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CandlestickBullish breakawayBearish breakaway

Breakaway Candlestick Pattern: Rules, Trading and Tested Results

What is the breakaway candlestick pattern? How to recognize its five candles in both versions, how to trade it, and how its bullish and bearish setups compared with random dates.

· Founder of PatternsWizard
Updated Statistics updated 10 min read
Bullish breakaway patternBearish breakaway pattern

How we tested this pattern

Sample
166 occurrences on 5 markets (crypto, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities), 1986 to 2026.
Detection
Found by code, never picked by hand: every match of the rule on full price history, winners and losers alike.bullish breakaway pattern: After a downtrend: a long black candle; a black candle whose body gaps below it; two candles making lower highs and lower lows, the fourth black; then a white candle closing inside the gap between the first and second bodies. Any gap counts, even one tick. A long body is at least 1.3 times the average body of the 10 candles before the pattern and at least 0.6 times the largest of them.bearish breakaway pattern: After an uptrend: a long white candle; a white candle whose body gaps above it; two candles making higher highs and higher lows, the fourth white; then a black candle closing inside the gap between the first and second bodies. Any gap counts, even one tick. A long body is at least 1.3 times the average body of the 10 candles before the pattern and at least 0.6 times the largest of them.
Benchmark
Each occurrence is compared with the same assets on random bars: the move 10 bars later, and a 2:1 reward-to-risk trade.
Checks
Block bootstrap and a correction for the thousands of tests we run, plus a random-walk self-test that the bench passes: on random prices, no pattern should win.
Updated
Data updated November 5, 2026, code version c2a1683f. Read the methodology · bullish breakaway pattern data (JSON) · bearish breakaway pattern data (JSON)

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At a glance: what textbooks say, what we measured
Pattern
Bullish breakaway
Occurrences tested
62 occurrences, all markets, daily
Textbook: price should rise after it
Too close to call · +0.65% vs the market, 10 bars
Verdict
10-bar move: No clear edge2:1 trade: No clear edge
Pattern
Bearish breakaway
Occurrences tested
104 occurrences, all markets, daily
Textbook: price should fall after it
Too close to call · −0.46% vs the market, 10 bars
Its best market and timeframe, still negative
US stocks, daily: −0.44 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
Verdict
10-bar move: No clear edge2:1 trade: No clear edge

See the statistics

On this page
  1. What is the breakaway candlestick pattern?
  2. Anatomy and structure of the pattern
  3. Psychology behind the formation
  4. How to trade a breakaway candlestick
  5. Advantages and limitations of the pattern
  6. Comparing the breakaway to other reversal patterns
  7. Statistical performance and reliability
  8. Real examples of the breakaway pattern
  9. Tools to scan for the pattern
  10. Frequently asked questions
  11. Final thoughts on trading the breakaway pattern

The breakaway candlestick pattern is a five-candle reversal pattern: a strong candle in the direction of the trend, a gap, three sessions that extend the move with less and less force, then a candle in the opposite direction that closes inside the gap. It comes in a bullish version after a downtrend and a bearish version after an uptrend.

Beyond the rules and the setup, this guide shows what happened next. Our test bench scanned full market history across stocks, crypto, forex, ETFs, indices and commodities (62 bullish and 104 bearish on daily charts) and compared the outcome with random days on the same assets.

What is the breakaway candlestick pattern?

It is a rare five-bar formation that marks a move running out of strength. The trend accelerates, keeps going for three more sessions, then one strong session erases most of them. Gregory Morris describes it in Candlestick Charting Explained, and the open-source TA-Lib library implements it as the CDLBREAKAWAY function; on geometry alone, our rule finds every bullish case it flags and 93% of the bearish ones. The name is a little misleading: the first jump looks like a breakaway gap with the trend, and the formation is the failure of that move.

