How we tested this pattern
- Sample
- 924 occurrences on 5 markets (crypto, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities), 1970 to 2026.
- Detection
- Found by code, never picked by hand: every match of the rule on full price history, winners and losers alike.upside tasuki gap pattern: In an uptrend: a white candle; a white candle gapping above it; a black candle of similar size opening inside the second body and closing inside the gap without filling it. Any gap counts, even one tick.downside tasuki gap pattern: In a downtrend: a black candle; a black candle gapping below it; a white candle of similar size opening inside the second body and closing inside the gap without filling it. Any gap counts, even one tick.
- Benchmark
- Each occurrence is compared with the same assets on random bars: the move 10 bars later, and a 2:1 reward-to-risk trade.
- Checks
- Block bootstrap and a correction for the thousands of tests we run, plus a random-walk self-test that the bench passes: on random prices, no pattern should win.
- Updated
- Data updated November 5, 2026, code version c2a1683f. Read the methodology · upside tasuki gap pattern data (JSON) · downside tasuki gap pattern data (JSON)
At a glance: what textbooks say, what we measured
- Pattern
- Bullish: Upside tasuki gap
- Occurrences tested
- 560 occurrences, all markets, daily
- Textbook: price should rise after it
- Too close to call · −0.14% vs the market, 10 bars
- Where it did best, US stocks left out
- ETFs, daily: +0.02 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
- Verdict
- 10-bar move: No clear edge2:1 trade: No clear edge
- Pattern
- Bearish: Downside tasuki gap
- Occurrences tested
- 364 occurrences, all markets, daily
- Textbook: price should fall after it
- Too close to call · −0.28% vs the market, 10 bars
- Its best market and timeframe, still negative
- US stocks, daily: −0.24 R 2:1 trade vs random dates, not proven
- Verdict
- 10-bar move: No clear edge2:1 trade: Weak, below chance
On this page
- What is the tasuki gap pattern?
- The structure of the tasuki gap
- Types of tasuki gap patterns
- The psychology behind the tasuki gap
- How to identify the tasuki gap on a price chart
- How to trade the tasuki gap
- Advanced trading strategies for the tasuki gap
- Important distinctions: tasuki gap vs. gap three methods
- Advantages of using the tasuki gap in your strategy
- Common mistakes to avoid when trading the tasuki gap
- Limitations and risk management
- Performance of the tasuki gap in different markets
- Real examples of the tasuki gap candlestick pattern
- Trading tools for finding the tasuki gap
- Frequently asked questions
- Summary of key points
The tasuki gap candlestick pattern is a three-candle continuation pattern. Two candlestick bars in the direction of the trend leave a price gap between them, then a third one of the opposite color moves back into the gap but fails to close the gap. Technical analysis textbooks read it as a pause in the trend: the trend is likely to continue because the counter-move could not fill the gap.
This guide covers the definition, the two versions, how to identify the pattern on a candle chart and use it in a trading plan, and what actually happened after it. Our test bench applied the same rule to full price history, found 560 upside and 364 downside occurrences on daily charts alone, and compared the outcome with random bars on the same assets, so you can see whether the signals provide anything a random entry does not.
What is the tasuki gap pattern?
The tasuki gap is a continuation pattern: it does not announce a reversal, it suggests that the current trend will resume after a short pullback. It comes in two versions. The upside version forms in an uptrend and is bullish. The downside version forms in a downtrend and is bearish.
The name is Japanese. A tasuki is a cord used to hold back the sleeves of a kimono, an image of something that holds the move in place. Steve Nison, who brought Japanese candlestick analysis to Western traders in Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques (1991), describes these candlestick patterns in his chapter on windows, the Japanese term for a price gap. In that tradition, an open window acts as support in an uptrend and as resistance in a downtrend, and this pattern is a test of that window that holds.
The structure of the tasuki gap
The pattern consists of three candles, and each one has a precise role. Understanding these roles is the start of any analysis of the setup. Our bench uses the same conditions, written so a computer can apply them without judgment.
- White candle
- White candle gapping above
- Black, closes inside the gapopens inside the second body, gap not filled
- Black candle
- Black candle gapping below
- White, closes inside the gapopens inside the second body, gap not filled
First candle: confirmation of the existing trend
The first candle moves with the trend: a green (white) body in an uptrend, a red (black) body in a downtrend. It shows that buyers or sellers are in control. Our rule requires a trend before the pattern: for the bullish case, the last close before the pattern is at least one average true range above the close 10 bars earlier, and in the upper half of the last 40 closes.
