CandlestickNeutral

Rickshaw Man Candlestick Pattern: Definition, Trading and What the Data Shows

A doji with its open and close near the middle of the range and shadows of about equal length: pure indecision. Here is how to spot the rickshaw man, trade its breakout and judge it against random dates.

· Founder of PatternsWizard
Updated Statistics updated 21 min read
Rickshaw man pattern

How we tested this pattern

Sample
45,835 occurrences on 6 markets (crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities), 1970 to 2026.
Detection
Found by code, never picked by hand: every match of the rule on full price history, winners and losers alike.Long-legged doji whose body sits within 10% of the range around the middle of the candle. The candle's range is at least the average range, and the shorter shadow is at least a third of the longer one.
Benchmark
Each occurrence is compared with the same assets on random bars: the move 10 bars later, and a 2:1 reward-to-risk trade.
Checks
Block bootstrap and a correction for the thousands of tests we run, plus a random-walk self-test that the bench passes: on random prices, no pattern should win.
Updated
Data updated November 5, 2026, code version c2a1683f. Read the methodology · Raw data (JSON)

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At a glance: what textbooks say, what we measured
Direction
Neutral
Occurrences tested
45,835 occurrences, all markets, daily
Where it did best
US stocks, weekly: +0.04 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
Verdict
2:1 trade: No clear edge

See the statistics

On this page
  1. What is the rickshaw man candlestick pattern?
  2. Anatomy and structure of the rickshaw man
  3. Psychology behind the rickshaw man pattern
  4. Rickshaw man in an uptrend and a downtrend
  5. Difference between a rickshaw man and a standard doji
  6. Rickshaw man vs. hanging man
  7. How to identify the rickshaw man in technical analysis
  8. Trading strategies using the rickshaw man pattern
  9. Risk management for the rickshaw man
  10. Advantages, risks and limitations of the rickshaw man pattern
  11. Is the rickshaw man reliable?
  12. Real examples of the rickshaw man
  13. Tools and practice
  14. FAQ: the rickshaw man candlestick pattern
  15. Summary

The rickshaw man candlestick pattern is a single candlestick with almost no real body, sitting at the midpoint of its trading range, with upper and lower shadows of about the same size. The opening and closing prices are nearly equal, while the market traveled far above and far below them during the period. It is a special case of the long-legged doji, and it signals indecision, not a direction.

This guide explains how to identify a rickshaw man, what it says about bulls and bears, how it differs from the doji, the spinning top and the hanging man, and how traders handle it. It also answers the question that matters for a trader: what happened next. Our test bench applied its rule to full price history and found 45,835 occurrences on daily charts alone across stocks, crypto, forex, ETFs, indices and commodities, and compared the outcome with random dates on the same assets. Unless stated otherwise, the figures on this page are for that timeframe.

What is the rickshaw man candlestick pattern?

The rickshaw man is a one-candle pattern from candlestick charting, found on any stock, currency pair or crypto chart. The name is usually linked to its shape: the tiny center looks like the seat of a rickshaw, and the two long shadows look like its shafts. In Nison's terms, it is a centered long-legged doji.

Definition and characteristics

Steve Nison, who introduced Japanese candlestick charting to Western traders in Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques (1991), describes the long-legged doji as a doji with long upper and lower shadows, and calls it a rickshaw man when the opening and closing prices sit in the center of the session's range.

Three conditions define a rickshaw man candlestick:

  • a small real body, so small that the open and close are almost the same price (a doji);
  • a long upper shadow and lower shadow, long compared with the tiny body;
  • a real body located at or very near the midpoint of the candle.

The color does not matter for the definition. A green one closed a few ticks above the open, a red one a few ticks below. Our statistics count both colors together. No trend is required before it: the rickshaw man pattern appears in an uptrend, in a downtrend or in a sideways market.

Our test bench uses a rule a computer can apply without judgment: a long-legged doji (open and close almost equal, with extended shadows, sizes relative to the 10 prior bars, as in the open-source TA-Lib library) whose real body sits within 10% of the high-low distance around the middle of the candlestick. That definition is stricter than common use: we find 25% of the occurrences TA-Lib flags, so our counts are not the total a looser scanner would report.

What the rickshaw man looks like

The figure below is not drawn by hand. It is the median shape of the rickshaw man candles our bench detected, with the lines of the setup we test in each direction: an entry at the break of one end of the candlestick, a stop-loss at the other end, and a target at twice the risk.