Anatomy and structure of the pattern

123
  1. Long black candleafter a downtrend
  2. Black body gaps belowthe first candle
  3. White close inside the gapbetween the first and second bodies
Median shape of 33 daily occurrences from all markets, those with the candle colors drawn here (83% of the 40 usable), found by our test bench.
123
  1. Long white candleafter an uptrend
  2. White body gaps abovethe first candle
  3. Black close inside the gapbetween the first and second bodies
Median shape of 52 daily occurrences from all markets, those with the candle colors drawn here (67% of the 78 usable), found by our test bench.

The bullish breakaway: identification criteria

  1. A downtrend is in place.
  2. Candle 1 is a long black candle.
  3. Candle 2 is black and opens and closes below the first body.
  4. Sessions 3 and 4 make successively lower highs and lows; the fourth is black, the third can be either color.
  5. Candle 5 is a white one, of any size, that closes inside the gap between the first and second bodies.

The chart below is not drawn by hand. It is the median shape of the occurrences our bench detected on daily charts across all markets (mostly US stocks), with the faded bars showing the decline before, and the lines of the position we test: entry above the high of the five sessions, stop below their low, target at twice the risk.

TPSLEntryBullish
Bullish setup on the median shape of 33 daily occurrences from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)

The bearish breakaway: identification criteria

It is the exact mirror. After an uptrend: a tall white candle, a second candle of the same color whose body sits above the first, two sessions making higher highs and lows (the fourth one white), then a black candle that closes back between the first two bodies.

TPSLEntryBearish
Bearish setup on the median shape of 52 daily occurrences from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)

The median occurrence spans 9.92% of price from top to bottom for the bullish version and 6.57% for the sell version, or 2.86 and 2.61 times the average true range (ATR) of the asset. That matters for the stop.

Psychology behind the formation

In the bullish case, sellers are in control and the downside jump on the second session shows urgency. Price still makes new lows over the next two sessions, but in the classic reading each push finds less follow-through. Then buyers wipe out those sessions in one. The classic reading is that the selling pressure has ended. That story is plausible, but whether it shifts the trend is a question for data.

How to trade a breakaway candlestick

The classic setup buys a break above the top of the five sessions (or sells a break below their bottom for the sell version), with a stop on the other side and a target set as a multiple of the risk. This is the position our bench simulates on every occurrence.

TPSLEntryBullish
Entry
Buy stop at the pattern high
Stop loss (SL)
At the pattern low
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1)
The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of 33 daily occurrences from all markets, those with the candle colors drawn here (83% of the 40 usable).
TPSLEntryBearish
Entry
Sell stop at the pattern low
Stop loss (SL)
At the pattern high
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1)
The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of 52 daily occurrences from all markets, those with the candle colors drawn here (67% of the 78 usable).

A clean case from our bench: ETFsChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. ETF prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern59.6643.42+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-032025-07
TextbookVEA April 9, 2025Daily chart6.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: closed at +1.74 R, 100 bars after entry, past this chart

A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern354.9440.68+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-102026-01
TextbookSNDK November 13, 2025Daily chart8.3% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R

Entry signals and trade confirmation

The aggressive entry is at the close of the fifth session. The conservative entry places a buy stop above the highest point of the five sessions, so price must first retrace the whole jump. In our tests, that buy stop was triggered in 64.5% of cases; in 25.8% the low broke first and the setup was canceled. On the sell side, the entry was triggered in 42.3% of cases and canceled in 55.8%. On both sides, the remaining setups expired: price touched neither level within the 20 bars the order stays active, or the data ended first.

Managing risk: stop loss and profit targets

All our figures are before costs. To convert your own costs, divide the round-trip cost (commission, spread and slippage) by the distance from entry to stop: the result is what each position loses in R. Because the stop here is wide, costs weigh less per R than on tight one-candle setups, but they never disappear.

Advantages and limitations of the pattern

  • Advantages: precise rules and a clear invalidation level.
  • Limitation: it is rare, one occurrence every 124,372 eligible daily bars for the bullish version and one every 74,882 for the sell version.
  • Limitation: the stop is wide, so the position must be small.
  • Limitation: neither version beat chance in a way that survives our statistical correction.
  • Limitation: it barely exists on markets that trade around the clock, like crypto and forex, where opening jumps are rare.

