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10 Biggest Short Squeezes in History, From 1863 to 2021

Ten documented short squeezes, from the Harlem Railroad to GameStop: the price move, the trigger, who lost, and the signals they share.

· Founder of PatternsWizard
Checked 12 min read
1900195020001863202110 dated events, each sourced
On this page
  1. What a short squeeze is
  2. The 10 squeezes at a glance
  3. 1. Harlem Railroad, 1863
  4. 2. Northern Pacific, May 1901
  5. 3. Piggly Wiggly, 1923
  6. 4. Reliance Industries, 1982
  7. 5. Volkswagen, October 2008
  8. 6. Herbalife, 2012 to 2018
  9. 7. KaloBios, November 2015
  10. 8. Tesla, 2020
  11. 9. GameStop, January 2021
  12. 10. AMC Entertainment, January 2021
  13. Signals the ten cases have in common
  14. Frequently asked questions

By price spike, the biggest short squeeze in history is Volkswagen in October 2008: after Porsche revealed its takeover plan, the shares jumped from €211 to more than €1,005 in two trading days and briefly made VW the most valuable listed company in the world. By money lost, Tesla shorts hold the record, with $40.1 billion of paper losses in 2020. GameStop in January 2021, when the close rose more than 1,600% in about two weeks, and Northern Pacific in May 1901, when shorts paid $1,000 a share, are the other landmark cases.

The ten cases below run from 1863 to 2021, in date order. For each one we give the documented price move, who was squeezed and how it ended, with the regulator, court, academic or press source behind every figure.

Ten short squeezes, 1863 to 2021

  1. Harlem Railroad: shorts must pay Vanderbilt double their contract prices. Appletons' Cyclopaedia

  2. Northern Pacific: shorts pay up to $1,000 a share before a truce at $150. American Heritage

  3. Piggly Wiggly: the founder's attempt to corner the stock fails. Tennessee Encyclopedia

  4. Reliance: buyers refuse to postpone delivery on clearing day. India Before the Ambanis, excerpt

  5. Volkswagen trades above €1,005, up from €211 two sessions earlier. Harvard Law School Forum

  6. Herbalife: a $1 billion short position becomes public. Herbalife statement

  7. KaloBios jumps 29% as its new holder stops lending shares. The Motley Fool

  8. Tesla rises 743%; shorts lose a record $40.1 billion on paper. CNN, via KTVZ

  9. GameStop closes more than 1,600% above its January 11 close; AMC gains 301.2% in a day. SEC staff report

  10. Several brokers restrict purchases of GameStop and AMC. SEC staff report

Each event links to the source it was checked against.

What a short squeeze is

A short seller borrows shares, sells them and hopes to buy them back cheaper. If the price rises instead, losses grow with no ceiling, margin calls arrive and some shorts buy to close their positions. That buying pushes the price higher, which forces more shorts to cover. The SEC staff describes the mechanism the same way in its report on early 2021: buy-to-cover volume that raises the price and leads to further buying to cover. The ten cases below combine, in different doses, three ingredients: heavy short interest, few shares available to buy, and a trigger that surprises the shorts.

Anatomy of a short squeeze

TimePriceShorts pile inas the price fallsTriggerCoveringlifts price,forces moreForced buyers donePrice falls backOpen short positions (dashed)
Schematic, not market data. Each real squeeze has its own trigger, length and size.

The 10 squeezes at a glance

StockDateDocumented moveTriggerWho lost
Harlem Railroad1863From $10 a share to par, then shorts paid double their contract pricesOne buyer took all shares offeredSpeculators who sold for future delivery
Northern PacificMay 1901Shares sold at $1,000, ten times the price a week earlierTwo groups fighting for controlShort sellers, then the whole market in a panic
Piggly Wiggly1923From about $40 to above $120 a shareThe founder tried to corner his own stockThe founder, who lost millions
Reliance Industries1982About Rs 125 in March to about Rs 202 in AprilBuyers refused to postpone deliveryA bear syndicate short 11 lakh shares
VolkswagenOctober 2008€211 to more than €1,005 in two trading daysPorsche's takeover planShorts, with losses estimated above €20 billion
Herbalife2012 to 2018Shares more than doubled over five yearsShares rose instead of fallingA $1 billion short position
KaloBiosNovember 2015From about $1 to as high as $40A new majority holder stopped lending sharesShorts in a company that had announced its liquidation
Tesla2020Shares up 743% over the yearSustained buying, no single eventShorts, with a record $40.1 billion of mark-to-market losses
GameStopJanuary 2021Close up more than 1,600% from January 11 to January 27Retail buying and short coveringShort sellers such as Melvin Capital
AMC EntertainmentJanuary 2021Up 301.2% in one day on January 27The same meme stock waveShorts holding 11.4% of the float

1. Harlem Railroad, 1863

Cornelius Vanderbilt bought a large part of the New York and Harlem railroad, which took the stock from $10 a share to par. Speculators then sold it for future delivery, expecting the city to cancel a Broadway streetcar franchise and the price to collapse. Vanderbilt bought every share offered; the sellers could only deliver by paying him double the prices they had agreed. Vanderbilt died in 1877.