TPSLEntryBearish
Bearish setup on the median shape of 1,390 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)
TPSLEntryBullish
Bullish setup on the median shape of 1,390 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)

The typical one is not a huge candlestick. On the median occurrence, the distance from high to low covers 2.82% of price, or 1.08 times the average true range (ATR) of the asset: a little less than an average session. What stands out is not its size, it is the close back at the center.

Anatomy and structure of the rickshaw man

123
  1. Long upper shadow
  2. Doji bodywithin 10% of the range around the middle
  3. Long lower shadow
Median shape of 1,390 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, those with the candle colors drawn here (46% of the 3,000 drawn), found by our test bench.

The small real body

The real body is the distance between the opening price and the closing price. On a rickshaw man it is a thin line, or close to it. This small real body is what makes the candlestick a doji: by the close, neither buyers nor sellers had moved price away from where the period started.

Long upper and lower shadows

The upper shadow runs from the open and close up to the high, the lower shadow down to the low. Both are extended compared with recent bars. The upper shadow is the trace of buyers who pushed price up and were unable to hold it; the lower shadow is the trace of sellers who pushed it down and were unable to hold it either.

Without the top wick, a long lower shadow alone would make the candle a hanging man or a hammer. On a rickshaw man, the long lower shadow is matched by an equal wick on the other side, which is why it reads as balance rather than rejection.

Why the position of the real body matters

The position does matter: the centered real body is the only thing that separates a rickshaw man from other long-legged doji patterns. When it sits at the top, with a long lower shadow and no upper shadow, the candlestick is a dragonfly type; at the bottom, with only a top wick, it is a gravestone type. With the body in the middle, both shadows are about equal and the period ended exactly in balance.

Psychology behind the rickshaw man pattern

The rickshaw man tells the story of a volatile period that went nowhere. Price opens, one side takes control and is able to push it far in one direction, then the other side takes over and drives it just as far the other way. By the close, price is back at the open.

Indecision between bulls and bears

Bulls and bears each had control at some point, and neither kept it. That is why traders read this candlestick as indecision: supply and demand ended in balance after a wide move. It is not a calm market. It is a market that tested both directions and rejected both.

Whether one balanced period predicts the next move is a question for data, which we answer in the reliability section.

Rickshaw man in an uptrend and a downtrend

The meaning of a rickshaw man depends on where the pattern appears. Classic candlestick analysis gives the same candlestick little weight in the middle of a sideways market and more at the end of a strong move; we have not measured location.

At the top of an uptrend: a bearish warning

After a strong uptrend, a rickshaw man shows that bulls were unable to keep price at the top of the period. Traders read it as a potential bearish reversal: the buying that drove the uptrend met enough selling to send price back to the open. Classic analysis gives more weight to the warning when the pattern appears at a resistance level that already stopped price before, and when the next candle closes below its low; we have not measured either condition. Without that, the bearish reading is only a hypothesis: an uptrend can pause on a rickshaw man and then continue. In candlestick theory, the longer and steeper the uptrend, the more weight the candle carries, and in a young uptrend it may only be a pause; our bench splits the prior trend by direction only, not by length. A trader who holds a long position can tighten the stop after it rather than close the position.

At the bottom of a downtrend: a bullish warning

After a downtrend, at a support level, the same candlestick shows that bears were unable to keep price at the low. Traders read it as a potential bullish reversal, confirmed by a close above its high. In both cases, the side that was in control lost its grip for one period, nothing more.

Inside larger reversal patterns

A rickshaw man is also a doji, so it can be the middle candle of bearish reversal patterns such as the evening star at the top of an uptrend, or of bullish ones such as the morning star after a decline. It can be the second candle of a harami cross when it sits inside the previous body, and three dojis in a row form a tri-star. In these candlestick patterns, the rickshaw man is the moment of indecision; the other candles give the direction.

Difference between a rickshaw man and a standard doji

Several single-candle patterns share part of the rickshaw man's shape: candles with small real bodies and shadows on both sides all express indecision. Here is how to tell them apart, with each one's 2:1 result, taken from its own page.

Rickshaw man vs. doji

A standard doji only requires the open and close to be almost equal; its shadows can be of any length and sit anywhere. The rickshaw man is a doji with long, balanced shadows. On 1,196,277 doji occurrences (1,194,453 closed trades), the breakout setup reached its 2:1 target 33.7% of the time against 33.5% on random dates; the gap in average result per trade does not pass our statistical test.

