CandlestickBearish

Thrusting Candlestick Pattern: How to Spot It, Trade It and What the Data Shows

A long black candle, then a white one that pushes into its body but stops below the middle. Learn the rule of the thrusting line, the short we test and how it did.

· Founder of PatternsWizard
Updated Statistics updated 13 min read
Thrusting pattern

How we tested this pattern

Sample
6,762 occurrences on 6 markets (crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities), 1975 to 2026.
Detection
Found by code, never picked by hand: every match of the rule on full price history, winners and losers alike.In a downtrend: a long black candle, then a white candle opening below the prior low and closing inside the black body, but below its middle. A long body is at least 1.3 times the average body of the 10 candles before the pattern and at least 0.6 times the largest of them.
Benchmark
Each occurrence is compared with the same assets on random bars: the move 10 bars later, and a 2:1 reward-to-risk trade.
Checks
Block bootstrap and a correction for the thousands of tests we run, plus a random-walk self-test that the bench passes: on random prices, no pattern should win.
Updated
Data updated November 5, 2026, code version c2a1683f. Read the methodology · Raw data (JSON)

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At a glance: what textbooks say, what we measured
Direction
Bearish
Occurrences tested
6,762 occurrences, all markets, daily
Textbook: price should fall after it
Too close to call · −0.17% vs the market, 10 bars
Its best market and timeframe, still negative
US stocks, daily: −0.05 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
Verdict
10-bar move: No clear edge2:1 trade: No clear edge

See the statistics

On this page
  1. What is the thrusting line candlestick pattern?
  2. How to identify the thrusting line pattern
  3. Psychology behind the thrusting line pattern
  4. How to trade the thrusting line pattern
  5. Combining the pattern with technical indicators
  6. Reliability: what the data shows
  7. Real examples of the thrusting line
  8. Limitations and risks of the thrusting line
  9. Tools for spotting the pattern
  10. Frequently asked questions about the thrusting line
  11. Summary: is the thrusting line a reliable signal?

The thrusting candlestick pattern, also called the thrusting line, is a two-candle pattern that forms in a downtrend: a long bearish (black) candle, then a bullish (white) candle that opens below the first candle's low and closes inside its body, but below the middle of that body. Textbooks read it as a bearish continuation pattern: buyers fought back, but not hard enough to change the trend.

This guide covers the definition, how to spot it, how it differs from the piercing line, how traders use it, and what actually happened next. Our test bench detected 6,762 thrusting patterns on daily charts since 1975 and compared each one with random days on the same assets.

What is the thrusting line candlestick pattern?

It is a bearish continuation signal made of two candlesticks. The first is a long black candle that extends the decline. The second opens with a gap under the first candle's low, rallies during the session and closes back inside the first body, without reaching its midpoint. The name describes that second candle "thrusting" up into the prior session, then stopping short.

Steve Nison, who introduced Japanese candlestick charting to Western traders in Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques (1991), groups it with the on-neck and in-neck patterns: three versions of the same white candle, classified by how deep it closes into the black body. All three are read as signs that the decline continues. If the white candle closes above the middle, it becomes a bullish piercing line instead.

Our bench applies the rule without judgment: in a downtrend (the close before the pattern is at least one ATR below the close 10 bars earlier and in the lower half of the last 40 closes), a long black candle, then a white candle opening below the prior low and closing inside the black body, above its close but no higher than its middle. "Long" means a real body more than 1.3 times the average of the 10 previous candles (1.6 times on a textbook pattern) and at least 0.6 times the largest of those 10 bodies, a higher bar than the 1.0 of the open source TA-Lib library.

How to identify the thrusting line pattern

Check four points in order.

123
  1. Long black candlein a downtrend
  2. Opens below prior lowgap down
  3. Closes inside black bodybelow its middle
Median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, found by our test bench.
  • A downtrend. Price must already be falling: lower highs, lower lows, a close under the close of 10 bars earlier. Without a prior decline, there is nothing to continue. Our bench does not check lower highs and lower lows, so it is looser than the full textbook reading: it asks for a close at least one ATR under the close of 10 bars earlier and in the lower half of the last 40 closes.
  • A long black candle. The first candlestick has a large real body and closes near its low, showing sellers in control.
  • A lower open. The second candle opens below the first candle's low, with a gap down.
  • A close inside the body, below the middle. The white candle closes above the first close but at or under the midpoint of the black body.