2. Northern Pacific, May 1901

From Monday, May 6, 1901, two camps, one backed by the Kuhn, Loeb bank and the other by the Morgan bank, bought Northern Pacific shares to win control of the railroad. Much of the stock they bought had been sold short. When the short sellers realized there were not enough shares to buy back, panic swept the Street: one broker sold 300 shares to a short at $1,000 each, ten times the price a week earlier. The two banks called a hasty truce that let the shorts settle at $150 a share.

Northern Pacific, May 1901: price per share

A week before the panicAbout $100Sale to a short during the panic$1,000Settlement price of the truce$150
Our computation; the inputs and the method are in the text. Source: American Heritage, Jacob Schiff and the Northern Pacific corner.The $1,000 sale and the $150 settlement are the published prices; the first bar is $1,000 divided by ten, since the source says the sale came at ten times the price of a week earlier.

3. Piggly Wiggly, 1923

Clarence Saunders, who opened the first Piggly Wiggly store in 1916, answered a bear campaign against his company's stock by trying to corner it. According to a 1929 Time account, he drove the price from about $40 to above $120 a share, until the exchange's governors ruled that a corner existed and suspended trading in the spring of 1923. With no market for his shares, the corner failed and cost him millions; he resigned from Piggly Wiggly and filed for bankruptcy. Saunders died in 1953. The case shows that the squeezer can lose too.

4. Reliance Industries, 1982

In 1982 a bear syndicate in Calcutta sold short 11 lakh Reliance shares, worth Rs 16 crore. Brokers allied with Reliance kept buying and, on the clearing day of April 30, refused to let the shorts postpone delivery, asking Rs 50 a share for any delay. The stock had risen from about Rs 125 in March to about Rs 202 in April, and the Bombay exchange had to close for two days.

5. Volkswagen, October 2008

On Sunday, October 26, 2008, Porsche announced a largely unexpected plan to take over Volkswagen. By selling cash-settled put options, it had, in the words of a Harvard Law School Forum analysis, "effectively insured more than 50% of the voting stock of VW" against falling prices. The free float shrank significantly, and short sellers found it increasingly difficult to buy shares to cover. The stock went from €211 at the Friday close to more than €1,005 on Tuesday, October 28, briefly making VW the most valuable listed company in the world, and short sellers' losses were estimated at more than €20 billion.

Porsche's own release that Sunday gave the numbers: 42.6% of the ordinary shares held and cash-settled options on another 31.5%, 74.1% in total. With the state of Lower Saxony's stake of more than 20%, less than 6% of the ordinary shares were left for everyone else, short sellers included. Our page on the infinity short squeeze follows that chain step by step.

Who held Volkswagen's ordinary shares after Porsche's disclosure

Volkswagen ordinary shares after the disclosurePorschesharesPorscheoptionsLowerSaxonyPorsche, shares and optionsEveryone else,short sellers includedWidths drawn to scale from the disclosed stakes
Schematic, not market data. Widths from Porsche's disclosure of late October and Lower Saxony's stated stake of more than a fifth.

Four of the first five cases give prices or multiples, not percentages, so the chart converts them: from €211 to €1,005 for Volkswagen, about $40 to above $120 for Piggly Wiggly, about Rs 125 to Rs 202 for Reliance, and ten times the price of a week earlier for the Northern Pacific sale at $1,000. Harlem Railroad has no price at the squeeze in our sources and gets no bar. The windows differ, from two sessions to two months, so the bars compare the size of each move, not its speed.

How far the price ran: the older squeezes

Northern Pacific, 1901, one saleAbout 900%Volkswagen, 2008, two sessionsAbout 376%Piggly Wiggly, 1923About 200%Reliance, 1982, March to AprilAbout 62%
Our computation; the inputs and the method are in the text.Rises computed from the prices or multiples published by American Heritage, the Harvard Law School Forum, Time (1929) and Outlook Business.

6. Herbalife, 2012 to 2018

On December 19, 2012, Bill Ackman's $1 billion bet against Herbalife became public, and he presented his case that it was a pyramid scheme the next day. Instead of falling, the stock climbed. Herbalife reached a $200 million settlement with the FTC in July 2016 that required it to restructure, but the shares kept rising. When Ackman almost entirely exited on February 28, 2018, the stock had more than doubled and hit a record $95.93. This was a slow squeeze: years of rising prices rather than a few days.

7. KaloBios, November 2015

On November 13, 2015, KaloBios said it would wind down and liquidate. A group led by Martin Shkreli then bought a majority stake and the shares rose from about $1 to as high as $40. On November 27, Shkreli said he would stop lending his shares to short sellers, and the stock jumped another 29% as shorts scrambled to cover. Shkreli later spent more than four years in prison for defrauding investors.

8. Tesla, 2020

Tesla shares rose 743% during 2020. According to S3 Partners, short sellers lost a record $40.1 billion on paper over the year, more than the combined short losses of the next nine companies. No single day caused it: the record came from a year of steady gains rather than a spike.

