Pattern direction

CandlestickBullish: Upside tasuki gapBearish: Downside tasuki gap

Tasuki Gap Candlestick Pattern: Rules, Examples and Tested Results

A gap in the direction of the trend, then a counter-candle that stops inside it. How to read both versions, the trade we test, and why the pattern almost never forms on crypto or forex.

· Founder of PatternsWizard
Updated Statistics updated 16 min read
Upside tasuki gap patternDownside tasuki gap pattern
Occurrences tested
924
5 markets, 1970 to 2026, found by code
Upside tasuki gap: textbook says price should rise
Too close to call
−0.14% in the expected direction vs the market after 10 bars, all markets, daily
Downside tasuki gap: textbook says price should fall
Too close to call
−0.28% in the expected direction vs the market after 10 bars, all markets, daily

How we tested this pattern

Sample
924 occurrences on 5 markets (crypto, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities), 1970 to 2026.
Detection
Found by code, never picked by hand: every match of the rule on full price history, winners and losers alike.upside tasuki gap pattern: In an uptrend: a white candle; a white candle gapping above it; a black candle of similar size opening inside the second body and closing inside the gap without filling it. Any gap counts, even one tick.downside tasuki gap pattern: In a downtrend: a black candle; a black candle gapping below it; a white candle of similar size opening inside the second body and closing inside the gap without filling it. Any gap counts, even one tick.
Benchmark
Each occurrence is compared with the same assets on random bars: the move 10 bars later, and a 2:1 reward-to-risk trade.
Checks
Block bootstrap and a correction for the thousands of tests we run, plus a random-walk self-test that the bench passes: on random prices, no pattern should win.
Updated
Data updated November 5, 2026, code version c2a1683f. Read the methodology · upside tasuki gap pattern data (JSON) · downside tasuki gap pattern data (JSON)

Every pattern's results on one sheet

The only pattern cheat sheet with tested stats: 152 patterns, what the textbook says and what really happened on 6 markets. Free PDF, sent to your inbox.

One email with the PDF, then a note when a result changes. Unsubscribe anytime. Privacy.

At a glance: what textbooks say, what we measured
Pattern
Bullish: Upside tasuki gap
Occurrences tested
560 occurrences, all markets, daily
Textbook: price should rise after it
Too close to call · −0.14% vs the market, 10 bars
Where it did best, US stocks left out
ETFs, daily: +0.02 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
Verdict
10-bar move: No clear edge2:1 trade: No clear edge
Pattern
Bearish: Downside tasuki gap
Occurrences tested
364 occurrences, all markets, daily
Textbook: price should fall after it
Too close to call · −0.28% vs the market, 10 bars
Its best market and timeframe, still negative
US stocks, daily: −0.24 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
Verdict
10-bar move: No clear edge2:1 trade: Weak, below chance

See the statistics

On this page
  1. What is the tasuki gap pattern?
  2. The structure of the tasuki gap
  3. Types of tasuki gap patterns
  4. The psychology behind the tasuki gap
  5. How to identify the tasuki gap on a price chart
  6. How to trade the tasuki gap
  7. Advanced trading strategies for the tasuki gap
  8. Important distinctions: tasuki gap vs. gap three methods
  9. Advantages of using the tasuki gap in your strategy
  10. Common mistakes to avoid when trading the tasuki gap
  11. Limitations and risk management
  12. Performance of the tasuki gap in different markets
  13. Real examples of the tasuki gap candlestick pattern
  14. Trading tools for finding the tasuki gap
  15. Frequently asked questions
  16. Summary of key points

The tasuki gap candlestick pattern is a three-candle continuation pattern. Two candlestick bars in the direction of the trend leave a price gap between them, then a third one of the opposite color moves back into the gap but fails to close the gap. Technical analysis textbooks read it as a pause in the trend: the trend is likely to continue because the counter-move could not fill the gap.

This guide covers the definition, the two versions, how to identify the pattern on a candle chart and use it in a trading plan, and what actually happened after it. Our test bench applied the same rule to full price history, found 560 upside and 364 downside occurrences on daily charts alone, and compared the outcome with random bars on the same assets, so you can see whether the signals provide anything a random entry does not.

What is the tasuki gap pattern?

The tasuki gap is a continuation pattern: it does not announce a reversal, it suggests that the current trend will resume after a short pullback. It comes in two versions. The upside version forms in an uptrend and is bullish. The downside version forms in a downtrend and is bearish.