Key characteristics and formation

The chart below is not drawn by hand. It is the median shape of the thrusting patterns our bench detected on daily charts across all markets, with the faded candles showing the decline before the pattern, and the lines of the position we test: entry below the pattern low, stop above its high, target at twice the risk. The second drawing is its mirror image, shown for comparison.

TPSLEntryBearish
Bearish setup on the median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)
TPSLEntryBullish
Bullish (inverted) version, drawn as the mirror image of the measured shape

On the median occurrence on daily charts, the two candles span 5.48% of price, or 1.69 times the average true range (ATR) of the asset: a large formation, which means a wide stop.

Thrusting line vs piercing line: key differences

The two patterns start the same way: a long black candle, then a white candle that opens lower. The difference is the close. The piercing line closes above the middle of the black body and is read as a bullish reversal. This one closes below the middle and is read as a bearish continuation. A few cents can move a candle from one class to the other, so treat both labels with care.

On our daily data, neither pattern's average excess return differed measurably from the rest of the market. The piercing line was followed by a higher price 10 days later in 54.3% of cases, against 54.1% for random days. The thrusting version was followed by a lower price in 45.2% of cases, against 45.6% for random days.

Thrusting line vs in-neck and on-neck

The on-neck pattern closes at the first candle's low, the in-neck at or just above its close, and the thrusting line further up inside the body. Since buyers got the furthest, the thrusting line is read as the least bearish of the three. Our data does not separate them: on daily charts, the 2:1 short reached its target in 32.4% of trades for the in-neck, 27.1% for the on-neck and 25.2% for the thrusting line, none with a confirmed difference from the same position on random dates.

Psychology behind the thrusting line pattern

The first session confirms the bears' view: a long black candle and a close near the low. The next one opens even lower, below the prior low, and sellers look fully in control. Then buyers step in and push price back into the first body. But they stop before the middle. The reading is that buying pressure appeared without real conviction: the rally recovered less than half of the prior loss, so sellers are expected to take over again.

The story is plausible, but it describes two candles. Whether that half-hearted rally tells you anything about the next sessions is a question for data. We come back to it in the reliability section.

How to trade the thrusting line pattern

The classic approach sells a break below the pattern, with a stop above it and a target set as a multiple of the risk. This is the position our bench simulates on every occurrence. Unless stated otherwise, figures in this section are for daily charts, all markets combined.

TPSLEntryBearish
Entry
Sell stop at the pattern low
Stop loss (SL)
At the pattern high
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1)
The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of 3,000 daily occurrences drawn at random from all markets.

A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern13.076.13+10 barsTPSLEntry2008-09
TextbookAMAT October 8, 2008Daily chart6.7% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry

Entry and stop-loss strategies

The classic entry is a sell stop just below the low of the two candles, which waits for price to confirm the continuation before shorting. In our tests, that entry was triggered in 51.1% of cases; in 48.5%, price rose above the pattern high first and the setup was canceled before any position was opened. In the few remaining cases, the order was never filled: neither level was touched within the 20 bars the order stays active, or the data ended first.

Setting profit targets

Our bench sets the target at twice the risk (a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio); the next support level below is another choice, which we have not tested. Positions that reached the 2:1 target took a median of 12 days; positions that were stopped out took a median of 6 days. Of the trades that hit their stop, 21.9% had first been up 1 R: a trailing stop or a partial exit would change the result of those trades.

Confirmation before entry

A classic rule waits for a black candle after the pattern. The sell stop below the low is a built-in form of confirmation, and it is the version we measured. A later entry filters out some failures but moves the entry further from the stop.