9. GameStop, January 2021

GameStop's short interest reached 122.97% of its float in January 2021. The price rose sharply from January 13, closed at a high of $347.51 on January 27, more than 1,600% above its January 11 close, reached an intraday high of $483.00 the next day, and the intraday price rose about 2,700% from January 8 to January 28 before falling more than 86% by early February. The SEC staff found that short covering contributed to some sharp rises, but concluded that it was "the positive sentiment, not the buying-to-cover" that sustained the rally. Melvin Capital, one of the short sellers, lost about $7 billion of capital that month; its story is on our list of the worst hedge fund losses.

The modern cases publish their moves as percentages: more than 1,600% for GameStop between the January 11 and January 27 closes, 301.2% in one day for AMC (SEC staff report), 743% over 2020 for Tesla (CNN, citing S3 Partners), and more than a doubling over five years for Herbalife (Fortune).

How far the price ran: the modern squeezes

GameStop, close Jan. 11 to Jan. 27, 2021More than 1,600%Tesla, calendar year 2020743%AMC, one day, January 27, 2021301.2%Herbalife, December 2012 to February 2018More than 100%
Values as published by the source below. Source: SEC staff report (GameStop, AMC), CNN citing S3 Partners (Tesla), Fortune (Herbalife), listed in the references below.KaloBios, from about $1 to as high as $40 in November 2015, is left out: its starting price is too rough to turn into a percentage.

10. AMC Entertainment, January 2021

AMC, the cinema chain, rose 301.2% in one day on January 27, 2021, a bigger one-day move than any GameStop session. Its short interest was only 11.4% of the float, which shows that a meme rally can lift a stock even without a large short position to squeeze. The SEC staff gives the usual range for comparison: short interest is often below 2.5% for large non-financial stocks and below 13% for small ones. On January 28 several brokers restricted purchases of AMC and GameStop.

Short interest as a percent of float, January 2021

GameStop122.97%AMC11.4%Typical small non-financial stockUsually under 13%Typical large non-financial stockUsually under 2.5%
Values as published by the source below. Source: SEC staff report on equity and options market structure conditions in early 2021.The two typical rows are upper bounds the SEC staff gives for most stocks, not measured values.

Signals the ten cases have in common

SignalSeen inHow to check it today
Short interest far above normalGameStop, Northern PacificShort interest as a percent of float and of shares outstanding
Small free floatVolkswagen, KaloBiosShares held by insiders, a parent company or locked in options
Shares hard to borrowKaloBios, GameStopBorrow fees and lender recalls
A trigger that surprises shortsVolkswagen, Reliance, KaloBiosTakeover news, delivery deadlines, new holders
Buying that keeps goingTesla, Herbalife, AMCVolume and price trend, not one-day spikes

For the mechanics, read our guides to short covering, the gamma squeeze driven by options hedging, the infinity short squeeze of the Volkswagen kind, and the mirror case of the long squeeze. The traders who stood on the right side of famous trades are profiled in our list of the most successful stock traders, and more market history is in our famous traders section.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between short interest and short float?

Short interest is the number of shares sold short. Expressed against the float, the shares actually available to trade, it gives the short float percentage; expressed against all shares outstanding, it gives a lower number. GameStop shows the gap: 122.97% of float in January 2021, against a high of 109.26% of shares outstanding on December 31, 2020, according to the SEC staff.

What does it mean when a stock has high short interest?

It means many investors are betting on a fall. The SEC staff notes that short interest is usually below 2.5% for large non-financial stocks and below 13% for small ones, and that few stocks ever exceed 50%. High short interest is a precondition for a squeeze, not a signal that one will happen.

Are short squeezes illegal?

A squeeze in itself is a market event: buying a heavily shorted stock is legal. What is illegal is market manipulation, which the SEC's investor site defines as artificially affecting the supply or demand for a security, for example by spreading false information. The SEC staff also notes that naked short selling used to manipulate a market is illegal.

When do short squeezes happen?

In the ten cases above, they followed a surprise that left shorts unable to buy back cheaply: a takeover plan (Volkswagen, 2008), a delivery deadline (Reliance, 1982), a new holder who stopped lending shares (KaloBios, 2015) or a wave of buying (GameStop and AMC, January 2021).

Sources

  1. SEC staff report on equity and options market structure conditions in early 2021 (October 14, 2021)
  2. Harvard Law School Forum, Evidence from the Volkswagen short squeeze (2021)
  3. American Heritage, Jacob Schiff and the Northern Pacific corner (1989)
  4. Appletons' Cyclopaedia of American Biography, Cornelius Vanderbilt
  5. Tennessee Encyclopedia, Clarence Saunders
  6. Time, Piggly Wiggly (February 25, 1929)
  7. Outlook Business, excerpt of India Before the Ambanis
  8. Herbalife, company statement regarding Ackman allegations (December 19, 2012)
  9. Fortune, Ackman ends Herbalife fight (2018)
  10. FTC, statement on the Herbalife settlement (July 15, 2016)
  11. The Motley Fool, KaloBios (November 27, 2015)
  12. CNN, Tesla short sellers lost $40 billion in 2020
  13. Investor.gov, Market manipulation
  14. Porsche SE, Porsche heads for domination agreement (October 26, 2008)
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