Comparing the breakaway to other reversal patterns

The ladder bottom is the closest relative: also five sessions, a series of falling sessions then a reversal session, but with no gap in the direction of the trend: its only jump is the last session opening above the fourth body. The morning star and the abandoned baby compress the same idea into three candles. The island reversal requires a second jump the other way. The rising and falling three methods look similar at first glance but are continuation patterns: the last session goes with the trend, not against it.

Statistical performance and reliability

Here are the numbers from our test bench on the daily timeframe, where most occurrences are, each compared with random days on the same assets. The buy-side sample covers 59 assets from 1994 to 2025, the sell-side sample 101 assets from 1986 to 2026.

64.5%vs 54.7% at random

Moved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.

Measured on 62 daily bullish breakaway occurrences across 59 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.

No clear edge
33.7%vs 45.0% at random

Moved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.

Measured on 104 daily bearish breakaway occurrences across 101 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.

No clear edge

Bullish breakaway against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

Moved the expected way 10 bars laterBullish breakawayRandom bars
  • All markets
    All markets, Bullish breakaway: 64.5%
    All markets, Random bars: 54.7%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Bullish breakaway: 66.7%
    US stocks, Random bars: 54.3%
2:1 trade hit its targetBullish breakaway tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Bullish breakaway trade: 25.0%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 29.5%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Bullish breakaway trade: 26.5%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 27.4%

Bearish breakaway against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

Moved the expected way 10 bars laterBearish breakawayRandom bars
  • All markets
    All markets, Bearish breakaway: 33.7%
    All markets, Random bars: 45.0%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Bearish breakaway: 35.1%
    US stocks, Random bars: 45.0%
2:1 trade hit its targetBearish breakaway tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Bearish breakaway trade: 14.0%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 26.8%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Bearish breakaway trade: 14.0%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 26.8%
All statistics

Full results for the breakaway candlestick pattern, market by market

Every occurrence our rule finds on full price history, compared with what the same assets did on random bars. A pattern only earns an edge if it beats random entries after correcting for the thousands of tests we run.

Our verdict

Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.

10-bar move No clear edge2:1 trade No clear edge

Bullish breakaway: 62 occurrences tested

Bullish pattern · All markets · Daily · 59 assets · 1994-04 to 2025-12

Moved the expected way after 10 bars
64.5%
vs 54.7% on random bars
Excess return vs its market, 10 bars
+0.65%
95% interval −0.38% to +1.61%
its market−3%+3%
2:1 trade hit the target
25.0%
vs 29.5% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
+0.23 R
vs +0.06 R on random dates

What this means. No measurable difference from the rest of its market over the next 10 bars.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
4 days · middle half 3 to 5 · on 40 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
too few to measure · on 10 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
too few to measure · on 17 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
44 days · middle half 17 to 100 · on 40 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
9.9% · middle half 7.4% to 15.3% · on 62 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
2.86× · middle half 2.47× to 3.35× · on 62 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
1.36 R · middle half 0.53 R to 1.83 R · on 40 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
too few to measure · on 17 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
64.5% · on 62 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. After a downtrend: a long black candle; a black candle whose body gaps below it; two candles making lower highs and lower lows, the fourth black; then a white candle closing inside the gap between the first and second bodies. Any gap counts, even one tick. A long body is at least 1.3 times the average body of the 10 candles before the pattern and at least 0.6 times the largest of them. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (6 rows)

10-bar move: did price go the expected way?