Combining the pattern with technical indicators

Moving averages for trend context

We split daily occurrences by the 200-day moving average. Above it (a pullback inside a long-term uptrend), 42.2% were lower 10 days later and the short reached its target in 24.5% of trades, for an expectancy of −0.25 R. Below it (a market already in a long-term decline), 46.5% were lower and the target was hit in 25.6% of trades, for −0.21 R. Trading the pattern only below the 200-day average is logical, but it did not make the trade profitable. These splits are descriptive, not corrected for multiple testing.

Volume

Occurrences on volume above 1.5 times the 20-day average reached the 2:1 target in 21.7% of trades (−0.29 R), against 26.2% on normal volume (−0.21 R). High volume did not help.

Support and resistance, RSI

Support gives the short a target, and a resistance level just above the pattern gives the stop a logical place. A stricter version also requires a momentum indicator such as the RSI to point down. We have not tested an RSI filter: if you use one, test it on your own market first.

Reliability: what the data shows

The thrusting candlestick pattern is not a reliable bearish signal on its own: no market or timeframe showed a confirmed edge. No gap passes even a simple test: the closest, on daily US stocks, goes the wrong way (slightly fewer declines than chance) and stays just short of it, rated "No clear edge". Our test bench applies the same rule to full price history and compares the outcome with random bars on the same assets.

45.2%vs 45.6% at random

Moved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.

Measured on 6,762 daily thrusting occurrences across 1,591 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.

No clear edge

Thrusting against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

Moved the expected way 10 bars laterThrustingRandom bars
  • All markets
    All markets, Thrusting: 45.2%
    All markets, Random bars: 45.6%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Thrusting: 44.6%
    US stocks, Random bars: 45.8%
  • Forex
    Forex, Thrusting: 60.6%
    Forex, Random bars: 48.9%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Thrusting: 48.3%
    ETFs, Random bars: 43.1%
  • Indices
    Indices, Thrusting: 55.4%
    Indices, Random bars: 42.8%
  • Commodities
    Commodities, Thrusting: 61.1%
    Commodities, Random bars: 48.2%
2:1 trade hit its targetThrusting tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Thrusting trade: 25.2%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 26.4%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Thrusting trade: 24.5%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 26.3%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Thrusting trade: 30.1%
    ETFs, Same trade, random dates: 26.3%
  • Indices
    Indices, Thrusting trade: 35.0%
    Indices, Same trade, random dates: 32.8%
All statistics

Full results for the thrusting candlestick pattern, market by market

Every occurrence our rule finds on full price history, compared with what the same assets did on random bars. A pattern only earns an edge if it beats random entries after correcting for the thousands of tests we run.

Our verdict

Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.

10-bar move No clear edge2:1 trade No clear edge

Thrusting: 6,762 occurrences tested

Bearish pattern · All markets · Daily · 1,591 assets · 1975-08 to 2026-10

Moved the expected way after 10 bars
45.2%
vs 45.6% on random bars
Excess return vs its market, 10 bars
−0.17%
95% interval −0.36% to +0.04%
Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. On a bearish setup, it means the asset lagged its market.
its market−3%+3%
2:1 trade hit the target
25.2%
vs 26.4% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
−0.22 R
vs −0.18 R on random dates

What this means. No measurable difference from the rest of its market over the next 10 bars.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
2 days · middle half 1 to 3 · on 3,454 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme. 25 of these entries are not among the 3,429 trades: still open at the end of our data, or left out by the trade rules.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
12 days · middle half 5 to 24 · on 864 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
6 days · middle half 3 to 15 · on 2,495 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
8 days · middle half 3 to 18 · on 3,429 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
5.5% · middle half 3.7% to 8.2% · on 6,762 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
1.69× · middle half 1.40× to 2.07× · on 6,762 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
0.76 R · middle half 0.25 R to 2.00 R · on 3,429 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
21.9% · on 2,495 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
51.1% · on 6,762 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. In a downtrend: a long black candle, then a white candle opening below the prior low and closing inside the black body, but below its middle. A long body is at least 1.3 times the average body of the 10 candles before the pattern and at least 0.6 times the largest of them. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (15 rows)

10-bar move: did price go the expected way?