Rickshaw man vs. long-legged doji

Every rickshaw man is a long-legged doji, but not every long-legged doji is a rickshaw man: its open and close can sit anywhere in the range. On 100,516 long-legged doji occurrences (100,256 closed trades), the setup reached its target 33.2% of the time, against 33.0% on random dates, for −0.01 R against −0.02 R per trade. The rickshaw man did 33.0% against 32.9%, for −0.02 R against −0.02 R. Neither gap passes our statistical test. The centered position did not change the outcome.

Rickshaw man vs. spinning top

A spinning top has a small real body that is still visible, with shadows longer than the body. The rickshaw man is the extreme case. When both shadows are much longer, it becomes a high wave candle. The spinning top setup reached its target 33.4% of the time against 33.4% on random dates, for −0.01 R against −0.01 R per trade, not a significant gap.

Rickshaw man vs. hanging man

The hanging man is the pattern easiest to confuse with the rickshaw man: both have a small real body and a long lower shadow. The difference is the upper shadow and the context: the hanging man's upper wick is absent or tiny, and the hanging man needs an uptrend before it.

How the hanging man looks

The hanging man is characterized by a small real body at the top of the candle, a long lower shadow at least twice its height, and little or no upper shadow. The hanging man pattern appears only after an uptrend, and it is read as a bearish reversal signal: sellers were able to push price far down during the period, a first sign that the uptrend is losing strength. A stock that formed a hanging man at a new high after a long uptrend is the textbook case.

The long lower shadow is the whole story of the hanging man. On a rickshaw man, the long lower shadow is balanced by an upper shadow of the same size, so it tells a different story: both sides pushed, and neither won.

How the rickshaw man differs

The rickshaw man has an upper shadow as long as its lower shadow and its open and close in the middle; it needs no prior trend and has no direction. A candle that formed a hanging man shape after a downtrend is a hammer instead, a bullish reversal pattern: the hammer pattern and the hanging man are the same candle in two places. So the same shape can be a hanging man, a hammer pattern or neither, depending on the upper shadow and on the trend before it.

What our testing says about each

The hanging man trade (entry below its low after an uptrend) reached its 2:1 target 25.0% of the time against 24.1% on random dates, with an average result of −0.25 R per trade before costs against −0.28 R at random. That gap does not pass our statistical test (no clear edge), and the trade lost money on average, about as much as chance. The rickshaw man breakout was break-even before costs, and so was chance. Neither one is a trading system on its own.

How to identify the rickshaw man in technical analysis

To identify a rickshaw man on a candlestick chart, check four points once the candle has closed.

Step 1: a doji body

The open and close must be almost equal. A thin horizontal line, or a tiny box, is enough. If the small real body is clearly visible, as a box rather than a line, the candle is a spinning top, not a rickshaw man. A scanner may group all small real bodies under one label, so check the shape yourself.

Step 2: long shadows on both sides

Both shadows must be long compared with the previous bars. If one shadow is long and the other short or absent, look at the hanging man, the hammer, the inverted hammer or the shooting star instead.

Step 3: a body near the midpoint

Measure where the body sits. Our rule allows it within 10% of the candle's extent around the middle. In practice, both shadows should look about equal.

Step 4: the context

Note the trend before the candle and the levels around it: an extended uptrend, a downtrend, a support or resistance zone, a trendline, or the middle of a sideways market. The candlestick is the same in each case; its meaning changes with the context.

Trading strategies using the rickshaw man pattern

Because the rickshaw man has no direction of its own, one trading approach is to let the market choose, and the next bar to trigger the entry. Place a buy stop just above the high and a sell stop just below the low, and follow the side that breaks first. This is the setup our bench simulates on every occurrence (a description of how it behaved in the past, not financial advice):

  • entry: the first break of the high or the low, which will trigger one of the two orders;
  • stop-loss: the opposite end of the candle;
  • target: two times the risk (a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio).
TP buyBuy stopSell stopTP sellIndecision
Buy stop
At the pattern high, stop loss at the low
Sell stop
At the pattern low, stop loss at the high
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1), on the side hit first
Whichever order is hit first is traded, the other is canceled. The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of 1,390 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, those with the candle colors drawn here (46% of the 3,000 drawn).

A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern105.4583.95+10 barsTPSLEntry2018-112019-01
TextbookMSFT December 19, 2018Daily chartPrice fell 1.7% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.10 R

In our testing, price broke one end of the candle in 45,804 of 45,835 cases. Trades that reached the target took a median of 5 bars, and stopped trades a median of 3.

