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Worst Hedge Fund Losses and Failures: 10 Cases From LTCM to Archegos

Ten documented hedge fund losses from 1998 to 2022, what each one lost, why, and the risk lesson a trader can keep from it.

ยท Founder of PatternsWizard
Checked 12 min read
200020052010201520201998202210 dated events, each sourced
On this page
  1. The 10 collapses at a glance
  2. 1. Long-Term Capital Management, 1998
  3. 2. Tiger Management, 2000
  4. 3. Bayou Group, 2005
  5. 4. Amaranth Advisors, 2006
  6. 5. Bear Stearns structured credit funds, 2007
  7. 6. Peloton Partners, 2008
  8. 7. Galleon Group, 2009 to 2011
  9. 8. Pequot Capital, 2009 to 2010
  10. 9. Archegos Capital, 2021
  11. 10. Melvin Capital, 2021 to 2022
  12. Risk lessons from the ten cases
  13. Frequently asked questions

Measured in dollars, the largest losses on this page are Archegos in 2021, whose default cost banks more than $10 billion, Melvin Capital, whose short positions lost about $7 billion of capital in January 2021, and Amaranth Advisors, which lost almost $6 billion on natural gas in about a month in 2006. Long-Term Capital Management lost 44% of its value in August 1998 alone and needed a $3.6 billion rescue. Six more cases complete the list of ten, from Tiger Management's exit in 2000 to Pequot Capital, whose wind-down was announced in 2009 before its SEC settlement in 2010.

The ten cases are ordered by date, not ranked, because the losses are not measured the same way: some are fund losses, some are losses to lenders, some are frauds. Each one states which measure applies and links to the regulator, court or fund document behind it. The chart below puts side by side the five cases whose loss is published in dollars.

Hedge fund losses published in dollars

Archegos, 2021, lost by its banksMore than $10 billionMelvin Capital, capital lost in January 2021About $7 billionAmaranth Advisors, 2006, in about a monthAlmost $6 billionLTCM, January to August 1998About $2.5 billionBear Stearns funds, 2007, lost by investorsAbout $1.8 billion
Values as published by the source below. Source: NBC News (Archegos, Amaranth), Fortune (Melvin), President's Working Group (LTCM), SEC (Bear Stearns), listed in the references below.The losses are not measured the same way: bank losses, fund capital, investor losses. LTCM's figure is our subtraction of the two capital levels the Working Group published. The fraud cases are left out, since their figures are amounts taken or paid.

Ten hedge fund collapses, 1998 to 2022

  1. LTCM: 14 banks and brokers agree to a $3.6 billion recapitalization. Federal Reserve History

  2. Tiger Management tells partners it will return all capital. Investor letter

  3. Bayou Group falls apart after its fraud is discovered. InvestmentNews

  4. Amaranth reports losing almost $6 billion in a month. NBC News

  5. Two Bear Stearns structured credit funds collapse. SEC

  6. Peloton Partners liquidates its $2 billion asset-backed fund. HedgeCo

  7. Pequot's founder tells clients he will close the firm. InvestmentNews

  8. Galleon's managing member is convicted on 14 counts. U.S. Attorney, via Mondo Visione

  9. Archegos defaults on margin calls with $160 billion of exposure. SEC

  10. Melvin Capital announces it will wind down. Fortune

Each event links to the source it was checked against.