The name is Japanese. A tasuki is a cord used to hold back the sleeves of a kimono, an image of something that holds the move in place. Steve Nison, who brought Japanese candlestick analysis to Western traders in Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques (1991), describes these candlestick patterns in his chapter on windows, the Japanese term for a price gap. In that tradition, an open window acts as support in an uptrend and as resistance in a downtrend, and this pattern is a test of that window that holds.

The structure of the tasuki gap

The pattern consists of three candles, and each one has a precise role. Understanding these roles is the start of any analysis of the setup. Our bench uses the same conditions, written so a computer can apply them without judgment.

123
  1. White candle
  2. White candle gapping above
  3. Black, closes inside the gapopens inside the second body, gap not filled
Median shape of all 487 usable daily occurrences from all markets, found by our test bench.
123
  1. Black candle
  2. Black candle gapping below
  3. White, closes inside the gapopens inside the second body, gap not filled
Median shape of all 303 usable daily occurrences from all markets, found by our test bench.

First candle: confirmation of the existing trend

The first candle moves with the trend: a green (white) body in an uptrend, a red (black) body in a downtrend. It shows that buyers or sellers are in control. Our rule requires a trend before the pattern: for the bullish case, the last close before the pattern is at least one average true range above the close 10 bars earlier, and in the upper half of the last 40 closes.

Second candle: creating the gap

The second candle consists of a body of the same color as the first and opens with a gap. In an uptrend, its low is above the high of the first bar; in the downside version, its high is below the low of the first bar. This is a true price gap: an empty zone on the chart where no trade took place.

Third candle: the partial gap fill

The third candle has the opposite color: black (red on color charts) in an uptrend, white (green) in a downtrend. It starts inside the real body of the middle bar, moves back toward the gap and ends inside it, without reaching the first bar. In an uptrend, it closes below the opening price of the middle bar but above the high of the first one. Its real body is about the same size as the middle body. Because the final price stays inside the zone, the window remains open: the counter-move did not close the gap.

TPSLEntryBullish
Bullish setup on the median shape of 487 daily occurrences from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)

Types of tasuki gap patterns

Upside tasuki gap

The upside tasuki gap pattern is the bullish one. In an uptrend, a rising bar is followed by another rising bar that gaps up, then by a black candle that starts inside the middle body and ends inside the upward gap. The chart above is not drawn by hand: it is the median shape of the clean bullish occurrences our bench found, with the levels of the trading setup we test.

Downside tasuki gap

The downside formation follows a downward trend. A black bar is followed by another black bar that gaps down, then by a rising candle that starts inside the middle body and ends inside the gap, below the low of the first one. The chart below is the median downside shape from our data.

TPSLEntryBearish
Bearish setup on the median shape of 303 daily occurrences from all markets, with entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP)

The psychology behind the tasuki gap

The story is one of strength, a pause and a failed counter-attack. In a rising market, buyers drive the first candle, then demand is strong enough to open the next one above the previous high. On the third day, in the classic reading, profit taking or bets on a correction pull price back into the gap. But it holds inside the zone: sellers could not close it below the high of the first bar, even when the session low trades deeper. Traders read this as a sign that the market still respects the gap as support and that the move is likely to continue.

The downside story is the mirror: sellers gap the price down, a relief rally pushes it back up, and the rally stalls inside the gap, under the old support that has turned into resistance. This reading is plausible, but it is a story. Whether the failed counter-move predicts anything is a question for data, which we answer in the reliability section below.

How to identify the tasuki gap on a price chart

To identify the tasuki gap, check these conditions in order:

  1. A clear trend: up for the bullish version, down for the bearish one.
  2. Two bars in the trend direction, with a real gap between the shadows of the first and the second candle. This is how the setup starts.
  3. A third bar of the other color that starts inside the middle real body.
  4. That third bar ends beyond the middle real body but does not close the window: the space stays partly open.
  5. The middle and last bodies are roughly the same size.

Wait for the candle to close. During the session it can look like a tasuki gap and then fill the window entirely, which turns it into a different pattern. The pattern is rare, at least with our strict definition: we found one upside occurrence every 13,907 eligible bars and one downside occurrence every 21,395. On a single stock, with about 252 sessions a year, that means more than a decade between two occurrences of the same version, on average.