Using the rickshaw man for trend reversals

After a long uptrend, at a resistance level, a rickshaw man is read as a potential bearish reversal: the trader only takes the break of the low. After a long downtrend, at a support level, it is read as a potential bullish reversal: the trader only takes the break of the high. We split occurrences by the prior trend. After a rise, the 2:1 target was hit 32.5% of the time (expectancy −0.03 R); after a decline, 33.6% (0.00 R). The gap is small, and these breakdowns are descriptive, not corrected for the number of tests.

Using it as a pause in a strong trend

In a strong trend, a rickshaw man can be only a pause. Trend traders read the price action of the next bars, take the break in the direction of the trend and ignore the other side, using the candlestick as a short consolidation before the next move.

Confirming signals with volume and indicators

One rule wants heavy volume on the candle, as a sign that both sides traded with size. Volume is easy to check on a stock chart, less so in spot forex, where only tick volume is available. We measured it: rickshaw man occurrences printed with volume above 1.5 times the 20-day average reached the 2:1 target 33.0% of the time (−0.01 R), against 32.9% on normal volume (−0.02 R). On hourly crypto, 31.6% against 30.7%. Higher volume barely increases the odds, so volume is not a good filter on its own.

The long-term trend is the other filter we tested. Occurrences above the 200-day moving average reached the target 32.7% of the time (−0.03 R), against 33.6% below it (0.00 R). Other indicators can be added, for example the RSI in overbought or oversold territory, or a stochastic oscillator. We have not tested them: if you use the RSI or other indicators, such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands or the MACD, test them on your own market before trusting them. One example: a rickshaw man after an uptrend while the RSI is above 70, read as a sign that the move is stretched. Momentum indicators and trend indicators answer different questions, and three indicators that say the same thing are not three confirmations.

Waiting for confirmation from price action

Risk management for the rickshaw man

Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy or sell. Trading carries a risk of loss, and past results, ours included, do not guarantee future ones.

Placing the stop-loss: how it works

The natural stop-loss is the other end of the candle: below the low for a buy, above the high for a sell. That stop covers the whole range of the candle, and a wider stop increases the risk per unit. Size each position from the distance between entry and stop, so that a loss at the stop costs a small, fixed share of the trading account.

Setting profit targets

The target we test is twice the risk; another option is the next support or resistance level, which we have not tested. With a 2:1 target, a trade must win more than one time in three to break even before costs. The rickshaw man hit that target in 33.0% of cases: break-even, with fees and slippage still to pay.

Managing trades that go your way first

Of the trades that hit their stop, 24.4% had first reached +1 R. That is the argument for a partial exit or a trailing stop, and a reason not to count a trade as won before the target is hit.

Advantages, risks and limitations of the rickshaw man pattern

Advantages

  • Easy to identify: one candle, open and close in the middle of a wide move.
  • Clear levels: the two ends of the candle define both the entry and the stop.
  • Frequent: about one bar in 185, and one in 173 on an hourly chart.

Limitations

  • No direction: the pattern does not say which side will break.
  • No edge on its own: the breakout did almost exactly as well as random dates.
  • On hourly crypto it did slightly worse than chance, a difference that survives our correction.
  • The stop covers the whole candle, so each false break costs a full 1 R.

Common mistakes

  • Reading a rickshaw man as a bullish or bearish signal on its own, without the next bars.
  • Entering before the close: during the period the candle can still turn into a hammer, a hanging man or a big candle.
  • Treating every break as genuine: a false break can reverse within a bar or two, as the examples below show.
  • Confusing it with a hanging man: a long lower shadow alone, at the top of an uptrend, is a different pattern.
  • Trading every rickshaw man in the middle of a range, where classic analysis gives it the least weight (we have not measured location).

Is the rickshaw man reliable?

Not on its own. On most markets and timeframes we tested, the average result per trade of a rickshaw man breakout did not pass our statistical test against the same trade placed on random dates of the same assets. On hourly crypto charts it did worse, −0.06 R against 0.00 R per trade, by a margin that holds after our correction for multiple testing. Apart from the all-markets hourly row, which is mostly hourly crypto, no other row passes even a simple test, and no row showed a positive edge that holds after our correction for multiple testing. Here are the numbers from our test bench.

33.0%vs 32.9% at random

Hit the 2:1 target, compared with the same trade on random dates.