The 10 collapses at a glance

FundYearWhat went wrongDocumented lossHow it ended
Long-Term Capital Management1998About $30 of debt per $1 of capital, hit by Russia's default44% of its value in August 1998$3.6 billion recapitalization by 14 banks and brokers
Tiger Management2000Value stocks out of favor during the internet bubbleNot published (investors withdrew about $7.7 billion after August 1998)Capital returned to investors from March 2000
Bayou Group2005Fraud: reports showed profits that did not existMore than $450 million taken from investorsCollapsed in 2005; its chief sentenced to 20 years in 2008
Amaranth Advisors2006Concentrated natural gas positionsAlmost $6 billion in about a monthEnergy book transferred, fund wound up
Bear Stearns structured credit funds2007Leveraged bets on securities tied to subprime mortgagesAbout $1.8 billion lost by investorsCollapsed in June 2007
Peloton Partners2008Asset-backed securities hit by the credit crisisNot published (a $2 billion fund liquidated)Forced liquidation in February 2008
Galleon Group2009 to 2011Insider tradingNot published as a fund lossClosed; its managing member convicted on 14 counts in 2011
Pequot Capital2009 to 2010Insider trading in Microsoft shares (2001)Nearly $28 million paid to settle SEC chargesWind-down announced May 2009
Archegos Capital2021Concentrated stock bets through swaps, $160 billion of exposureMore than $10 billion lost by banksDefault in March 2021; founder sentenced to 18 years
Melvin Capital2021 to 2022Short positions, including GameStop, squeezedAbout $7 billion of capital in January 2021Wind-down announced May 18, 2022

1. Long-Term Capital Management, 1998

LTCM was founded in February 1994 by a former vice chairman of Salomon Brothers. It returned 20% in 1994, 43% in 1995, 41% in 1996 and 17% in 1997, using arbitrage trades that each earned little and therefore needed leverage: at the end of 1997 it held about $30 of debt for every $1 of capital. When Russia devalued and stopped paying its debt in August 1998, the spreads it was betting on widened instead of narrowing, and the fund lost 44% of its value that month. On September 23, 1998, a group of 14 banks and brokerage firms agreed to invest $3.6 billion; the Federal Reserve brought them together without putting its own money at risk.

The President's Working Group on Financial Markets, which reviewed the case in 1999, put the fund's capital at $4.8 billion on January 1, 1998, $4.1 billion on July 31 and $2.3 billion after the August losses of $1.8 billion: more than half of the year's starting equity was gone before the rescue.

LTCM's capital in 1998

January 1, 1998$4.8 billionJuly 31, 1998$4.1 billionEnd of August 1998$2.3 billion
Values as published by the source below. Source: President's Working Group on Financial Markets, Hedge Funds, Leverage, and the Lessons of LTCM (April 1999).Before the $3.6 billion recapitalization of September 23, 1998.

2. Tiger Management, 2000

Julian Robertson started Tiger in 1980 with $8 million and grew it to about $21 billion under management. In the late 1990s his value approach fell out of favor, and investors withdrew some $7.7 billion after August 1998. On March 30, 2000, he wrote to his partners that he would return all capital, calling the technology craze a market where "earnings and price considerations take a back seat to mouse clicks and momentum." Tiger is on this list for the scale of the retreat, not for a blow-up: the fund was closed in an orderly way, and nearly 200 hedge fund firms trace their start to Tiger, the so-called Tiger Cubs. Robertson died on August 23, 2022, at 90.

3. Bayou Group, 2005

Bayou fell apart in 2005 after its managers were found to have signed off on reports showing the fund was profitable when it was not. Investors lost more than $450 million. Its chief was sentenced in April 2008 to 20 years in prison and ordered to pay $300 million. Bayou is the reminder that a fraud can hide real trading losses: according to the SEC, the funds never posted a year-end profit, reported a $43 million gain for 2003 when they had lost $49 million, and used a sham audit firm, Richmond-Fairfield Associates, to certify the fake results.

4. Amaranth Advisors, 2006

Amaranth opened 2006 with $7.4 billion and reached a high of $9.2 billion in August. Its natural gas book then went wrong: by September 20, 2006, the fund had lost almost $6 billion in a month, down about 65% for the month and 55% for the year, and had to transfer its energy portfolio to a third party. In 2009 the Amaranth entities agreed to pay a $7.5 million civil penalty to the CFTC over attempted manipulation of natural gas futures.