Second candle: creating the gap
The second candle consists of a body of the same color as the first and opens with a gap. In an uptrend, its low is above the high of the first bar; in the downside version, its high is below the low of the first bar. This is a true price gap: an empty zone on the chart where no trade took place.
Third candle: the partial gap fill
The third candle has the opposite color: black (red on color charts) in an uptrend, white (green) in a downtrend. It starts inside the real body of the middle bar, moves back toward the gap and ends inside it, without reaching the first bar. In an uptrend, it closes below the opening price of the middle bar but above the high of the first one. Its real body is about the same size as the middle body. Because the final price stays inside the zone, the window remains open: the counter-move did not close the gap.
Types of tasuki gap patterns
Upside tasuki gap
The upside tasuki gap pattern is the bullish one. In an uptrend, a rising bar is followed by another rising bar that gaps up, then by a black candle that starts inside the middle body and ends inside the upward gap. The chart above is not drawn by hand: it is the median shape of the clean bullish occurrences our bench found, with the levels of the trading setup we test.
Downside tasuki gap
The downside formation follows a downward trend. A black bar is followed by another black bar that gaps down, then by a rising candle that starts inside the middle body and ends inside the gap, below the low of the first one. The chart below is the median downside shape from our data.
The psychology behind the tasuki gap
The story is one of strength, a pause and a failed counter-attack. In a rising market, buyers drive the first candle, then demand is strong enough to open the next one above the previous high. On the third day, in the classic reading, profit taking or bets on a correction pull price back into the gap. But it holds inside the zone: sellers could not close it below the high of the first bar, even when the session low trades deeper. Traders read this as a sign that the market still respects the gap as support and that the move is likely to continue.
The downside story is the mirror: sellers gap the price down, a relief rally pushes it back up, and the rally stalls inside the gap, under the old support that has turned into resistance. This reading is plausible, but it is a story. Whether the failed counter-move predicts anything is a question for data, which we answer in the reliability section below.
How to identify the tasuki gap on a price chart
To identify the tasuki gap, check these conditions in order:
- A clear trend: up for the bullish version, down for the bearish one.
- Two bars in the trend direction, with a real gap between the shadows of the first and the second candle. This is how the setup starts.
- A third bar of the other color that starts inside the middle real body.
- That third bar ends beyond the middle real body but does not close the window: the space stays partly open.
- The middle and last bodies are roughly the same size.
Wait for the candle to close. During the session it can look like a tasuki gap and then fill the window entirely, which turns it into a different pattern. The pattern is rare, at least with our strict definition: we found one upside occurrence every 13,907 eligible bars and one downside occurrence every 21,395. On a single stock, with about 252 sessions a year, that means more than a decade between two occurrences of the same version, on average.
Why the pattern is so rare in crypto and forex
The pattern needs a gap, and gaps need a market that pauses. Crypto trading runs around the clock, so each bar opens almost exactly at the previous price. Forex trading runs without a break from Monday to Friday. Our data shows the effect: across all the crypto coins we test, we found no upside occurrence on any timeframe and 1 downside occurrence on hourly charts, one every 14,681,353 hourly bars, and in forex none at all, on any of the timeframes we test. Gaps rarely occur in these markets. In practice, it is a pattern of stocks, ETFs and indices, the financial markets with a session that ends overnight. A gap can form there every morning.
How to trade the tasuki gap
The classic trading strategy is to enter in the direction of the trend once price confirms that the pullback is over, with a stop loss on the other side of the formation and a target set as a multiple of the risk. This is the trading setup our bench simulates on every occurrence.
- Entry
- Buy stop at the pattern high
- Stop loss (SL)
- At the pattern low
- Target (TP)
- Twice the risk (2:1)
- Entry
- Sell stop at the pattern low
- Stop loss (SL)
- At the pattern high
- Target (TP)
- Twice the risk (2:1)
A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.
A clean case from our bench: US stocksChosen on its shape alone, never on the outcome. Stock prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time.