Measured on 45,703 closed trades on 45,835 daily rickshaw man occurrences across 2,289 assets. The same trade on random dates on the same assets is the honest baseline.

No clear edge

Rickshaw man against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

2:1 trade hit its targetRickshaw man tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Rickshaw man trade: 33.0%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 32.9%
  • Crypto
    Crypto, Rickshaw man trade: 34.4%
    Crypto, Same trade, random dates: 33.1%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Rickshaw man trade: 32.8%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 32.8%
  • Forex
    Forex, Rickshaw man trade: 36.2%
    Forex, Same trade, random dates: 32.8%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Rickshaw man trade: 33.8%
    ETFs, Same trade, random dates: 33.6%
  • Indices
    Indices, Rickshaw man trade: 36.0%
    Indices, Same trade, random dates: 35.6%
  • Commodities
    Commodities, Rickshaw man trade: 30.7%
    Commodities, Same trade, random dates: 36.8%
All statistics

Full results for the rickshaw man candlestick pattern, market by market

Every occurrence our rule finds on full price history, compared with what the same assets did on random bars. A pattern only earns an edge if it beats random entries after correcting for the thousands of tests we run.

Our verdict

As a 2:1 trade: Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.

2:1 trade No clear edge

Rickshaw man: 45,835 occurrences tested

Neutral pattern · All markets · Daily · 2,289 assets · 1970-05 to 2026-10

2:1 trade hit the target
33.0%
vs 32.9% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
−0.02 R
vs −0.02 R on random dates

What this means. This pattern has no expected direction, so only the 2:1 trade is compared with the same trade on random dates. For the 2:1 trade: no measurable difference from the same trade on random dates on the same assets.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
1 day · middle half 1 to 1 · on 45,804 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme. 101 of these entries are not among the 45,703 trades: still open at the end of our data, or left out by the trade rules.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
5 days · middle half 3 to 10 · on 15,067 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
3 days · middle half 1 to 6 · on 30,537 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
4 days · middle half 2 to 8 · on 45,703 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
2.8% · middle half 2.0% to 4.2% · on 45,835 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
1.08× · middle half 0.99× to 1.22× · on 45,835 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
0.98 R · middle half 0.29 R to 2.10 R · on 45,703 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
24.4% · on 30,537 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
99.9% · on 45,835 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. Long-legged doji whose body sits within 10% of the range around the middle of the candle. The candle's range is at least the average range, and the shorter shadow is at least a third of the longer one. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (20 rows)

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
Crypto · 1-hour82,67831.0%33.1%−0.06 R vs 0.00 ROpposite of the textbook
Forex · 1-hour14,74832.3%32.4%−0.03 R vs −0.02 RNo clear edge
All markets · 1-hour97,42631.2%33.0%−0.06 R vs 0.00 ROpposite of the textbook
Crypto · 4-hour20,39732.1%32.9%−0.03 R vs 0.00 RNo clear edge
Forex · 4-hour3,31633.0%32.6%−0.01 R vs −0.02 RNo clear edge
All markets · 4-hour23,71332.2%32.9%−0.03 R vs −0.01 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Daily2,91934.4%33.1%+0.04 R vs +0.01 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Daily40,14132.8%32.8%−0.02 R vs −0.02 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Daily1,26133.8%33.6%−0.01 R vs −0.01 RNo clear edge
Indices · Daily58336.0%35.6%+0.07 R vs +0.07 RNo clear edge
Forex · Daily42836.2%32.8%+0.08 R vs −0.02 RNo clear edge
Commodities · Daily37130.7%36.8%−0.09 R vs +0.11 RNo clear edge
All markets · Daily45,70333.0%32.9%−0.02 R vs −0.02 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Weekly30735.5%33.4%+0.07 R vs 0.00 RNot enough data
US stocks · Weekly6,56234.4%33.0%+0.03 R vs 0.00 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Weekly20530.2%34.6%−0.10 R vs +0.04 RNo clear edge
Indices · Weekly11045.5%36.4%+0.36 R vs +0.09 RNo clear edge
Forex · Weekly8028.8%33.3%−0.14 R vs 0.00 RNo clear edge
Commodities · Weekly7330.1%37.2%−0.10 R vs +0.11 RNo clear edge
All markets · Weekly7,33734.4%33.1%+0.03 R vs 0.00 RNo clear edge

Data updated November 5, 2026 · code version c2a1683f · Read the methodology. We measure every pattern on crypto and forex (1-hour, 4-hour, daily and weekly charts) and US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities (daily and weekly charts). A market or timeframe from that list missing from the tables above had no occurrence.