Why the pattern is so rare in crypto and forex

The pattern needs a gap, and gaps need a market that pauses. Crypto trading runs around the clock, so each bar opens almost exactly at the previous price. Forex trading runs without a break from Monday to Friday. Our data shows the effect: across all the crypto coins we test, we found no upside occurrence on any timeframe and 1 downside occurrence on hourly charts, one every 14,681,353 hourly bars, and in forex none at all, on any of the timeframes we test. Gaps rarely occur in these markets. In practice, it is a pattern of stocks, ETFs and indices, the financial markets with a session that ends overnight. A gap can form there every morning.

How to trade the tasuki gap

The classic trading strategy is to enter in the direction of the trend once price confirms that the pullback is over, with a stop loss on the other side of the formation and a target set as a multiple of the risk. This is the trading setup our bench simulates on every occurrence.

TPSLEntryBullish
Entry
Buy stop at the pattern high
Stop loss (SL)
At the pattern low
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1)
The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of all 487 usable daily occurrences from all markets.
TPSLEntryBearish
Entry
Sell stop at the pattern low
Stop loss (SL)
At the pattern high
Target (TP)
Twice the risk (2:1)
The trade our bench tests, drawn on the typical shape. Median shape of all 303 usable daily occurrences from all markets.

A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern10.136.06+10 barsTPSLEntry1996-08
TextbookAMD September 26, 1996Daily chart4.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry

A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.

◂ Pattern4.622.77+10 barsTPSLEntry1992-03
TextbookJPM April 9, 1992Daily chart17.2% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry

Setting entry points

Placing stop-loss orders

A tighter stop goes just beyond the window: if the counter-move continues and closes the gap, the reading is wrong. Our bench uses the other extreme of the whole formation, which is wider. That width matters: the median upside pattern spans 2.13 times the average true range (ATR) of the asset, so the exit level is far from the entry. Size the position on that distance, not on the size of one bar, to limit the potential loss.

Determining profit targets

The target we test is twice the risk (a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio); other choices are the next resistance level for a long position and the next support level for a short. In our data, winning upside trades took a median of 26 bars to reach the 2:1 target; losing ones were stopped out after a median of 11 bars.

Advanced trading strategies for the tasuki gap

Because the pattern alone gave weak results in our test, it can be combined with technical indicators, chart analysis and price levels. Consider the strategies below as a start for your own analysis. Each filter below should be tested on your own market before you risk capital on it.

Using moving averages for trend confirmation

A continuation pattern makes more sense inside a strong trend, and one simple filter among technical indicators is the 200-day moving average. We measured it. Upside occurrences above the 200-day average reached the 2:1 target in 39.4% of cases, against 25.0% below it, with expectancies of +0.21 R and −0.19 R. Downside setups below the average reached it in 14.6% of cases (expectancy −0.48 R), and 15.1% above it (−0.54 R). These breakdowns are descriptive and rest on uneven groups: 471 upside setups above the average against 83 below it, and 114 downside setups above it against 247 below. The filter did not turn the downside version into a winner.

Combining the pattern with RSI divergences

One filter skips a bullish setup when the relative strength index (RSI) shows a bearish divergence, on the idea that momentum is fading even though price gapped. We have not tested an RSI filter, so we have no figure for it.

Integrating Fibonacci levels with the tasuki gap

Another approach looks for the third bar to stall near a Fibonacci retracement of the middle bar, or near another technical level, as extra evidence that the gap is acting as support or resistance. This is a matter of confluence, and we have not measured it.

Important distinctions: tasuki gap vs. gap three methods

The upside gap three methods starts the same way: two rising bars with a window between them. The difference is the last bar. In the tasuki gap, it ends inside the window and leaves it open. In the gap three methods, it ends inside the first body and fills the space completely. Both are traditionally read as bullish continuation. On our data, that pattern (56 occurrences, 19 closed trades) reached its 2:1 target in 21.1% of cases against 35.8% for the same setup on random dates, too few trades to read a result. The bearish twin is the downside gap three methods.

Other continuation patterns include the side-by-side white lines, where two bars of the same color sit next to each other after the window, and the rising and falling three methods, which hold inside the range of a long candle without a gap.

Advantages of using the tasuki gap in your strategy

  • A precise definition: three candles, a window, a partial fill. It leaves little room for judgment.
  • It trades with the trend, not against it, so it fits a trend-following trading strategy.
  • Clear invalidation: if the space is filled, the setup is gone.

Common mistakes to avoid when trading the tasuki gap

  • Counting a third bar that fills the window. That is a different pattern, with a different reading.
  • Trying to enter before the third candle closes.
  • Ignoring the trend: this pattern in a sideways range has no trend to continue.
  • Taking the downside version as a strong short trade, with a tighter exit than the formation allows. In our data it did worse than chance, a gap that passes a simple test but does not survive our correction for multiple testing.
  • Expecting it on crypto or forex charts, where it almost never forms.