Setting entry points
Placing stop-loss orders
A tighter stop goes just beyond the window: if the counter-move continues and closes the gap, the reading is wrong. Our bench uses the other extreme of the whole formation, which is wider. That width matters: the median upside pattern spans 2.13 times the average true range (ATR) of the asset, so the exit level is far from the entry. Size the position on that distance, not on the size of one bar, to limit the potential loss.
Determining profit targets
The target we test is twice the risk (a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio); other choices are the next resistance level for a long position and the next support level for a short. In our data, winning upside trades took a median of 26 bars to reach the 2:1 target; losing ones were stopped out after a median of 11 bars.
Advanced trading strategies for the tasuki gap
Because the pattern alone gave weak results in our test, it can be combined with technical indicators, chart analysis and price levels. Consider the strategies below as a start for your own analysis. Each filter below should be tested on your own market before you risk capital on it.
Using moving averages for trend confirmation
A continuation pattern makes more sense inside a strong trend, and one simple filter among technical indicators is the 200-day moving average. We measured it. Upside occurrences above the 200-day average reached the 2:1 target in 39.4% of cases, against 25.0% below it, with expectancies of +0.21 R and −0.19 R. Downside setups below the average reached it in 14.6% of cases (expectancy −0.48 R), and 15.1% above it (−0.54 R). These breakdowns are descriptive and rest on uneven groups: 471 upside setups above the average against 83 below it, and 114 downside setups above it against 247 below. The filter did not turn the downside version into a winner.
Combining the pattern with RSI divergences
One filter skips a bullish setup when the relative strength index (RSI) shows a bearish divergence, on the idea that momentum is fading even though price gapped. We have not tested an RSI filter, so we have no figure for it.
Integrating Fibonacci levels with the tasuki gap
Another approach looks for the third bar to stall near a Fibonacci retracement of the middle bar, or near another technical level, as extra evidence that the gap is acting as support or resistance. This is a matter of confluence, and we have not measured it.
Important distinctions: tasuki gap vs. gap three methods
The upside gap three methods starts the same way: two rising bars with a window between them. The difference is the last bar. In the tasuki gap, it ends inside the window and leaves it open. In the gap three methods, it ends inside the first body and fills the space completely. Both are traditionally read as bullish continuation. On our data, that pattern (56 occurrences, 19 closed trades) reached its 2:1 target in 21.1% of cases against 35.8% for the same setup on random dates, too few trades to read a result. The bearish twin is the downside gap three methods.
- Upside Gap Three MethodsBullish10-bar move, daily No clear edge
- Downside Gap Three MethodsBearish10-bar move, daily No clear edge
- Side-by-Side White LinesBullish or bearishBullish, 10-bar move, daily No clear edgeBearish, 10-bar move, daily Not enough data
Other continuation patterns include the side-by-side white lines, where two bars of the same color sit next to each other after the window, and the rising and falling three methods, which hold inside the range of a long candle without a gap.
Advantages of using the tasuki gap in your strategy
- A precise definition: three candles, a window, a partial fill. It leaves little room for judgment.
- It trades with the trend, not against it, so it fits a trend-following trading strategy.
- Clear invalidation: if the space is filled, the setup is gone.
Common mistakes to avoid when trading the tasuki gap
- Counting a third bar that fills the window. That is a different pattern, with a different reading.
- Trying to enter before the third candle closes.
- Ignoring the trend: this pattern in a sideways range has no trend to continue.
- Taking the downside version as a strong short trade, with a tighter exit than the formation allows. In our data it did worse than chance, a gap that passes a simple test but does not survive our correction for multiple testing.
- Expecting it on crypto or forex charts, where it almost never forms.
Limitations and risk management
The main limitation is that the pattern did not clearly beat chance on any market we tested. It is also rare, which makes it hard to build a trading system around it, and the stop is wide. Risk management decides the outcome more than the trading signals do, and it protects your money: define the exit before entry, risk a small fixed share of the account on each position, and keep a record of every one so you can compare your results with chance. Past performance, ours included, does not guarantee future results or future trends, and nothing here is financial advice.
Performance of the tasuki gap in different markets
The tasuki gap candlestick pattern does not provide reliable signals on its own. Across every market and timeframe with enough data, neither version beat random bars on the same assets by a margin our tests separate from chance. Here are the numbers from our test bench, which applied the same rule to full price history.
Moved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.
Measured on 560 daily upside tasuki gap occurrences across 412 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.
No clear edgeMoved the expected way 10 bars later, compared with random bars.