What you often read

“The rickshaw man candlestick pattern signals indecision before a big move.”

What our data shows

On 45,703 daily closed trades, the 2:1 trade taken on the side of the first breakout hit its target 33.0% of the time, against 32.9% for the same trade on random dates: no clear edge, since the average result per trade is not statistically significant.

Table quoted in the text (verdicts and every market: see All measurements)
Market and timeframeOccurrencesClosed trades2:1 target hitSame trade, random datesExpectancyVerdict
All markets, daily45,83545,70333.0%32.9%−0.02 RNo clear edge
US stocks, daily40,22540,14132.8%32.8%−0.02 RNo clear edge
Crypto, daily2,9602,91934.4%33.1%+0.04 RNo clear edge
Crypto, hourly82,76082,67831.0%33.1%−0.06 RWorse than chance
Crypto, 4-hour20,43620,39732.1%32.9%−0.03 RNo clear edge
Forex, hourly14,75914,74832.3%32.4%−0.03 RNo clear edge
All markets, weekly7,4457,33734.4%33.1%+0.03 RNo clear edge

Read the table in pairs of columns. Over 45,835 occurrences (45,703 closed trades), the breakout trade hit its 2:1 target in 33.0% of cases, against 32.9% for the same entry, stop and target placed on random dates of the same assets. The expectancy, the average result per trade in units of risk (R) before costs, is −0.02 R: no clear edge. Because the pattern has no expected direction, we do not report a "moved as expected" rate.

The crypto row looks better at first sight (34.4% against 33.1%), but on 2,960 occurrences (2,919 closed trades) its average result per trade is not significantly better than on random dates. On hourly crypto, the breakout did worse than random dates (31.0% against 33.1%, −0.06 R against 0.00 R), a difference that holds after our correction for the thousands of tests we run. Weekly crypto (307 trades) showed 35.5% against 33.4%, and +0.07 R against 0.00 R per trade, a gap our bench does not rate: these trades fall in too few independent periods for its test (not enough data). A significant result on one market is at best a lead to test again, not a rule.

How we decide what counts as an edge: confidence intervals come from a bootstrap that resamples blocks of 13 weeks or more, because on a crash day hundreds of assets move together and should not count as independent evidence. Each verdict is then corrected for the number of tests with the procedure of Benjamini and Hochberg (Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 1995), which keeps the expected share of wrong discoveries at 5%.

For a single stock or a single coin, these averages do not guarantee anything: they describe thousands of occurrences. The All measurements table, with every market, timeframe and verdict, is in the full results section of this page. The method is published in our methodology.

Real examples of the rickshaw man

The gallery in this section shows real rickshaw man candles picked by our bench (best and worst results, textbook shapes, most recent, random draws), with their actual outcome. The two cases written up below are on daily crypto charts.

Real occurrences from our test bench, each on its market's main timeframe. Crypto and US stock examples come from liquid assets only (the largest coins, the most traded stocks). Best and Worst are the best and worst 2:1 trade results, Textbook the cleanest shapes (chosen on geometry alone, never on the outcome), Most recent the latest detections among the assets the gallery draws from, Typical a random draw. Shaded area: the pattern. Dashed lines: entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP) of the tested trade. Dotted line: 10 bars after the signal. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open. Stock and ETF prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time. We left out 44 cards: 35 with a shape that does not read as the definition on this page, 5 with an overnight jump that may be a switch between two futures contracts, 4 with a candle that is the thin first bar of the trading week. They still count in the statistics, and are not replaced: our bench picks a fixed number of cards per category.