Limitations and risk management

The main limitation is that the pattern did not clearly beat chance on any market we tested. It is also rare, which makes it hard to build a trading system around it, and the stop is wide. Risk management decides the outcome more than the trading signals do, and it protects your money: define the exit before entry, risk a small fixed share of the account on each position, and keep a record of every one so you can compare your results with chance. Past performance, ours included, does not guarantee future results or future trends, and nothing here is financial advice.

Performance of the tasuki gap in different markets

The tasuki gap candlestick pattern does not provide reliable signals on its own. Across every market and timeframe with enough data, neither version beat random bars on the same assets by a margin our tests separate from chance. Here are the numbers from our test bench, which applied the same rule to full price history.

52.1%vs 55.0% at random

Moved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.

Measured on 560 daily upside tasuki gap occurrences across 412 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.

No clear edge
41.4%vs 45.3% at random

Moved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.

Measured on 364 daily downside tasuki gap occurrences across 312 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.

No clear edge

Upside tasuki gap against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

Moved the expected way 10 bars laterUpside tasuki gapRandom bars
  • All markets
    All markets, Upside tasuki gap: 52.1%
    All markets, Random bars: 55.0%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Upside tasuki gap: 51.3%
    US stocks, Random bars: 54.5%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Upside tasuki gap: 51.8%
    ETFs, Random bars: 57.4%
2:1 trade hit its targetUpside tasuki gap tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Upside tasuki gap trade: 37.8%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 37.9%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Upside tasuki gap trade: 35.5%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 36.4%
  • ETFs
    ETFs, Upside tasuki gap trade: 43.8%
    ETFs, Same trade, random dates: 40.9%

Downside tasuki gap against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.

Moved the expected way 10 bars laterDownside tasuki gapRandom bars
  • All markets
    All markets, Downside tasuki gap: 41.4%
    All markets, Random bars: 45.3%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Downside tasuki gap: 42.6%
    US stocks, Random bars: 45.4%
2:1 trade hit its targetDownside tasuki gap tradeSame trade, random dates
  • All markets
    All markets, Downside tasuki gap trade: 14.5%
    All markets, Same trade, random dates: 22.1%
  • US stocks
    US stocks, Downside tasuki gap trade: 14.8%
    US stocks, Same trade, random dates: 22.6%
All statistics

Full results for the tasuki gap candlestick pattern, market by market

Every occurrence our rule finds on full price history, compared with what the same assets did on random bars. A pattern only earns an edge if it beats random entries after correcting for the thousands of tests we run.

Our verdict

Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.

10-bar move No clear edge2:1 trade No clear edge

Upside tasuki gap: 560 occurrences tested

Bullish pattern · All markets · Daily · 412 assets · 1974-07 to 2026-10

Moved the expected way after 10 bars
52.1%
vs 55.0% on random bars
Excess return vs its market, 10 bars
−0.14%
95% interval −0.59% to +0.32%
its market−3%+3%
2:1 trade hit the target
37.8%
vs 37.9% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
+0.17 R
vs +0.21 R on random dates

What this means. No measurable difference from the rest of its market over the next 10 bars.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
3 days · middle half 2 to 5 · on 325 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
26 days · middle half 13 to 44 · on 123 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
11 days · middle half 5 to 23 · on 195 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
16 days · middle half 7 to 31 · on 325 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
5.4% · middle half 3.5% to 7.9% · on 560 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
2.13× · middle half 1.77× to 2.58× · on 560 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
1.22 R · middle half 0.35 R to 2.07 R · on 325 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
26.2% · on 195 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
58.0% · on 560 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. In an uptrend: a white candle; a white candle gapping above it; a black candle of similar size opening inside the second body and closing inside the gap without filling it. Any gap counts, even one tick. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (9 rows)

10-bar move: did price go the expected way?