Measured on 364 daily downside tasuki gap occurrences across 312 assets. Random bars on the same assets are the honest baseline.
No clear edgeUpside tasuki gap against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.
- All markets
- US stocks
- ETFs
- All markets
- US stocks
- ETFs
Downside tasuki gap against random bars on the same assets, by market, on daily candles. Bars of almost the same length mean no edge.
- All markets
- US stocks
- All markets
- US stocks
All statistics
Full results for the tasuki gap candlestick pattern, market by market
Every occurrence our rule finds on full price history, compared with what the same assets did on random bars. A pattern only earns an edge if it beats random entries after correcting for the thousands of tests we run.
Our verdict
Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.
Upside tasuki gap: 560 occurrences tested
Bullish pattern · All markets · Daily · 412 assets · 1974-07 to 2026-10
What this means. No measurable difference from the rest of its market over the next 10 bars.
Timeline
- Entry triggered, after the pattern
- 3 days · middle half 2 to 5 · on 325 triggered entries
- Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme.
- Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
- 26 days · middle half 13 to 44 · on 123 trades that hit it
- Time to the stop, when hit
- 11 days · middle half 5 to 23 · on 195 trades that hit it
- Time in the trade, all exits
- 16 days · middle half 7 to 31 · on 325 trades
Size and trade path
- Pattern range, high to low
- 5.4% · middle half 3.5% to 7.9% · on 560 occurrences
- Range vs average bar (ATR)
- 2.13× · middle half 1.77× to 2.58× · on 560 occurrences
- Best open profit during the trade
- 1.22 R · middle half 0.35 R to 2.07 R · on 325 trades
- Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
- 26.2% · on 195 stopped trades
- Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
- Entry order triggered
- 58.0% · on 560 occurrences
Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.
How we detect it. In an uptrend: a white candle; a white candle gapping above it; a black candle of similar size opening inside the second body and closing inside the gap without filling it. Any gap counts, even one tick. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.
All measurements (9 rows)
10-bar move: did price go the expected way?
| Market | Occurrences | Pattern | Random bars | Excess | 10-bar move verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US stocks · Daily | 475 | 51.3% | 54.5% | −0.12% | No clear edge |
| ETFs · Daily | 56 | 51.8% | 57.4% | −0.25% | No clear edge |
| Indices · Daily | 24 | 66.7% | 57.9% | −0.14% | Not enough data |
| Commodities · Daily | 5 | 60.0% | 56.1% | −0.57% | Not enough data |
| All markets · Daily | 560 | 52.1% | 55.0% | −0.14% | No clear edge |
| US stocks · Weekly | 10 | 80.0% | 58.5% | +11.39% | Not enough data |
| ETFs · Weekly | 1 | 100.0% | 64.5% | −1.62% | Not enough data |
| Indices · Weekly | 1 | 100.0% | 66.6% | +3.96% | Not enough data |
| All markets · Weekly | 12 | 83.3% | 59.7% | +9.69% | Not enough data |
2:1 trade: target hit and average result
| Market | Trades | Target hit | Same trade, random dates | Per trade | 2:1 trade verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US stocks · Daily | 273 | 35.5% | 36.4% | +0.11 R vs +0.17 R | No clear edge |
| ETFs · Daily | 32 | 43.8% | 40.9% | +0.32 R vs +0.29 R | No clear edge |
| Indices · Daily | 16 | 62.5% | 52.1% | +0.88 R vs +0.59 R | Not enough data |
| Commodities · Daily | 4 | 50.0% | 54.2% | +0.50 R vs +0.64 R | Not enough data |
| All markets · Daily | 325 | 37.8% | 37.9% | +0.17 R vs +0.21 R | No clear edge |
| US stocks · Weekly | 6 | 50.0% | 33.3% | +0.50 R vs 0.00 R | Not enough data |
| ETFs · Weekly | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | +2.00 R vs +2.00 R | Not enough data |
| Indices · Weekly | 1 | 0.0% | 66.7% | −1.00 R vs +1.01 R | Not enough data |
| All markets · Weekly | 8 | 50.0% | 45.8% | +0.50 R vs +0.38 R | Not enough data |
Our verdict
Not a reliable signal on its own here. Use it as context, not as a trigger.