Figures in gray: fewer than 30 occurrences, not interpreted. Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. The test uses the bootstrap’s standard error and the interval its percentiles: near the 0.05 line, or on a few extreme moves, an interval can leave out zero while the test does not pass, and the test decides. Stock data misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized, which can flatter stock rows.
MarketOccurrencesPatternRandom barsExcess10-bar move verdict
Crypto · 1-hour30.0%49.1%−0.37%Not enough data
US stocks · Daily5466.7%54.3%+0.56%No clear edge
ETFs · Daily475.0%58.0%+2.00%Not enough data
Indices · Daily425.0%56.5%+0.52%Not enough data
All markets · Daily6264.5%54.7%+0.65%No clear edge
US stocks · Weekly450.0%57.4%−7.62%Not enough data

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
Crypto · 1-hour10.0%50.0%−1.00 R vs +0.50 RNot enough data
US stocks · Daily3426.5%27.4%+0.18 R vs +0.01 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Daily425.0%60.4%+0.67 R vs +0.83 RNot enough data
Indices · Daily20.0%0.0%+0.20 R vs −0.68 RNot enough data
All markets · Daily4025.0%29.5%+0.23 R vs +0.06 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Weekly2100.0%0.0%+2.00 R vs −0.41 RNot enough data

Our verdict

Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.

10-bar move No clear edge2:1 trade No clear edge

Bearish breakaway: 104 occurrences tested

Bearish pattern · All markets · Daily · 101 assets · 1986-09 to 2026-08

Moved the expected way after 10 bars
33.7%
vs 45.0% on random bars
Excess return vs its market, 10 bars
−0.46%
95% interval −1.91% to +0.84%
Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. On a bearish setup, it means the asset lagged its market.
its market−3%+3%
2:1 trade hit the target
14.0%
vs 26.8% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
−0.54 R
vs −0.09 R on random dates

What this means. No measurable difference from the rest of its market over the next 10 bars.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
3 days · middle half 2 to 5 · on 44 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme. 1 of these entries is not among the 43 trades: still open at the end of our data, or left out by the trade rules.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
too few to measure · on 6 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
12 days · middle half 8 to 30 · on 34 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
12 days · middle half 9 to 39 · on 43 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
6.6% · middle half 4.2% to 9.5% · on 104 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
2.61× · middle half 2.32× to 3.00× · on 104 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
0.54 R · middle half 0.23 R to 1.29 R · on 43 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
23.5% · on 34 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
42.3% · on 104 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. After an uptrend: a long white candle; a white candle whose body gaps above it; two candles making higher highs and higher lows, the fourth white; then a black candle closing inside the gap between the first and second bodies. Any gap counts, even one tick. A long body is at least 1.3 times the average body of the 10 candles before the pattern and at least 0.6 times the largest of them. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (10 rows)

10-bar move: did price go the expected way?

Figures in gray: fewer than 30 occurrences, not interpreted. Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. The test uses the bootstrap’s standard error and the interval its percentiles: near the 0.05 line, or on a few extreme moves, an interval can leave out zero while the test does not pass, and the test decides. Stock data misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized, which can flatter stock rows.
MarketOccurrencesPatternRandom barsExcess10-bar move verdict
Crypto · 1-hour20.0%51.9%−0.20%Not enough data
US stocks · Daily9735.1%45.0%−0.34%No clear edge
ETFs · Daily425.0%43.7%−1.91%Not enough data
Indices · Daily20.0%44.1%−2.35%Not enough data
Commodities · Daily10.0%50.4%−2.08%Not enough data
All markets · Daily10433.7%45.0%−0.46%No clear edge
US stocks · Weekly742.9%41.0%−5.11%Not enough data
ETFs · Weekly10.0%34.6%−1.41%Not enough data
Indices · Weekly10.0%43.0%−18.94%Not enough data
All markets · Weekly933.3%40.5%−6.23%Not enough data

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
Crypto · 1-hour0n/an/an/a vs n/aNot enough data
US stocks · Daily4314.0%26.8%−0.54 R vs −0.09 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Daily0n/an/an/a vs n/aNot enough data
Indices · Daily0n/an/an/a vs n/aNot enough data
Commodities · Daily0n/an/an/a vs n/aNot enough data
All markets · Daily4314.0%26.8%−0.54 R vs −0.09 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Weekly425.0%25.0%−0.25 R vs −0.25 RNot enough data
ETFs · Weekly0n/an/an/a vs n/aNot enough data
Indices · Weekly0n/an/an/a vs n/aNot enough data
All markets · Weekly425.0%25.0%−0.25 R vs −0.25 RNot enough data

Data updated November 5, 2026 · code version c2a1683f · Read the methodology. No occurrence on forex in our data. The bullish breakaway had no occurrence on commodities. We measure every pattern on crypto and forex (1-hour, 4-hour, daily and weekly charts) and US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities (daily and weekly charts). A market or timeframe from that list missing from the tables above had no occurrence.