Figures in gray: fewer than 30 occurrences, not interpreted. Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. The test uses the bootstrap’s standard error and the interval its percentiles: near the 0.05 line, or on a few extreme moves, an interval can leave out zero while the test does not pass, and the test decides. Stock data misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized, which can flatter stock rows.
MarketOccurrencesPatternRandom barsExcess10-bar move verdict
US stocks · Daily47551.3%54.5%−0.12%No clear edge
ETFs · Daily5651.8%57.4%−0.25%No clear edge
Indices · Daily2466.7%57.9%−0.14%Not enough data
Commodities · Daily560.0%56.1%−0.57%Not enough data
All markets · Daily56052.1%55.0%−0.14%No clear edge
US stocks · Weekly1080.0%58.5%+11.39%Not enough data
ETFs · Weekly1100.0%64.5%−1.62%Not enough data
Indices · Weekly1100.0%66.6%+3.96%Not enough data
All markets · Weekly1283.3%59.7%+9.69%Not enough data

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
US stocks · Daily27335.5%36.4%+0.11 R vs +0.17 RNo clear edge
ETFs · Daily3243.8%40.9%+0.32 R vs +0.29 RNo clear edge
Indices · Daily1662.5%52.1%+0.88 R vs +0.59 RNot enough data
Commodities · Daily450.0%54.2%+0.50 R vs +0.64 RNot enough data
All markets · Daily32537.8%37.9%+0.17 R vs +0.21 RNo clear edge
US stocks · Weekly650.0%33.3%+0.50 R vs 0.00 RNot enough data
ETFs · Weekly1100.0%100.0%+2.00 R vs +2.00 RNot enough data
Indices · Weekly10.0%66.7%−1.00 R vs +1.01 RNot enough data
All markets · Weekly850.0%45.8%+0.50 R vs +0.38 RNot enough data

Our verdict

Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.

10-bar move No clear edge2:1 trade Weak, below chance

Downside tasuki gap: 364 occurrences tested

Bearish pattern · All markets · Daily · 312 assets · 1970-03 to 2026-10

Moved the expected way after 10 bars
41.4%
vs 45.3% on random bars
Excess return vs its market, 10 bars
−0.28%
95% interval −1.08% to +0.61%
Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. On a bearish setup, it means the asset lagged its market.
its market−3%+3%
2:1 trade hit the target
14.5%
vs 22.1% for the same trade on random dates
Average result per trade
−0.50 R
vs −0.30 R on random dates

What this means. No measurable difference from the rest of its market over the next 10 bars. For the 2:1 trade: a difference shows up (p < 0.05), but below the baseline, and it does not survive the multiple-testing correction.

Timeline

Entry triggered, after the pattern
2 days · middle half 1 to 5 · on 193 triggered entries
Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme. 7 of these entries are not among the 186 trades: still open at the end of our data, or left out by the trade rules.
Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
too few to measure · on 27 trades that hit it
Time to the stop, when hit
9 days · middle half 5 to 24 · on 147 trades that hit it
Time in the trade, all exits
13 days · middle half 5 to 32 · on 186 trades

Size and trade path

Pattern range, high to low
7.7% · middle half 5.1% to 11.8% · on 364 occurrences
Range vs average bar (ATR)
2.29× · middle half 1.90× to 2.73× · on 364 occurrences
Best open profit during the trade
0.47 R · middle half 0.17 R to 1.18 R · on 186 trades
Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
15.6% · on 147 stopped trades
Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
Entry order triggered
53.0% · on 364 occurrences

Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.

How we detect it. In a downtrend: a black candle; a black candle gapping below it; a white candle of similar size opening inside the second body and closing inside the gap without filling it. Any gap counts, even one tick. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.

All measurements (9 rows)

10-bar move: did price go the expected way?

Figures in gray: fewer than 30 occurrences, not interpreted. Excess return is signed so that positive favors the pattern. The test uses the bootstrap’s standard error and the interval its percentiles: near the 0.05 line, or on a few extreme moves, an interval can leave out zero while the test does not pass, and the test decides. Stock data misses most delisted companies, a survivorship bias we have not sized, which can flatter stock rows.
MarketOccurrencesPatternRandom barsExcess10-bar move verdict
Crypto · 1-hour1100.0%50.4%+0.78%Not enough data
US stocks · Daily34042.6%45.4%−0.22%No clear edge
ETFs · Daily1926.3%43.7%−1.19%Not enough data
Indices · Daily333.3%43.5%+0.65%Not enough data
Commodities · Daily20.0%49.6%−4.02%Not enough data
All markets · Daily36441.4%45.3%−0.28%No clear edge
US stocks · Weekly3427.3%41.6%−2.92%Not enough data
ETFs · Weekly580.0%38.6%+1.18%Not enough data
All markets · Weekly3934.2%41.2%−2.38%Not enough data