Downside tasuki gap: 364 occurrences tested
Bearish pattern · All markets · Daily · 312 assets · 1970-03 to 2026-10
What this means. No measurable difference from the rest of its market over the next 10 bars. For the 2:1 trade: a difference shows up (p < 0.05), but below the baseline, and it does not survive the multiple-testing correction.
Timeline
- Entry triggered, after the pattern
- 2 days · middle half 1 to 5 · on 193 triggered entries
- Stop order beyond the pattern's extreme. 7 of these entries are not among the 186 trades: still open at the end of our data, or left out by the trade rules.
- Time to the 2:1 target, when hit
- too few to measure · on 27 trades that hit it
- Time to the stop, when hit
- 9 days · middle half 5 to 24 · on 147 trades that hit it
- Time in the trade, all exits
- 13 days · middle half 5 to 32 · on 186 trades
Size and trade path
- Pattern range, high to low
- 7.7% · middle half 5.1% to 11.8% · on 364 occurrences
- Range vs average bar (ATR)
- 2.29× · middle half 1.90× to 2.73× · on 364 occurrences
- Best open profit during the trade
- 0.47 R · middle half 0.17 R to 1.18 R · on 186 trades
- Stopped trades that were first up 1 R
- 15.6% · on 147 stopped trades
- Trades a stop moved to breakeven at +1 R would have closed flat instead of at a loss
- Entry order triggered
- 53.0% · on 364 occurrences
Medians, each on the cases named on its line; "middle half" spans the 25th to 75th percentile; no value under 30 cases.
How we detect it. In a downtrend: a black candle; a black candle gapping below it; a white candle of similar size opening inside the second body and closing inside the gap without filling it. Any gap counts, even one tick. Candlestick counts are not checked against planted examples, so they may not be exhaustive.
All measurements (9 rows)
10-bar move: did price go the expected way?
| Market | Occurrences | Pattern | Random bars | Excess | 10-bar move verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto · 1-hour | 1 | 100.0% | 50.4% | +0.78% | Not enough data |
| US stocks · Daily | 340 | 42.6% | 45.4% | −0.22% | No clear edge |
| ETFs · Daily | 19 | 26.3% | 43.7% | −1.19% | Not enough data |
| Indices · Daily | 3 | 33.3% | 43.5% | +0.65% | Not enough data |
| Commodities · Daily | 2 | 0.0% | 49.6% | −4.02% | Not enough data |
| All markets · Daily | 364 | 41.4% | 45.3% | −0.28% | No clear edge |
| US stocks · Weekly | 34 | 27.3% | 41.6% | −2.92% | Not enough data |
| ETFs · Weekly | 5 | 80.0% | 38.6% | +1.18% | Not enough data |
| All markets · Weekly | 39 | 34.2% | 41.2% | −2.38% | Not enough data |
2:1 trade: target hit and average result
| Market | Trades | Target hit | Same trade, random dates | Per trade | 2:1 trade verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto · 1-hour | 0 | n/a | n/a | n/a vs n/a | Not enough data |
| US stocks · Daily | 176 | 14.8% | 22.6% | −0.49 R vs −0.28 R | Weak, below chance |
| ETFs · Daily | 9 | 11.1% | 14.8% | −0.70 R vs −0.56 R | Not enough data |
| Indices · Daily | 0 | n/a | n/a | n/a vs n/a | Not enough data |
| Commodities · Daily | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | −1.00 R vs −1.00 R | Not enough data |
| All markets · Daily | 186 | 14.5% | 22.1% | −0.50 R vs −0.30 R | Weak, below chance |
| US stocks · Weekly | 9 | 11.1% | 18.8% | −0.28 R vs +0.01 R | Not enough data |
| ETFs · Weekly | 4 | 0.0% | 16.7% | −1.01 R vs −0.50 R | Not enough data |
| All markets · Weekly | 13 | 7.7% | 18.1% | −0.51 R vs −0.16 R | Not enough data |
Data updated November 5, 2026 · code version c2a1683f · Read the methodology. No occurrence on forex in our data. The upside tasuki gap had no occurrence on crypto. We measure every pattern on crypto and forex (1-hour, 4-hour, daily and weekly charts) and US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities (daily and weekly charts). A market or timeframe from that list missing from the tables above had no occurrence.
What you often read
“The upside tasuki gap is a reliable bullish continuation signal.”
What our data shows
On 560 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 52.1% of the time, against 55.0% for random bars: no clear edge, since the average excess return is not statistically significant.