Figures in gray: fewer than 30 occurrences, not interpreted. Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. The test uses the bootstrap’s standard error and the interval its percentiles: near the 0.05 line, or on a few extreme moves, an interval can leave out zero while the test does not pass, and the test decides. Stock data misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized, which can flatter stock rows.
MarketOccurrencesPatternRandom barsExcess10-bar move verdict
Crypto · 1-hour1,05948.9%50.8%0.000%No clear edge
Crypto · 4-hour7362.5%52.3%+0.57%No clear edge
Crypto · Daily1100.0%54.8%+17.12%Not enough data
US stocks · Daily6,22444.6%45.8%−0.21%No clear edge
ETFs · Daily29248.3%43.1%+0.20%No clear edge
Indices · Daily17555.4%42.8%+0.45%No clear edge
Forex · Daily3460.6%48.9%+0.38%No clear edge
Commodities · Daily3661.1%48.2%+0.53%No clear edge
All markets · Daily6,76245.2%45.6%−0.17%No clear edge
US stocks · Weekly71533.6%43.0%−0.37%No clear edge
ETFs · Weekly5726.8%39.1%+1.33%No clear edge
Indices · Weekly2626.9%37.4%−0.42%Not enough data
Forex · Weekly1673.3%52.1%+1.34%Not enough data
Commodities · Weekly1631.3%44.7%+3.28%Not enough data
All markets · Weekly83033.6%42.7%−0.16%No clear edge

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
Crypto · 1-hour60135.3%34.5%+0.09 R vs +0.05 RNo clear edge
Crypto · 4-hour4524.4%30.7%−0.27 R vs −0.02 RNo clear edge
Crypto · Daily10.0%0.0%+1.58 R vs −1.00 RNot enough data
US stocks · Daily3,12924.5%26.3%−0.24 R vs −0.18 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Daily15330.1%26.3%−0.06 R vs −0.20 RNo clear edge
Indices · Daily10335.0%32.8%+0.04 R vs −0.02 RNo clear edge
Forex · Daily2626.9%18.8%−0.19 R vs −0.40 RNot enough data
Commodities · Daily1741.2%25.0%+0.23 R vs −0.26 RNot enough data
All markets · Daily3,42925.2%26.4%−0.22 R vs −0.18 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Weekly29720.5%21.3%−0.33 R vs −0.31 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Weekly1931.6%28.7%−0.03 R vs −0.07 RNot enough data
Indices · Weekly1216.7%32.6%−0.51 R vs +0.02 RNot enough data
Forex · Weekly1163.6%60.6%+0.91 R vs +0.91 RNot enough data
Commodities · Weekly742.9%0.0%+0.29 R vs −1.00 RNot enough data
All markets · Weekly34622.8%23.2%−0.27 R vs −0.25 RNo clear edge

Data updated November 5, 2026 · code version c2a1683f · Read the methodology. We measure every pattern on crypto and forex (1-hour, 4-hour, daily and weekly charts) and US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities (daily and weekly charts). On 1-hour and 4-hour forex charts the pattern only forms at the weekly open, across the weekend gap, so we do not publish those forex rows. Any other market or timeframe from that list missing from the tables above had no occurrence.

What you often read

“The thrusting candlestick pattern is a reliable bearish continuation signal.”

What our data shows

On 6,762 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 45.2% of the time, against 45.6% for random bars: no clear edge, since the average excess return is not statistically significant.

Table quoted in the text (verdicts and every market: see All measurements)
Market and timeframePatterns testedLower 10 bars laterRandom barsClosed trades2:1 target hitSame trade, random datesExpectancy (R)
All markets, daily6,76245.2%45.6%3,42925.2%26.4%−0.22
US stocks, daily6,22444.6%45.8%3,12924.5%26.3%−0.24
ETFs, daily29248.3%43.1%15330.1%26.3%−0.06
Indices, daily17555.4%42.8%10335.0%32.8%+0.04
Crypto, hourly1,05948.9%50.8%60135.3%34.5%+0.09
Crypto, 4-hour7362.5%52.3%4524.4%30.7%−0.27
All markets, weekly83033.6%42.7%34622.8%23.2%−0.27

Read the table in pairs of columns. In the first row, 45.2% of occurrences were followed by a lower price 10 days later, against 45.6% of random days on the same assets. The excess return over the rest of the market is −0.17%, with a 95% confidence interval from −0.36% to +0.04%: zero is inside, so there is no clear edge on direction. The 2:1 short reached its target in 25.2% of the 3,429 trades against 26.4% on random dates, for an expectancy of −0.22 R per trade before costs (−0.18 R on random dates).