2:1 trade: target hit and average result

R = initial risk of the trade. Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. n/a = not measured. Per trade: average result, against the same trade on random dates. Figures in gray: fewer than 30 closed trades, not interpreted.
MarketTradesTarget hitSame trade, random datesPer trade2:1 trade verdict
Crypto · 1-hour0n/an/an/a vs n/aNot enough data
US stocks · Daily17614.8%22.6%−0.49 R vs −0.28 RWeak, below chance
ETFs · Daily911.1%14.8%−0.70 R vs −0.56 RNot enough data
Indices · Daily0n/an/an/a vs n/aNot enough data
Commodities · Daily10.0%0.0%−1.00 R vs −1.00 RNot enough data
All markets · Daily18614.5%22.1%−0.50 R vs −0.30 RWeak, below chance
US stocks · Weekly911.1%18.8%−0.28 R vs +0.01 RNot enough data
ETFs · Weekly40.0%16.7%−1.01 R vs −0.50 RNot enough data
All markets · Weekly137.7%18.1%−0.51 R vs −0.16 RNot enough data

Data updated November 5, 2026 · code version c2a1683f · Read the methodology. No occurrence on forex in our data. The upside tasuki gap had no occurrence on crypto. We measure every pattern on crypto and forex (1-hour, 4-hour, daily and weekly charts) and US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities (daily and weekly charts). A market or timeframe from that list missing from the tables above had no occurrence.

What you often read

“The upside tasuki gap is a reliable bullish continuation signal.”

What our data shows

On 560 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 52.1% of the time, against 55.0% for random bars: no clear edge, since the average excess return is not statistically significant.

What you often read

“The downside tasuki gap is a reliable bearish continuation signal.”

What our data shows

On 364 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 41.4% of the time, against 45.3% for random bars: no clear edge, since the average excess return is not statistically significant.

Table quoted in the text (verdicts and every market: see All measurements)
Version, market and timeframeOccurrencesMoved as expected 10 bars laterRandom barsClosed trades2:1 target hitSame setup, random datesExpectancy
Upside, all markets, daily56052.1%55.0%32537.8%37.9%+0.17 R
Upside, ETFs, daily5651.8%57.4%3243.8%40.9%+0.32 R
Upside, all markets, weekly1283.3%59.7%850.0%45.8%+0.50 R
Downside, all markets, daily36441.4%45.3%18614.5%22.1%−0.50 R
Downside, all markets, weekly3934.2%41.2%137.7%18.1%−0.51 R

Read the table in pairs of columns. "Moved as expected" means higher 10 bars later for the upside version and lower for the downside version. On daily charts, 52.1% of upside occurrences were followed by a rise, but 55.0% of random bars on the same assets rose too: the pattern did slightly worse than an average session. The excess return over the rest of the market after 10 bars was −0.14%, with a 95% confidence interval from −0.59% to +0.32%. Zero is inside the interval: no clear edge.

The 2:1 trading setup tells the same story. The bullish version reached its target in 37.8% of cases against 37.9% on random dates, for an expectancy of +0.17 R per position before costs, against +0.21 R for the same setup at random. The positive number comes from rising stock markets, not from the pattern. The downside version lost: 14.5% of targets hit, an expectancy of −0.50 R against −0.30 R at random. Shorting after this pattern, all markets combined, did worse than shorting at random dates: the 2:1 trade reads weak, below chance, a gap in average result per trade that passes a simple test but not our correction for multiple testing. On the 10-bar move, the downside version also went the wrong way, but its excess return of −0.28% reads no clear edge: zero is inside its margin of error.

US stocks make up about nine in ten occurrences and show the same picture: 35.5% of upside targets hit against 36.4% at random, and 14.8% of downside targets against 22.6%. The bullish row on the longer timeframe looks better (50.0% of targets hit against 45.8%), but it rests on only 8 positions, too few to interpret. Index data are thin: 24 upside and 3 downside occurrences. Both directions and their trades (16 upside, none downside) are too few to rate: not enough data.

Does volume or the long-term trend change the result?

Not in a useful way. Upside setups with high volume on the last bar (more than 1.5 times the average) reached the 2:1 target in 31.8% of cases, against 38.3% with normal volume. Downside setups with high volume reached it in 13.5% of cases, against 14.9% with normal volume. Across the decades, the downside excess return was negative in both the first and the second half of the history (−0.18% and −0.39%), while the upside one changed sign (+0.06% then −0.33%): no stable edge for either version.

The full table, with every market, timeframe and verdict, is in the statistics section of this page. To understand how we form the random benchmark and learn how each occurrence is counted, read the method in our methodology.