What you often read

“The bullish breakaway is a reliable reversal signal.”

What our data shows

On 62 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 64.5% of the time, against 54.7% for random bars: no clear edge, since the average excess return is not statistically significant.

What you often read

“The bearish breakaway is a reliable reversal signal.”

What our data shows

On 104 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 33.7% of the time, against 45.0% for random bars: no clear edge, since the average excess return is not statistically significant.

Table quoted in the text (verdicts and every market: see All measurements)
Version and marketOccurrences (2:1 trades)Moved as expected 10 bars laterRandom bars2:1 target hitSame setup, random datesExpectancy (R)
Bullish, all markets62 (40)64.5%54.7%25.0%29.5%+0.23 against +0.06
Bullish, US equities54 (34)66.7%54.3%26.5%27.4%+0.18 against +0.01
Bearish, all markets104 (43)33.7%45.0%14.0%26.8%−0.54 against −0.09
Bearish, US equities97 (43)35.1%45.0%14.0%26.8%−0.54 against −0.09

Read the table in pairs of columns. "Moved as expected" means up 10 days later for the bullish version and down for the other. 64.5% of bullish occurrences were up 10 days later, against 54.7% of random days on the same assets. The excess return over the rest of the market after 10 days is +0.65%, with a 95% confidence interval from −0.38% to +1.61%. Zero is inside the interval: no measurable difference from chance.

The 2:1 setup reached its target in 25.0% of cases, against 29.5% for the same entry, stop and target on random dates, for an expectancy of +0.23 R per position before costs against +0.06 R. The two measures point in opposite directions, a lower hit rate but a higher average result, and on 40 positions the gap in average result does not pass our statistical test, so we do not count it as an edge.

The sell setup did worse than chance in raw numbers: 14.0% of targets reached against 26.8% on random dates, for an expectancy of −0.54 R. The shortfall is not statistically significant, neither on all markets nor on US equities alone: both rows read No clear edge. US stock data also misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized. Selling this signal lost on average, and selling at random dates on the same shares lost less.

What changes the results?

These breakdowns are descriptive and not corrected for the number of tests. 10 bullish occurrences formed above the 200-day moving average and 52 below it. Of the 5 closed trades on the first group, 40.0% reached the target; of the 35 on the second, 22.9%. With volume above 1.5 times the average, 7.7% of 13 trades reached it, against 33.3% of 27 on normal volume. On the sell side, 3 closed trades were entered below the 200-day line and 38 above it, with 15.8% of targets reached in the second group. Several of these groups sit under the 30 trades we need before reading a result, so we draw no conclusion from them.

Other markets and timeframes

The other samples are too small to conclude: 4 bullish and 4 bearish occurrences on ETFs, 4 and 2 on indices, 1 bearish and no bullish occurrence on commodities, none on 4-hour crypto and none on forex. Hourly crypto gave 3 bullish and 2 bearish occurrences, under the 30 cases we need before reading a result, so we do not interpret their figures. Weekly data gave 9 bearish occurrences and 4 bullish ones, with fewer than 30 positions (4 on the bearish side): the tables show their figures in gray, and we do not interpret them. The method is published in our methodology.

Real examples of the breakaway pattern

These cases come from the occurrences our bench detected on daily charts, one ETF, two US stocks and the German DAX index, with their actual outcome. The gallery in this Real examples section shows more daily cases.