Continuation or reversal?

Neither, in our data, although classical candlestick analysis reads it as a bearish one. On daily charts, it was followed by a decline slightly less often than a random day, for example: 47.2% against 48.0% after one day, 43.3% against 44.5% after 20 days (descriptive figures, at horizons the statistics tables do not show). On weekly charts, the gap looks larger (33.6% against 42.7%), rated "No clear edge": its average excess return over the rest of the market does not pass our statistical test. On daily indices, the result leans the other way (55.4% against 42.8%), on only 175 cases, rated "No clear edge": its average excess return over the rest of the market does not pass our test either.

Performance in different markets

It is mainly a stock market signal: it needs a gap below the prior low, and a stock opens after an overnight pause, which leaves room for one. It appears once every 1,176 daily bars on US stocks. Crypto trades around the clock, so a new day opens almost exactly at the prior close: our bench found only 1 thrusting line in the whole history of daily crypto charts, too few for any statistic, against 1,059 on hourly crypto charts. On hourly and 4-hour forex charts the pattern forms almost only at the weekly open, across the weekend gap, so we do not publish those rows. The method is published in our methodology.

Real examples of the thrusting line

The gallery in this section shows real thrusting lines picked by our bench (best and worst results, textbook shapes, most recent, typical draws), with their actual outcome. Two of its daily stock cases are described below, with prices adjusted for splits and dividends: they only illustrate how the trade works.

Real occurrences from our test bench, each on its market's main timeframe. Crypto and US stock examples come from liquid assets only (the largest coins, the most traded stocks). Best and Worst are the best and worst 2:1 trade results, Textbook the cleanest shapes (chosen on geometry alone, never on the outcome), Most recent the latest detections among the assets the gallery draws from, Typical a random draw. Shaded area: the pattern. Dashed lines: entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP) of the tested trade. Dotted line: 10 bars after the signal. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open. Stock and ETF prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time. We left out 33 cards: 29 with a shape that does not read as the definition on this page, 4 with an overnight jump that may be a switch between two futures contracts. They still count in the statistics, and are not replaced: our bench picks a fixed number of cards per category.