Real examples of the tasuki gap candlestick pattern

Here are real tasuki gaps, picked by our bench (best and worst results, textbook shapes, most recent, random draws), with their actual outcome. The case studies below are on stock charts.

Real occurrences from our test bench, each on its market's main timeframe. US stock examples come from liquid assets only (the most traded stocks). Best and Worst are the best and worst 2:1 trade results, Textbook the cleanest shapes (chosen on geometry alone, never on the outcome), Most recent the latest detections among the assets the gallery draws from, Typical a random draw. Shaded area: the pattern. Dashed lines: entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP) of the tested trade. Dotted line: 10 bars after the signal. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open. Stock and ETF prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time. We left out 8 cards with a shape that does not read as the definition on this page. They still count in the statistics, and are not replaced: our bench picks a fixed number of cards per category.

Market
Examples
US stocks overallAcross 475 daily upside tasuki gap occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 51.3% of the time, against 54.5% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern10.136.06+10 barsTPSLEntry1996-08
TextbookAMD September 26, 1996Daily chart4.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern253.4156.8+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-07
Most recentANET August 13, 2026Daily chart1.2% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern47.3540.84+10 barsTPSLEntry2017-01
TypicalWFC February 6, 2017Daily chart3.0% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern5.073.95+10 barsTPSLEntry1981-12
TypicalIBM January 29, 1982Daily chart2.8% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern23.0417.73+10 barsTPSLEntry2008-04
TypicalTXN May 20, 2008Daily chart0.6% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
Examples
ETFs overallAcross 56 daily upside tasuki gap occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 51.8% of the time, against 57.4% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern11.098.45+10 barsTPSLEntry2005-01
Best tradeEWZ February 18, 2005Daily chart6.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.16 R
◂ Pattern24.3621.44+10 barsTPSLEntry2017-022017-05
Best tradeTextbookEWG March 17, 2017Daily chart1.2% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.03 R
◂ Pattern193.3143.8+10 barsTPSLEntry2026-07
Worst tradeTextbookMost recentXBI August 20, 2026Daily chart0.6% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.02 R
◂ Pattern29.6724.09+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-11
Worst tradeGDX December 27, 2019Daily chart3.8% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern43.7438.11+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-112026-02
Most recentEWG December 12, 2025Daily chart0.8% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern71.7364.61+10 barsTPSLEntry2019-03
TypicalXLI April 15, 2019Daily chart1.5% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern513.5431.0+10 barsTPSLEntry2022-02
TypicalMDY March 30, 2022Daily chart3.2% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern31.8027.57+10 barsTPSLEntry2016-12
TypicalEEM January 26, 2017Daily chart1.1% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern163.9156.1+10 barsTPSLEntry2014-06
TypicalSPY July 7, 2014Daily chart0.1% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
Examples
US stocks overallAcross 340 daily downside tasuki gap occurrences, price moved the expected way 10 bars later 42.6% of the time, against 45.4% for random bars. The average excess return does not pass our significance test.No clear edgeThe examples below are single cases.
◂ Pattern2.872.07+10 barsTPSLEntry1990-071990-10
Best tradeCAT August 20, 1990Daily chart3.9% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: target hit, +2.00 R
◂ Pattern4.622.77+10 barsTPSLEntry1992-03
TextbookJPM April 9, 1992Daily chart17.2% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern742.1540.4+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-12
Most recentMETA January 21, 2026Daily chart9.1% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern289.3192.9+10 barsTPSLEntry2025-03
Most recentCRM April 22, 2025Daily chart12.3% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern17.915.14+10 barsTPSLEntry2011-07
TypicalCIEN August 9, 2011Daily chart7.4% in the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.01 R
◂ Pattern101.7470.07+10 barsTPSLEntry2020-09
TypicalIBM October 29, 2020Daily chart6.7% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: invalidated before entry
◂ Pattern6.184.97+10 barsTPSLEntry1994-05
TypicalBAC June 27, 1994Daily chart0.5% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.00 R
◂ Pattern3.422.87+10 barsTPSLEntry1970-02
TypicalIBM March 17, 1970Daily chart4.7% against the expected direction after 10 bars2:1 trade: stopped out, −1.05 R

Upside tasuki gap that reached its target

On August 31, 2017, Micron (MU) shares rose with a white candle. The next session opened at 31.33, above the previous high of 31.22, and rose again. On September 5, a black candle opened inside the middle body and ended at 31.27, below the middle candle's open of 31.33 and above the first candle's high of 31.22, so the gap stayed open at the close, even though the session low of 30.86 had traded below that high. The buy order at the top of the pattern (32.06) was triggered on September 7, with a protective level at 30.69 and a 2:1 target at 34.79. Price reached the target on September 18, 2017.