Market
Examples
Crypto overallAcross 82,760 rickshaw man occurrences on 1-hour charts (82,678 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 31.0% of the time, against 33.1% for the same trade on random dates.Opposite of the textbookThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern7.757.46+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-10
Best tradeETC October 27, 20261-hour chartPrice rose 0.9% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern0.26290.2469+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-09
TextbookXRP September 7, 20191-hour chartPrice rose 3.6% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern7.666.97+10 barsTPSLEntry2023-032023-03
TextbookLINK March 24, 20231-hour chartPrice fell 1.5% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern773.9742.0TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentBNB October 28, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: in progress
◂ Pattern7.726.97TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentUNI October 28, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: in progress
◂ Pattern7.667.27+10 barsTPSLEntry2023-082023-08
TypicalLINK August 14, 20231-hour chartPrice rose 1.8% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
US stocks overallAcross 40,225 daily rickshaw man occurrences (40,141 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 32.8% of the time, against 32.8% for the same trade on random dates. The average result per trade does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern105.4583.95+10 barsTPSLEntry2018-112019-01
TextbookMSFT December 19, 2018Daily chartPrice fell 1.7% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.10 R
◂ Pattern2.782.34+10 barsTPSLEntry1983-051983-08
TextbookAXP June 21, 1983Daily chartPrice fell 2.6% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern1.951.75+10 barsTPSLEntry1985-07
TypicalCVX August 26, 1985Daily chartPrice rose 0.7% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
Forex overallAcross 14,759 rickshaw man occurrences on 1-hour charts (14,748 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 32.3% of the time, against 32.4% for the same trade on random dates. The average result per trade does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern110.0109.5+10 barsTPSLEntry2020-02
TextbookUSD/JPY February 18, 20201-hour chartNo net move after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern1.481.46+10 barsTPSLEntry2015-102015-10
TextbookGBP/CHF October 14, 20151-hour chartNo net move after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R, 69 bars after entry, past this chart
◂ Pattern112.3111.4TPSLEntry2026-102026-10
Most recentCAD/JPY October 23, 20261-hour chart2:1 trade: in progress
◂ Pattern0.86080.8565+10 barsTPSLEntry2021-06
TypicalEUR/GBP June 4, 20211-hour chartPrice fell 0.1% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern1.721.71+10 barsTPSLEntry2023-08
TypicalGBP/CAD September 1, 20231-hour chartNo net move after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
ETFs overallAcross 1,262 daily rickshaw man occurrences (1,261 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 33.8% of the time, against 33.6% for the same trade on random dates. The average result per trade does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern48.3845.95+10 barsTPSLEntry2015-07
Best tradeHYG August 19, 2015Daily chartPrice rose 0.1% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +3.80 R
◂ Pattern36.3434.04+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-03
Worst tradeEWU April 1, 2025Daily chartPrice fell 2.1% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −5.14 RAfter the pattern, price left the chart: low 31.05 on April 9, 2025.
◂ Pattern30.7328.69+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-07
TextbookXLRE August 1, 2019Daily chartPrice rose 2.4% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern151.5140.0+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-10
TextbookIWM November 20, 2019Daily chartPrice rose 1.5% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern38.0334.45+10 barsTPSLEntry2021-10
TypicalXLF November 22, 2021Daily chartPrice fell 0.7% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.51 R
◂ Pattern13.0411.60+10 barsTPSLEntry2005-092005-11
TypicalXLY October 6, 2005Daily chartPrice fell 1.1% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
Indices overallAcross 584 daily rickshaw man occurrences (583 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 36.0% of the time, against 35.6% for the same trade on random dates. The average result per trade does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern18,31717,379+10 barsTPSLEntry2024-072024-09
TextbookHang Seng August 5, 2024Daily chartPrice rose 5.2% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern2,0281,885+10 barsTPSLEntry2012-09
TextbookKOSPI October 11, 2012Daily chartPrice fell 0.4% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.25 R
◂ Pattern26,61926,140+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-08
Most recentDAX September 22, 2026Daily chart2:1 trade: in progress
◂ Pattern379.6346.5+10 barsTPSLEntry1993-07
TypicalNasdaq 100 August 12, 1993Daily chartPrice rose 1.5% after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
Examples
Commodities overallAcross 373 daily rickshaw man occurrences (371 closed trades), the 2:1 trade hit its target 30.7% of the time, against 36.8% for the same trade on random dates. The average result per trade does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern117.1596.56TPSLEntry2026-092026-10
Most recentBrent crude oil futures October 20, 2026Daily chart2:1 trade: in progress
◂ Pattern52.4745.65+10 barsTPSLEntry2002-12
TypicalCotton futures January 3, 2003Daily chartPrice fell 1.9% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern58.5048.15+10 barsTPSLEntry2003-05
TypicalCotton futures June 12, 2003Daily chartPrice fell 1.7% after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.05 R

Example: a break that reached the target

On October 8, 2025, BNB/USDT printed a rickshaw man after a rise the day before, with a high at 1,334.19 and a low at 1,264.32. The next day price broke the low, triggering a sell entry at 1,264.32 with a stop at 1,334.19 and a 2:1 target at 1,124.58. The target was hit the following day, and BNB was 16.4% lower 10 days after the candle.