What you often read
“The downside tasuki gap is a reliable bearish continuation signal.”
What our data shows
On 364 daily occurrences, it moved in the expected direction 41.4% of the time, against 45.3% for random bars: no clear edge, since the average excess return is not statistically significant.
Table quoted in the text (verdicts and every market: see All measurements)
| Version, market and timeframe | Occurrences | Moved as expected 10 bars later | Random bars | Closed trades | 2:1 target hit | Same setup, random dates | Expectancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upside, all markets, daily | 560 | 52.1% | 55.0% | 325 | 37.8% | 37.9% | +0.17 R |
| Upside, ETFs, daily | 56 | 51.8% | 57.4% | 32 | 43.8% | 40.9% | +0.32 R |
| Upside, all markets, weekly | 12 | 83.3% | 59.7% | 8 | 50.0% | 45.8% | +0.50 R |
| Downside, all markets, daily | 364 | 41.4% | 45.3% | 186 | 14.5% | 22.1% | −0.50 R |
| Downside, all markets, weekly | 39 | 34.2% | 41.2% | 13 | 7.7% | 18.1% | −0.51 R |
Read the table in pairs of columns. "Moved as expected" means higher 10 bars later for the upside version and lower for the downside version. On daily charts, 52.1% of upside occurrences were followed by a rise, but 55.0% of random bars on the same assets rose too: the pattern did slightly worse than an average session. The excess return over the rest of the market after 10 bars was −0.14%, with a 95% confidence interval from −0.59% to +0.32%. Zero is inside the interval: no clear edge.
The 2:1 trading setup tells the same story. The bullish version reached its target in 37.8% of cases against 37.9% on random dates, for an expectancy of +0.17 R per position before costs, against +0.21 R for the same setup at random. The positive number comes from rising stock markets, not from the pattern. The downside version lost: 14.5% of targets hit, an expectancy of −0.50 R against −0.30 R at random. Shorting after this pattern, all markets combined, did worse than shorting at random dates: the 2:1 trade reads weak, below chance, a gap in average result per trade that passes a simple test but not our correction for multiple testing. On the 10-bar move, the downside version also went the wrong way, but its excess return of −0.28% reads no clear edge: zero is inside its margin of error.
US stocks make up about nine in ten occurrences and show the same picture: 35.5% of upside targets hit against 36.4% at random, and 14.8% of downside targets against 22.6%. The bullish row on the longer timeframe looks better (50.0% of targets hit against 45.8%), but it rests on only 8 positions, too few to interpret. Index data are thin: 24 upside and 3 downside occurrences. Both directions and their trades (16 upside, none downside) are too few to rate: not enough data.
Does volume or the long-term trend change the result?
Not in a useful way. Upside setups with high volume on the last bar (more than 1.5 times the average) reached the 2:1 target in 31.8% of cases, against 38.3% with normal volume. Downside setups with high volume reached it in 13.5% of cases, against 14.9% with normal volume. Across the decades, the downside excess return was negative in both the first and the second half of the history (−0.18% and −0.39%), while the upside one changed sign (+0.06% then −0.33%): no stable edge for either version.
The full table, with every market, timeframe and verdict, is in the statistics section of this page. To understand how we form the random benchmark and learn how each occurrence is counted, read the method in our methodology.
Real examples of the tasuki gap candlestick pattern
Here are real tasuki gaps, picked by our bench (best and worst results, textbook shapes, most recent, random draws), with their actual outcome. The case studies below are on stock charts.
Real occurrences from our test bench, each on its market's main timeframe. US stock examples come from liquid assets only (the most traded stocks). Best and Worst are the best and worst 2:1 trade results, Textbook the cleanest shapes (chosen on geometry alone, never on the outcome), Most recent the latest detections among the assets the gallery draws from, Typical a random draw. Shaded area: the pattern. Dashed lines: entry, stop loss (SL) and 2:1 target (TP) of the tested trade. Dotted line: 10 bars after the signal. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open. Stock and ETF prices are adjusted for splits and dividends, so they can differ from the prices quoted at the time. We left out 8 cards with a shape that does not read as the definition on this page. They still count in the statistics, and are not replaced: our bench picks a fixed number of cards per category.