Market
Examples
US stocks overallAcross 6,224 daily thrusting occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 44.6% of the time, against 45.8% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern62.0635.15+10 barsTPSLEntry2021-12
Best tradeNFLX January 14, 2022Daily chart18.7% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +3.86 R
◂ Pattern119.8101.9+10 barsTPSLEntry2012-102013-01
Worst tradeIBM November 5, 2012Daily chart1.5% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −2.07 R
◂ Pattern13.076.13+10 barsTPSLEntry2008-09
TextbookAMAT October 8, 2008Daily chart6.7% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern217.4147.3TPSLEntry2026-092026-10
Most recentANET October 23, 2026Daily chart2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern14.783.30+10 barsTPSLEntry2008-09
TypicalCRM October 8, 2008Daily chart24.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.06 R
◂ Pattern787.6607.5+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-09
TypicalMETA October 6, 2025Daily chart2.3% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern3.412.98+10 barsTPSLEntry1989-05
TypicalCAT June 21, 1989Daily chart0.4% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
Examples
Crypto overallAcross 1,059 thrusting occurrences on 1-hour charts, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 48.9% of the time, against 50.8% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern0.24580.2327+10 barsTPSLEntry2018-08
Best tradeXLM August 8, 20181-hour chart8.7% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern8.788.10+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-04
Best tradeMost recentETC April 7, 20261-hour chart2.4% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern2.932.73+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-08
Worst tradeATOM August 20, 20191-hour chart4.1% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern7.616.15+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-07
Worst tradeUNI July 21, 20221-hour chart3.6% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern176.2149.1+10 barsTPSLEntry2021-12
TextbookAAVE December 15, 20211-hour chart8.9% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
Examples
ETFs overallAcross 292 daily thrusting occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 48.3% of the time, against 43.1% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern10.757.72+10 barsTPSLEntry2007-12
Best tradeXLK January 9, 2008Daily chart5.7% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.77 R
◂ Pattern99.5193.70+10 barsTPSLEntry2017-09
Worst tradeTLT October 3, 2017Daily chart1.2% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.54 R
◂ Pattern24.0918.21+10 barsTPSLEntry2004-062004-09
TextbookIBB July 22, 2004Daily chart4.3% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern47.3844.93+10 barsTPSLEntry2005-02
TextbookIEF March 23, 2005Daily chart1.0% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern43.5438.50+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-09
Most recentTypicalXLRE October 8, 2026Daily chart4.1% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
Examples
Indices overallAcross 175 daily thrusting occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 55.4% of the time, against 42.8% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern7,6686,302+10 barsTPSLEntry2001-08
Best tradeS&P/TSX Composite September 13, 2001Daily chart6.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.50 R
◂ Pattern13,12612,491+10 barsTPSLEntry2004-04
Worst tradeHang Seng May 11, 2004Daily chart1.6% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.54 R
◂ Pattern22,22316,542+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-012025-04
TextbookNasdaq 100 February 28, 2025Daily chart5.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern20,11014,784+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-012025-04
TextbookNasdaq Composite February 28, 2025Daily chart5.8% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern36,46335,193+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-09
Most recentS&P/TSX Composite October 8, 2026Daily chart1.8% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern10,3989,042+10 barsTPSLEntry2009-10
TypicalNikkei 225 November 25, 2009Daily chart6.0% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern35,82430,821+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-01
TypicalDow Jones Industrial Average February 24, 2022Daily chart0.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern13,56512,163+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-08
TypicalDAX September 28, 2022Daily chart0.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern739.2576.5+10 barsTPSLEntry2002-09
TypicalKOSPI October 8, 2002Daily chart0.7% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
Examples
Commodities overallAcross 36 daily thrusting occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 61.1% of the time, against 48.2% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern4.573.23+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-05
Best tradeCopper futures June 21, 2022Daily chart15.5% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern22.4118.00+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-05
Best tradeTypicalSilver futures June 24, 2022Daily chart9.7% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern34.8428.28+10 barsTPSLEntry2024-10
Worst tradeMost recentSilver futures November 12, 2024Daily chart1.0% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.05 R
◂ Pattern2.922.47+10 barsTPSLEntry2014-07
Worst tradeGasoline futures August 15, 2014Daily chart3.1% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern427.8305.4+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-04
Most recentCoffee futures June 2, 2025Daily chart0.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
Forex overallAcross 34 daily thrusting occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 60.6% of the time, against 48.9% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern88.8574.70+10 barsTPSLEntry2015-12
Worst tradeCAD/JPY January 18, 2016Daily chart7.7% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern98.3085.81+10 barsTPSLEntry2014-122015-04
TextbookAUD/JPY January 26, 2015Daily chart1.4% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R, 63 bars after entry, past this chart
◂ Pattern94.0582.15+10 barsTPSLEntry2014-12
TypicalNZD/JPY January 26, 2015Daily chart0.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R

A continuation that worked

On February 27, 2025, Arista Networks (ANET) printed a long black candle from 97.93 to 91.57. On February 28 it opened at 90.97, under the prior low, and closed at 93.05, below the middle of the black body. The sell stop at 90.35 was triggered on March 3, with a stop at 98.09 and a 2:1 target at 74.87. ANET was 10.3% lower 10 days after the pattern and reached the target on March 31, 2025, a gain of 2 R.

Failed setups

On September 21, 2022, Alphabet (GOOGL) printed a black candle from 100.71 to 98.34. On September 22 it opened at 97.89, under the prior low, and closed at 99.20, below the middle of the black body. The sell stop at 97.86 was triggered on September 23, with a stop at 101.91 and a 2:1 target at 89.76. Price fell to 94.66 on September 30, then rallied and hit the stop on October 6, 2022: a full 1 R loss.