Example: a break that failed

On August 10, 2025, LINK/USDT printed one between 21.15 and 22.70. The next day price broke the low, triggering a sell entry at 21.15 with a stop at 22.70 and a 2:1 target at 18.05. The breakdown did not last: on August 12 price rallied to 24.20, through the stop, a full 1 R loss. Ten days after the candle, LINK was 19.9% higher. The break of the candle said nothing reliable about the direction, which is why the stop and the exit plan matter more than the candle.

Tools and practice

Charting platforms can flag doji patterns, and the open-source TA-Lib library provides a CDLRICKSHAWMAN function. Check which definition your tool uses: the thresholds for "doji", "long shadow" and "near the middle" differ from one tool to another, and so do the results.

Before trading the rickshaw man with real money, mark the last 50 occurrences on your market, write down the entry, stop and target you would have used, and record the outcome. Then compare it with the same trade on random days. That small exercise of backtesting is the test we run at scale, and it gives a first look at the pattern on your market, e.g. a stock you follow or a crypto pair, though 50 cases are too few to separate an edge from noise.

FAQ: the rickshaw man candlestick pattern

Is the rickshaw man bullish or bearish?

Neither. It is an indecision candle. It becomes a bullish or bearish signal only through its context and the next bars, and in our tests the first break did as well as a random entry.

Is a rickshaw man a doji?

Yes. It is a long-legged doji whose open and close sit near the middle, so the upper and lower shadows have about the same length.

What is the difference between a rickshaw man and a hanging man?

The hanging man has a small real body at the top, a long lower shadow and little or no upper shadow, and it appears after an uptrend as a bearish signal. The rickshaw man has two shadows of similar length, a center position, and no direction.

How often does the rickshaw man appear?

About once every 185 bars on a daily chart, once every 173 on an hourly chart and once every 209 on a weekly chart.

Does the rickshaw man work in forex?

Not better than chance in our tests. On 14,759 hourly occurrences (14,748 closed trades) across 25 currency pairs, the breakout reached its target 32.3% of the time against 32.4% on random dates, with an expectancy of −0.03 R before costs, against −0.02 R for the same trades on random dates.

How do you avoid false signals with the rickshaw man?

You cannot avoid them all. Classic candlestick analysis suggests three habits: trade only the occurrences at a support or resistance level, wait for a close beyond the candle rather than a touch, and skip the pattern in the middle of a sideways market. None of these filters is proven by our data; they reduce the number of trades, and a false break remains a normal cost of the setup.

Does the color of a rickshaw man matter?

No. The color only says whether the close sits a few ticks above or below the open, which is noise on a candle this balanced. Volume did not change the outcome much either in our tests, and we have not measured location.

Which timeframe is best?

No timeframe stood out, for a stock index, a single stock or a coin. All markets combined, daily, 4-hour and weekly results were close to chance, and hourly results were worse than chance. One smaller row is not rated: weekly crypto reads Not enough data. The best test is your own data, and the best timeframe is the one where you can apply the rule the same way every time.

Summary

  • A rickshaw man is a doji with long upper and lower shadows and its open and close near the middle.
  • It signals indecision, not a direction; the setup we test trades whichever side breaks first.
  • On 45,835 occurrences (45,703 closed trades), that setup hit its 2:1 target in 33.0% of cases, almost exactly as often as random dates.
  • On hourly crypto it did slightly worse than chance, a difference confirmed after our correction for multiple testing.
  • Volume, the prior trend and the 200-day moving average changed the hit rate by less than two points.

If you trade this pattern, treat it as a location for a trade, not as a reason for one. Define the stop at the other end of the candle before entry, size the position on that distance, and keep the risk per trade small. The edge, if any, has to come from what you combine it with.

About the author and the data. Written by Amaury, founder of PatternsWizard, who is passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. He built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each setup with fixed, published rules on full market history: crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities. Trades and win rates are compared with random bars on the same assets, excess returns with the rest of the market, with error margins and a correction for multiple testing, and the whole pipeline is checked on random-walk prices, where nothing can be predicted. Statistics on this page were generated on November 5, 2026. The full methodology explains every step.

, Founder of PatternsWizard

Passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. Amaury built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each pattern on full price history and measures what happened next against random entries.

Statistics on this page come from our open methodology: every occurrence our rule finds on full history, compared with chance. How we test patterns.

179 patterns testedRandom-walk self-test passed