Downside tasuki gap that hit its stop-loss

On July 30, 2010, Micron (MU) gapped below the low of the previous black candle, and the following session a rising candle ended inside the gap. The sell order at 7.08 was triggered on August 5, with a protective level at 8.10. Price fell as low as 6.20 on August 31, short of the 5.03 target, and was 6.1% lower 10 bars after the pattern; it then climbed back and gapped above the stop 64 sessions after entry: a loss of 1.15 R.

A setup canceled before entry

On January 21, 2026, Meta Platforms (META) completed a downside tasuki gap, closing at 611.39, inside the window between 609.83 and 618.49. The next session, on January 22, price traded above the top of the pattern (627.47) without having reached the entry at its low (598.46): the setup was canceled without a position, and the stock was 9.1% higher 10 bars later. Cancellations like this one happened on almost half of the downside setups.

Trading tools for finding the tasuki gap

Technical analysis software such as TradingView can flag candlestick patterns on a chart, and the open-source TA-Lib library provides a CDLTASUKIGAP function. The same rules apply on any financial chart, but definitions differ between tools, for example on whether the gap is measured between shadows or between bodies, so check which one your tool uses. Ours is stricter than most: on the bars we compared, it finds about 18% of the upside setups and 17% of the downside setups that the TA-Lib function flags, so a scanner will usually flag more cases than our counts. Before trading the pattern with real money, learn its rules and review its past occurrences on your market in a demo account, and compare the outcome with the same setup on random dates.

Frequently asked questions

Is the tasuki gap a reliable reversal or continuation signal?

It is a continuation pattern, not a reversal pattern. In our tests it was not reliable as either: on daily charts, all markets combined, price continued in the trend direction less often after a tasuki gap than after a random bar on the same assets, though for neither version does the gap in average excess return survive our correction for multiple testing.

How does the tasuki gap differ from other gap patterns?

In technical analysis terms, the tasuki gap leaves the gap partly open: the last bar ends inside it. In the gap three methods, the last bar fills it. In the side-by-side lines, the bars after the window have the same color.

What market conditions are best for trading this pattern?

A clear trend and a market where gaps occur, with real trading sessions, such as stocks, ETFs and indices. In our data, the bullish version did better above the 200-day moving average, but not better than chance.

Can the tasuki gap be used for day trading or swing trading?

Rarely. Intraday trading charts of stocks have gaps mostly at the open, and crypto and forex charts have almost none. We found no upside and only 1 downside hourly occurrence in crypto, too few to measure. It forms mainly on daily stock charts, with 475 upside occurrences on US stocks, a timeframe that suits swing positions of a few weeks.

Is the tasuki gap bullish or bearish?

Both. The upside version is bullish and the downside version is bearish. The last bar runs against the trend in both cases.

Summary of key points

  • The tasuki gap is a three-candle continuation pattern: two candles with a gap, then a candle of the other color that ends inside the window without filling it.
  • On 560 upside occurrences on daily charts (325 closed trades), the 2:1 target was hit in 37.8% of cases, against 37.9% for the same setup on random dates.
  • On 364 downside occurrences (186 closed trades), the expectancy was −0.50 R, worse than the −0.30 R of the same setup at random.
  • The pattern needs gaps, so it is almost absent from crypto and forex charts.
  • Treat it as context in a trend, with a defined exit, not as a trading signal on its own.

About the author and the data. Written by Amaury, founder of PatternsWizard, who is passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. He built the PatternsWizard test bench, which applies the same published rules to full market history: crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities. Trades and win rates are compared with random bars on the same assets, excess returns with the rest of the market, with error margins and a correction for multiple testing, and the whole pipeline is checked on random-walk prices, where nothing can be predicted. Statistics on this page were generated on November 5, 2026. The full methodology explains every step. This page is educational content, not financial advice.

, Founder of PatternsWizard

Passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. Amaury built the PatternsWizard test bench, which detects each pattern on full price history and measures what happened next against random entries.

Statistics on this page come from our open methodology: every occurrence our rule finds on full history, compared with chance. How we test patterns.

179 patterns testedRandom-walk self-test passed