5. Bear Stearns structured credit funds, 2007

Two Bear Stearns hedge funds made leveraged bets on structured securities tied mostly to subprime mortgages. They collapsed in June 2007, and the SEC put investor losses at about $1.8 billion. The SEC alleged that investors were told direct subprime exposure was 6% to 8% of each fund, while total direct and indirect exposure was about 60%.

Bear Stearns funds: subprime exposure, 2007

Direct exposure in the monthly summariesAbout 6% to 8%Direct and indirect, told after the collapseAbout 60%
Values as published by the source below. Source: SEC press release 2008-115.As alleged by the SEC: the monthly summaries gave direct subprime exposure only, the later figure adds indirect exposure. The first bar is drawn at the top of its range.

6. Peloton Partners, 2008

Peloton's asset-backed securities fund had returned 87% in 2007, largely on bets against subprime. In February 2008 the firm told investors it was forced to liquidate the $2 billion fund as the credit markets kept deteriorating. The fund's exact final loss is not published in the sources we could check; what is documented is the speed, from a record year to liquidation in about two months.

7. Galleon Group, 2009 to 2011

Raj Rajaratnam and three Needham & Company colleagues, Krishen Sud, Gary Rosenbach and Ari Arjavalingam, formed Galleon Group in January 1997. The firm was brought down by an insider trading case: it closed its hedge funds in 2009, after Rajaratnam was charged, and on May 11, 2011, a Manhattan jury found him guilty on 14 counts, in what the U.S. Attorney called the largest hedge fund insider trading scheme in history. Galleon's loss was legal and reputational rather than a trading loss, so no fund loss figure applies.

8. Pequot Capital, 2009 to 2010

In May 2009, its founder told clients he would close the firm, which then managed about $3.5 billion, citing the adverse publicity of an insider trading investigation. On May 27, 2010, Pequot and its chairman agreed to pay nearly $28 million to settle SEC charges of insider trading in Microsoft shares in April 2001; the funds had made more than $14 million on the trades. The chairman was barred from working with an investment adviser, except for activities aimed solely at winding Pequot down.

9. Archegos Capital, 2021

Archegos was a family office rather than a classic hedge fund, but its collapse is the largest on this list. According to the SEC, its value grew from about $1.5 billion with $10 billion of exposure in March 2020 to more than $36 billion with $160 billion of exposure in March 2021.

Archegos: value and exposure, one year apart

March 2020About $1.5 billion$10 billionMarch 2021More than $36 billion$160 billion
  • Value of the family office
  • Exposure
Values as published by the source below. Source: SEC press release 2022-70.Values as stated by the SEC in its complaint; the 2021 value is a lower bound.

Price falls in its most concentrated positions then triggered margin calls it could not meet. Banks lost more than $10 billion, Credit Suisse alone $5.5 billion. Its founder, Bill Hwang, was convicted in July 2024 and sentenced in November 2024 to 18 years in prison.

10. Melvin Capital, 2021 to 2022

GameStop was one of Melvin's short positions. The January 2021 squeeze erased about $7 billion of its capital, and the fund ended 2021 down 39%. On May 18, 2022, with $7.8 billion under management at the end of April, its founder announced he would wind the firm down. Our page on the biggest short squeezes in history covers the GameStop episode from the other side.

Risk lessons from the ten cases

LTCM, Amaranth, the Bear Stearns funds, Peloton and Archegos went down through the same loop: falling prices, a call for more margin or collateral, forced sales, and lower prices again. Leverage decides how fast it turns, which is why a fund with small losses on paper can be gone within weeks.