Real occurrences from our test bench, each on its market's main timeframe. Category cards on US stocks come from liquid assets only (the most traded stocks). Best and Worst are the best and worst 2:1 trade results, Textbook the cleanest shapes (chosen on geometry alone, never on the outcome), Most recent the latest detections among the assets the gallery draws from, Typical a random draw. Bearish breakaway pattern: on commodities, our bench gives a single example card, so it carries no Best, Worst or other label: it is one real occurrence, not a ranked pick. Shaded area: the pattern. Dashed lines: entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP) of the tested trade. Dotted line: 10 bars after the signal. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open. Stock and ETF prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time. We left out 8 cards with a shape that does not read as the definition on this page. They still count in the statistics, and are not replaced: our bench picks a fixed number of cards per category.

Market
Examples
US stocks overallAcross 54 daily bullish breakaway occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 66.7% of the time, against 54.3% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern42.2835.93+10 barsTPSLEntry2020-052020-09
Best tradeMost recentVZ June 29, 2020Daily chart2.5% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern96.9571.69+10 barsTPSLEntry2018-112019-03
Best tradeMost recentTypicalCVX December 26, 2018Daily chart5.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: closed at +0.35 R, 100 bars after entry, past this chart
◂ Pattern13.428.96+10 barsTPSLEntry2002-062002-10
TypicalPFE July 24, 2002Daily chart13.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: closed at +0.34 R, 100 bars after entry, past this chart
Examples
ETFs overallAcross 4 daily bullish breakaway occurrences, too few cases to give a percentage (we need at least 30).Not enough dataThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern459.4379.4+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-082022-12
Best tradeTextbookMost recentTypicalMDY September 28, 2022Daily chart0.5% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R, 81 bars after entry, past this chart
◂ Pattern59.6643.42+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-032025-07
Best tradeTextbookMost recentTypicalVEA April 9, 2025Daily chart6.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: closed at +1.74 R, 100 bars after entry, past this chart
◂ Pattern47.1037.00+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-022022-05
Worst tradeTypicalVEA March 9, 2022Daily chart3.7% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
Indices overallAcross 4 daily bullish breakaway occurrences, too few cases to give a percentage (we need at least 30).Not enough dataThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern28,59727,292+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-022022-06
Best tradeMost recentTypicalNikkei 225 March 10, 2022Daily chart9.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: closed at +1.41 R, 100 bars after entry, past this chart
◂ Pattern1,9801,642+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-08
Worst tradeMost recentTypicalRussell 2000 September 28, 2022Daily chart1.6% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern18,99316,962+10 barsTPSLEntry1997-07
TextbookTypicalHang Seng September 3, 1997Daily chart2.0% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: not triggered
◂ Pattern5,8444,897+10 barsTPSLEntry2018-09
TextbookTypicalCAC 40 October 16, 2018Daily chart3.8% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
Market
Examples
US stocks overallAcross 97 daily bearish breakaway occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 35.1% of the time, against 45.0% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern354.9440.68+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-102026-01
TextbookMost recentTypicalSNDK November 13, 2025Daily chart8.3% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern11.489.83+10 barsTPSLEntry2017-02
TypicalLRCX March 21, 2017Daily chart3.7% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
Examples
ETFs overallAcross 4 daily bearish breakaway occurrences, too few cases to give a percentage (we need at least 30).Not enough dataThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern37.7930.60+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-01
TextbookMost recentTypicalEWG February 19, 2025Daily chart6.8% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern27.6724.38+10 barsTPSLEntry2021-03
Most recentTypicalEWU April 20, 2021Daily chart0.8% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern58.7445.27+10 barsTPSLEntry2020-10
TypicalXRT November 30, 2020Daily chart0.9% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry

Real occurrences The only occurrence on commodities (daily charts)

Commodities overallAcross 1 daily bearish breakaway occurrence, too few cases to give a percentage (we need at least 30).Not enough dataThe example below is a single case.
◂ Pattern16.7512.82+10 barsTPSLEntry2020-12
Sugar futures January 7, 2021Daily chart1.7% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry

A bullish breakaway that reached its target

From September 22 to 28, 2022, the US mid-cap ETF MDY printed one (prices adjusted for dividends): a black candle that closed at 397.03, a downside jump to an open at 391.47, two new lows down to 379.41, then a white session that closed inside the gap, at 393.51. The buy stop sat at the top of the five sessions (406.06). On October 4 the shares traded through it, filling the entry, with the stop at 379.41 and a 2:1 target at 459.37. Price dipped to 380.91 on October 13, just above the stop, and ten sessions after the signal the shares were 0.5% lower, but the target was reached on January 31, 2023.