Upside tasuki gap that reached its target
On August 31, 2017, Micron (MU) shares rose with a white candle. The next session opened at 31.33, above the previous high of 31.22, and rose again. On September 5, a black candle opened inside the middle body and ended at 31.27, below the middle candle's open of 31.33 and above the first candle's high of 31.22, so the gap stayed open at the close, even though the session low of 30.86 had traded below that high. The buy order at the top of the pattern (32.06) was triggered on September 7, with a protective level at 30.69 and a 2:1 target at 34.79. Price reached the target on September 18, 2017.
Downside tasuki gap that hit its stop-loss
On July 30, 2010, Micron (MU) gapped below the low of the previous black candle, and the following session a rising candle ended inside the gap. The sell order at 7.08 was triggered on August 5, with a protective level at 8.10. Price fell as low as 6.20 on August 31, short of the 5.03 target, and was 6.1% lower 10 bars after the pattern; it then climbed back and gapped above the stop 64 sessions after entry: a loss of 1.15 R.
A setup canceled before entry
On January 21, 2026, Meta Platforms (META) completed a downside tasuki gap, closing at 611.39, inside the window between 609.83 and 618.49. The next session, on January 22, price traded above the top of the pattern (627.47) without having reached the entry at its low (598.46): the setup was canceled without a position, and the stock was 9.1% higher 10 bars later. Cancellations like this one happened on almost half of the downside setups.
Trading tools for finding the tasuki gap
Technical analysis software such as TradingView can flag candlestick patterns on a chart, and the open-source TA-Lib library provides a CDLTASUKIGAP function. The same rules apply on any financial chart, but definitions differ between tools, for example on whether the gap is measured between shadows or between bodies, so check which one your tool uses. Ours is stricter than most: on the bars we compared, it finds about 18% of the upside setups and 17% of the downside setups that the TA-Lib function flags, so a scanner will usually flag more cases than our counts. Before trading the pattern with real money, learn its rules and review its past occurrences on your market in a demo account, and compare the outcome with the same setup on random dates.
Frequently asked questions
Is the tasuki gap a reliable reversal or continuation signal?
It is a continuation pattern, not a reversal pattern. In our tests it was not reliable as either: on daily charts, all markets combined, price continued in the trend direction less often after a tasuki gap than after a random bar on the same assets, though for neither version does the gap in average excess return survive our correction for multiple testing.
How does the tasuki gap differ from other gap patterns?
In technical analysis terms, the tasuki gap leaves the gap partly open: the last bar ends inside it. In the gap three methods, the last bar fills it. In the side-by-side lines, the bars after the window have the same color.
What market conditions are best for trading this pattern?
A clear trend and a market where gaps occur, with real trading sessions, such as stocks, ETFs and indices. In our data, the bullish version did better above the 200-day moving average, but not better than chance.
Can the tasuki gap be used for day trading or swing trading?
Rarely. Intraday trading charts of stocks have gaps mostly at the open, and crypto and forex charts have almost none. We found no upside and only 1 downside hourly occurrence in crypto, too few to measure. It forms mainly on daily stock charts, with 475 upside occurrences on US stocks, a timeframe that suits swing positions of a few weeks.
Is the tasuki gap bullish or bearish?
Both. The upside version is bullish and the downside version is bearish. The last bar runs against the trend in both cases.
Summary of key points
- The tasuki gap is a three-candle continuation pattern: two candles with a gap, then a candle of the other color that ends inside the window without filling it.
- On 560 upside occurrences on daily charts (325 closed trades), the 2:1 target was hit in 37.8% of cases, against 37.9% for the same setup on random dates.
- On 364 downside occurrences (186 closed trades), the expectancy was −0.50 R, worse than the −0.30 R of the same setup at random.
- The pattern needs gaps, so it is almost absent from crypto and forex charts.
- Treat it as context in a trend, with a defined exit, not as a trading signal on its own.
About the author and the data. Written by Amaury, founder of PatternsWizard, who is passionate about finance, quantitative trading and data analysis. He built the PatternsWizard test bench, which applies the same published rules to full market history: crypto, forex, US stocks, ETFs, indices and commodities. Trades and win rates are compared with random bars on the same assets, excess returns with the rest of the market, with error margins and a correction for multiple testing, and the whole pipeline is checked on random-walk prices, where nothing can be predicted. Statistics on this page were generated on November 5, 2026. The full methodology explains every step. This page is educational content, not financial advice.