The margin call spiral

Leveraged positionslose valueLender callsfor more marginFund sells toraise cashSelling pushesprices lowerMore leverage,faster loop
Schematic, not market data. The loop behind several of the collapses on this page; the speed and size differ from case to case.
LessonCasesWhat a trader can apply
Leverage turns small errors into total lossesLTCM, Bear Stearns funds, ArchegosSize positions on the loss you can survive, not on the expected gain
Concentration in one market or themeAmaranth, Archegos, PelotonCap exposure per market and per idea
Short positions have no ceilingMelvinUse stops and smaller size on shorts in heavily shorted names
Funding can disappearLTCM, Peloton, ArchegosPlan for margin calls before they come
Fraud and legal riskBayou, Galleon, PequotCheck custody, audit and compliance, not only returns

For the practical side of cutting losses, see how hedge funds use stop losses and our guide to position size. The traders who avoided these endings are profiled in our list of the most successful stock traders and in the famous traders section.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the biggest hedge fund loss ever?

Among documented cases, Archegos Capital's collapse in March 2021 is the largest: banks lost more than $10 billion, including $5.5 billion at Credit Suisse. Among the hedge funds themselves, Melvin Capital lost about $7 billion of capital in January 2021 and Amaranth Advisors almost $6 billion in about a month in 2006. LTCM's capital fell from $4.8 billion on January 1, 1998 to $2.3 billion at the end of August, according to the President's Working Group, before the $3.6 billion recapitalization.

What happened to Archegos?

Archegos, Bill Hwang's family office, built about $160 billion of exposure through derivatives. Price falls in its concentrated holdings in March 2021 triggered margin calls it could not meet, and its banks sold the positions. Hwang was convicted in July 2024 and sentenced to 18 years in November 2024.

Why do hedge funds collapse?

In the ten cases above, the causes are leverage (LTCM, Archegos), concentration in one market (Amaranth), funding withdrawn by lenders (Peloton), squeezed short positions (Melvin) and fraud or legal cases (Bayou, Galleon, Pequot). Archegos combines two of them: leverage and concentrated positions.

Did the Federal Reserve bail out LTCM?

Not with public money. The Federal Reserve brought LTCM's creditors together, and on September 23, 1998, 14 banks and brokerage firms agreed to invest $3.6 billion. The Fed did not put its own funds at risk.

Is Julian Robertson still alive?

No. The Tiger Management founder died on August 23, 2022, at 90.

How much money did hedge funds lose in 2022?

Rick Sopher, chairman of LCH Investments, estimated that hedge funds lost $208.4 billion in 2022, as reported by Institutional Investor in January 2023. On the same estimate, Tiger Global lost $18 billion, and its long/short equity fund fell 56% that year. Those are industry estimates, not audited figures.

Sources

  1. Federal Reserve History, Near failure of Long-Term Capital Management
  2. President's Working Group on Financial Markets, Hedge Funds, Leverage, and the Lessons of LTCM (April 1999)
  3. Julian Robertson, letter to Tiger limited partners (March 30, 2000)
  4. UNC Kenan-Flagler, Remembering a hedge fund pioneer (2022)
  5. InvestmentNews, Bayou mastermind gets 20-year sentence (2008)
  6. SEC, charges against Bayou and its managers (2005)
  7. NBC News, Amaranth fund details losses to investors (2006)
  8. CFTC, Amaranth consent order (2009)
  9. SEC, charges over the Bear Stearns hedge funds (2008)
  10. HedgeCo, Peloton to liquidate $2bn hedge fund (2008)
  11. U.S. Attorney SDNY, Galleon verdict (2011)
  12. Bloomberg via Financial Advisor, Rajaratnam guilty on all counts (2011)
  13. Institutional Investor, Galleon co-founder and THL exec launch firm
  14. SEC, Pequot settlement (2010)
  15. SEC, Archegos charges (2022)
  16. NBC News, Bill Hwang sentenced to 18 years (2024)
  17. Fortune, Melvin Capital to liquidate funds (2022)
  18. Institutional Investor, Hedge funds lost more than $200 billion last year (2023)
  19. InvestmentNews, Samberg to close Pequot Capital (May 28, 2009)
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