Canceled before entry

CRH printed a bullish breakaway that ended on September 28, 2022, between 31.76 and 28.94. Price did not trade above 31.76 first: on September 29 it fell to 28.90 and the setup was canceled without a position. The shares had lost 1.9% 10 days later. On the sell side, the German DAX index printed one that ended on November 18, 1996: it did not fall to the entry at 2,726.64 before trading above the top at 2,803.31 on November 25, which canceled the setup, and was 3.1% higher 10 days later.

A bullish breakaway that hit its stop

Equity LifeStyle Properties (ELS) printed one from September 10 to 16, 2013. The buy stop at the top (12.78) was filled on September 19, with a stop at 12.22 and a target at 13.89. Price rose no higher than 12.89 that day, far short of the target, then drifted down through the stop on September 30, 2013, a full 1 R loss. The shares were 2.5% lower 10 days after the signal.

Tools to scan for the pattern

TradingView offers built-in candlestick pattern indicators, and the TA-Lib function CDLBREAKAWAY returns +100 for the bullish version and -100 for the other. Check the definition behind the tool: some measure the jump between bodies, some between shadows, and the thresholds for a tall candle differ. Before you risk money, mark the past occurrences on your own market, write down the entry, stop and target you would have used, and compare the result with the same setup on random days.

Frequently asked questions

Is the breakaway pattern bullish or bearish?

Both exist. One follows a decline and ends with a white candle; the other follows a rally and ends with a black candle.

How reliable is it?

Not enough to use on its own in our data: one version had better raw figures than random days without passing our statistical test, the other did worse than chance in raw numbers, also without passing it.

What timeframe works best?

The daily chart, simply because it is where the formation exists in numbers: the jumps it needs mostly happen between sessions.

Does the fifth candle have to close inside the gap?

Yes. A fifth session that fills it entirely is a stronger move but no longer the classic definition. One that does not reach it is just a pullback.

Can I use it on crypto or forex?

Rarely: 3 bullish and 2 bearish occurrences on hourly crypto, and no occurrence on 4-hour crypto or on forex.

Final thoughts on trading the breakaway pattern

  • On 40 closed trades on bullish occurrences, the 2:1 setup reached its target in 25.0% of cases against 29.5% on random dates, for +0.23 R against +0.06 R per trade: a lower hit rate but a higher average result, and the gap is not statistically significant, so no clear edge.
  • On 43 closed trades on bearish occurrences, it reached the target in 14.0% of cases against 26.8%, with an expectancy of −0.54 R.
  • The stop is wide (median 2.86 ATR on bullish setups), and 25.8% of bullish setups were canceled before entry.

If you use it, treat it as a location for a position, not as a reason for one: define the stop before entry, size the position on that distance, and keep the risk small. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

About the author and the data. Written by Amaury, founder of PatternsWizard, who is passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. He built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each setup with published rules on full market history: crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities. Trades and win rates are compared with random bars on the same assets, excess returns with the rest of the market, with error margins and a correction for multiple testing, and the whole pipeline is checked on random-walk prices, where nothing can be predicted. Statistics on this page were generated on November 5, 2026. The full methodology explains every step.

, Founder of PatternsWizard

Passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. Amaury built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each pattern on full price history and measures what happened next against random entries.

Statistics on this page come from our open methodology: every occurrence our rule finds on full history, compared with chance. How we test patterns.

179 patterns testedRandom-walk self-test passed