Daily crypto looks better and proves nothing: the pattern is too rare there (1 occurrence, during the crash of May 2022), and that single trade closed with a gain. Across all daily markets, failure is the usual outcome: 48.5% of setups were canceled before entry because price rose above the pattern high first, and of the trades that did open, only 25.2% reached the 2:1 target.

Limitations and risks of the thrusting line

  • No confirmed edge over random dates on any market and timeframe with enough data.
  • 48.5% of daily setups are canceled before entry, because price rises above the pattern first.
  • The stop is wide (1.69 times the ATR on the median occurrence), so the position must be smaller.
  • The boundary with the piercing line, the in-neck and the on-neck depends on a few ticks, and different tools draw it differently.
  • Rare on crypto and forex daily charts, where price gaps hardly exist.

The advantages are real but limited: it is precise, easy to spot, and gives a clear place for the stop.

Tools for spotting the pattern

TradingView and other charting platforms can flag candlestick patterns, and the open-source TA-Lib library provides a CDLTHRUSTING function. Check the definition your tool uses: thresholds for "long" candles and for the midpoint differ, and so do the results. Before trading it with real money, mark the last 50 occurrences on your market in a demo account, note the entry, stop and target you would have used, and compare the outcome with the same trade on random days.

Frequently asked questions about the thrusting line

Is the thrusting pattern bullish or bearish?

By definition it is a bearish continuation pattern, formed in a downtrend. In our data, it was followed by a decline about as often as a random day on the same assets, or slightly less often (45.2% against 45.6% on daily charts, a gap in average excess return within the margin of error). On weekly charts it fell less often than chance and on daily indices more often, but neither gap passes our statistical test; on daily US stocks it fell slightly less often than chance, a gap that falls just short of a simple test, so no clear edge either way.

What is the difference between thrusting and piercing patterns?

Both start with a long black candle and a lower open. The piercing line closes above the middle of the black body (bullish reversal); the thrusting line closes below it (bearish continuation).

Is the thrusting line a reversal pattern?

Classically no, it is a continuation pattern. It can also be treated as a possible bottom when the next candle closes above the pattern high. We have not found a confirmed edge in either direction.

Does it work for day trading?

On hourly crypto charts, the 2:1 short reached its target in 35.3% of the 601 trades against 34.5% on random dates, for an expectancy of +0.09 R before costs, which we do not measure: fees and slippage could erase that margin.

How often does it appear?

Once every 1,254 eligible daily bars across all markets, and once every 13,863 hourly bars on crypto.

Summary: is the thrusting line a reliable signal?

  • A thrusting line is a long black candle followed, in a downtrend, by a white candle that opens below its low and closes inside its body, but below the middle.
  • On 6,762 daily occurrences, 45.2% were lower 10 days later, against 45.6% for random days on the same assets.
  • The 2:1 short reached its target 25.2% of the time, against 26.4% for the same trade on random dates, with an expectancy of −0.22 R before costs.
  • The 200-day moving average and high volume did not improve the results in a meaningful way.

If you trade it, treat it as a location for a trade, not as a reason for one: define the stop above the pattern before entry, size the position on that distance and keep the risk per trade small.

About the author and the data. Written by Amaury, founder of PatternsWizard, who is passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. He built the PatternsWizard test bench, which applies the same published rules to full market history: crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities. Trades and win rates are compared with random bars on the same assets, excess returns with the rest of the market, with error margins and a correction for multiple testing, and the whole pipeline is checked on random-walk prices, where nothing can be predicted. Statistics on this page were generated on November 5, 2026. The full methodology explains every step. This page is educational and is not financial advice: every position carries a risk of loss, and past results on our bench do not guarantee future ones.

, Founder of PatternsWizard

Passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. Amaury built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each pattern on full price history and measures what happened next against random entries.

Statistics on this page come from our open methodology: every occurrence our rule finds on full history, compared with chance. How we test patterns.

179 patterns testedRandom-walk self-test passed