28, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: in progress
◂ Pattern5.255.08+10 barsTPSLEntry2020-10
TypicalETC October 8, 20201-hour chartPrice fell 1.0% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern6.365.58+10 barsTPSLEntry2024-05
TypicalFIL May 21, 20241-hour chartPrice rose 1.5% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern0.53390.4935+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-10
TypicalXRP October 8, 20221-hour chartPrice fell 0.3% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern29.4727.23+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-09
TypicalETC September 23, 20221-hour chartPrice rose 3.5% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
US stocks overallAcross 685,184 daily spinning top occurrences (684,127 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 33.1% of the time, against 33.2% for the same trade on random dates. The average result per trade does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern28.4623.16+10 barsTPSLEntry2013-06
Best tradeMETA July 22, 2013Daily chartPrice rose 50.4% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +18.07 RAfter the pattern, price left the chart: high 38.95 on August 5, 2013.
◂ Pattern5.583.87+10 barsTPSLEntry2015-09
Best tradeKLAC October 19, 2015Daily chartPrice rose 25.3% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +13.16 R
◂ Pattern12.3710.69+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-03
Worst tradeAPH April 22, 2019Daily chartPrice fell 5.3% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −12.23 R
◂ Pattern182.0149.2+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-09
Worst tradeAMD October 2, 2025Daily chartPrice rose 38.2% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −12.21 RAfter the pattern, price left the chart: high 242.9 on October 20, 2025.
◂ Pattern2.582.25+10 barsTPSLEntry1990-10
TextbookKO November 23, 1990Daily chartPrice rose 2.9% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern6.966.06+10 barsTPSLEntry1993-07
TextbookMCD August 20, 1993Daily chartPrice fell 0.7% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Pattern ▸196.9165.02026-092026-10
Most recentBA October 28, 2026Daily chart2:1 trade: not triggered
Pattern ▸300.8189.02026-092026-10
Most recentBE October 28, 2026Daily chart2:1 trade: not triggered
◂ Pattern66.4561.61+10 barsTPSLEntry2014-10
TypicalPG December 1, 2014Daily chartPrice fell 1.0% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern7.864.65+10 barsTPSLEntry2001-07
TypicalMRVL July 31, 2001Daily chartPrice rose 6.6% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern2.422.20+10 barsTPSLEntry1999-11
TypicalNEE December 23, 1999Daily chartPrice rose 4.1% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern39.9715.98+10 barsTPSLEntry2001-08
TypicalMU September 7, 2001Daily chartPrice fell 45.7% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
Examples
Forex overallAcross 198,751 spinning top occurrences on 1-hour charts (198,528 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 32.1% of the time, against 32.4% for the same trade on random dates. The average result per trade does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern1.721.70+10 barsTPSLEntry2018-09
TextbookGBP/CAD September 11, 20181-hour chartPrice fell 0.7% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern1.371.36+10 barsTPSLEntry2024-05
TextbookUSD/CAD May 21, 20241-hour chartPrice rose 0.1% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern1.4021.3972026-102026-10
Most recentUSD/CAD October 23, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: not triggered
◂ Pattern0.83810.8362TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentEUR/GBP October 23, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern1.051.04+10 barsTPSLEntry2016-06
TypicalAUD/NZD June 23, 20161-hour chartPrice fell 0.2% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern0.85830.8541+10 barsTPSLEntry2024-042024-04
TypicalEUR/GBP April 2, 20241-hour chartNo net move after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern1.641.62+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-12
TypicalGBP/CAD December 28, 20221-hour chartPrice rose 0.2% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern1.521.49+10 barsTPSLEntry2016-04
TypicalEUR/AUD April 5, 20161-hour chartPrice fell 0.1% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R

Example: a clean bearish break

On August 6, 2018, LTC/USDT printed a spinning top with a high at 76.7 and a low at 72.35. The next day price broke below 72.35, triggering the sell entry with a stop at 76.7 and a 2:1 target at 63.65. The target was reached on August 8, and LTC was 24.9% lower 10 days later.

Example: a slower bearish break

On August 24, 2025, XRP/USDT printed a spinning top that opened at 3.0486 and closed at 3.0258, with a high at 3.128 and a low at 2.987: the body is about a sixth of the range, and the shadow on each side is longer than the body. The next day price broke below 2.987, triggering the sell entry with a stop at 3.128 and a 2:1 target at 2.705. Price bounced to 3.0817 on August 26 without reaching the stop, then fell to the target on September 1, seven days after entry. XRP was 6.0% lower 10 days after the candle.

Example: a late break that failed

On October 2, 2026, AVAX/USDT printed a spinning top that opened at 10.989 and closed at 10.8, with a high at 11.267 and a low at 10.45: the body is less than a quarter of the range, and the shadow on each side is longer than the body. Price stayed inside that range for the next three sessions. On October 6 it broke above 11.267, triggering the buy entry with a stop at 10.45 and a 2:1 target at 12.901. Two days later, on October 8, price fell to 9.764, through the stop: a 1 R loss. AVAX was 6.1% lower 10 days after the candle.

Frequently asked questions

Is a spinning top always a reversal signal?

No. A spinning top candlestick signals indecision, not a reversal. After a strong move it can mark exhaustion, but in a range or in a trend it can be only a pause. In our data, trading its first break did no better than the same trade on random dates: on daily charts, its average result per trade (−0.01 R against −0.01 R) is within the margin of error.

Can a spinning top pattern work in crypto trading?

On 56,605 daily crypto occurrences on 579 coins (56,077 closed trades), the setup reached its 2:1 target 35.0% of the time against 33.4% on random dates; its average result per trade passes a simple test but does not survive our statistical correction. On hourly crypto charts it did slightly worse than chance.

How does a spinning top differ from a hammer?

A hammer has its small body at the top of the range, a long lower shadow and almost no shadow above it, and it needs a prior decline. A spinning top has shadows on both sides and no trend condition. The hammer has an expected direction (up); this candle does not.

What should I do if a spinning top appears in a consolidation zone?

Nothing, on its own. We have not measured spinning tops inside ranges, and the candle alone showed no confirmed edge. Wait for price action to break out of the range itself.

Summary of key points

  • A spinning top has a small body and two shadows longer than the body. It signals market indecision, with no direction of its own.
  • A doji, with almost no body, is a close cousin; it has its own page, but our spinning top statistics include some near-doji candles.
  • It is frequent: about one candle in 11 on daily charts.
  • On 789,541 daily occurrences (787,847 closed trades), the break setup reached its 2:1 target 33.4% of the time, against 33.4% for the same trade on random dates.
  • On hourly crypto it did slightly worse than chance. Traders read it as a location rather than a reason to trade, a use we have not tested.

If you trade the spinning top candlestick pattern, define the stop at the other extreme before entry, size the position on that distance, and keep the risk per trade small. The edge, if any, has to come from what you combine it with.

About the author and the data. Written by Amaury, founder of PatternsWizard, who is passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. He built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each setup with fixed, published rules on full market history: crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities. Trades and win rates are compared with random bars on the same assets, excess returns with the rest of the market, with error margins and a correction for multiple testing, and the whole pipeline is checked on random-walk prices, where nothing can be predicted. Statistics on this page were generated on November 5, 2026. The full methodology explains every step.

, Founder of PatternsWizard

Passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. Amaury built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each pattern on full price history and measures what happened next against random entries.

Statistics on this page come from our open methodology: every occurrence our rule finds on full history, compared with chance. How we test patterns.

179 patterns testedRandom-walk self-test passed