Famous tradersTrader profile
10 Biggest Short Squeezes in History, From 1863 to 2021
Ten documented short squeezes, from the Harlem Railroad to GameStop: the price move, the trigger, who lost, and the signals they share.
On this page
- What a short squeeze is
- The 10 squeezes at a glance
- 1. Harlem Railroad, 1863
- 2. Northern Pacific, May 1901
- 3. Piggly Wiggly, 1923
- 4. Reliance Industries, 1982
- 5. Volkswagen, October 2008
- 6. Herbalife, 2012 to 2018
- 7. KaloBios, November 2015
- 8. Tesla, 2020
- 9. GameStop, January 2021
- 10. AMC Entertainment, January 2021
- Signals the ten cases have in common
- Frequently asked questions
By price spike, the biggest short squeeze in history is Volkswagen in October 2008: after Porsche revealed its takeover plan, the shares jumped from €211 to more than €1,005 in two trading days and briefly made VW the most valuable listed company in the world. By money lost, Tesla shorts hold the record, with $40.1 billion of paper losses in 2020. GameStop in January 2021, when the close rose more than 1,600% in about two weeks, and Northern Pacific in May 1901, when shorts paid $1,000 a share, are the other landmark cases.
The ten cases below run from 1863 to 2021, in date order. For each one we give the documented price move, who was squeezed and how it ended, with the regulator, court, academic or press source behind every figure.
Ten short squeezes, 1863 to 2021
Harlem Railroad: shorts must pay Vanderbilt double their contract prices. Appletons' Cyclopaedia
Northern Pacific: shorts pay up to $1,000 a share before a truce at $150. American Heritage
Piggly Wiggly: the founder's attempt to corner the stock fails. Tennessee Encyclopedia
Reliance: buyers refuse to postpone delivery on clearing day. India Before the Ambanis, excerpt
Volkswagen trades above €1,005, up from €211 two sessions earlier. Harvard Law School Forum
Herbalife: a $1 billion short position becomes public. Herbalife statement
KaloBios jumps 29% as its new holder stops lending shares. The Motley Fool
Tesla rises 743%; shorts lose a record $40.1 billion on paper. CNN, via KTVZ
GameStop closes more than 1,600% above its January 11 close; AMC gains 301.2% in a day. SEC staff report
Several brokers restrict purchases of GameStop and AMC. SEC staff report
What a short squeeze is
A short seller borrows shares, sells them and hopes to buy them back cheaper. If the price rises instead, losses grow with no ceiling, margin calls arrive and some shorts buy to close their positions. That buying pushes the price higher, which forces more shorts to cover. The SEC staff describes the mechanism the same way in its report on early 2021: buy-to-cover volume that raises the price and leads to further buying to cover. The ten cases below combine, in different doses, three ingredients: heavy short interest, few shares available to buy, and a trigger that surprises the shorts.
Anatomy of a short squeeze
The 10 squeezes at a glance
| Stock | Date | Documented move | Trigger | Who lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlem Railroad | 1863 | From $10 a share to par, then shorts paid double their contract prices | One buyer took all shares offered | Speculators who sold for future delivery |
| Northern Pacific | May 1901 | Shares sold at $1,000, ten times the price a week earlier | Two groups fighting for control | Short sellers, then the whole market in a panic |
| Piggly Wiggly | 1923 | From about $40 to above $120 a share | The founder tried to corner his own stock | The founder, who lost millions |
| Reliance Industries | 1982 | About Rs 125 in March to about Rs 202 in April | Buyers refused to postpone delivery | A bear syndicate short 11 lakh shares |
| Volkswagen | October 2008 | €211 to more than €1,005 in two trading days | Porsche's takeover plan | Shorts, with losses estimated above €20 billion |
| Herbalife | 2012 to 2018 | Shares more than doubled over five years | Shares rose instead of falling | A $1 billion short position |
| KaloBios | November 2015 | From about $1 to as high as $40 | A new majority holder stopped lending shares | Shorts in a company that had announced its liquidation |
| Tesla | 2020 | Shares up 743% over the year | Sustained buying, no single event | Shorts, with a record $40.1 billion of mark-to-market losses |
| GameStop | January 2021 | Close up more than 1,600% from January 11 to January 27 | Retail buying and short covering | Short sellers such as Melvin Capital |
| AMC Entertainment | January 2021 | Up 301.2% in one day on January 27 | The same meme stock wave | Shorts holding 11.4% of the float |
1. Harlem Railroad, 1863
Cornelius Vanderbilt bought a large part of the New York and Harlem railroad, which took the stock from $10 a share to par. Speculators then sold it for future delivery, expecting the city to cancel a Broadway streetcar franchise and the price to collapse. Vanderbilt bought every share offered; the sellers could only deliver by paying him double the prices they had agreed. Vanderbilt died in 1877.
2. Northern Pacific, May 1901
From Monday, May 6, 1901, two camps, one backed by the Kuhn, Loeb bank and the other by the Morgan bank, bought Northern Pacific shares to win control of the railroad. Much of the stock they bought had been sold short. When the short sellers realized there were not enough shares to buy back, panic swept the Street: one broker sold 300 shares to a short at $1,000 each, ten times the price a week earlier. The two banks called a hasty truce that let the shorts settle at $150 a share.
Northern Pacific, May 1901: price per share
3. Piggly Wiggly, 1923
Clarence Saunders, who opened the first Piggly Wiggly store in 1916, answered a bear campaign against his company's stock by trying to corner it. According to a 1929 Time account, he drove the price from about $40 to above $120 a share, until the exchange's governors ruled that a corner existed and suspended trading in the spring of 1923. With no market for his shares, the corner failed and cost him millions; he resigned from Piggly Wiggly and filed for bankruptcy. Saunders died in 1953. The case shows that the squeezer can lose too.
4. Reliance Industries, 1982
In 1982 a bear syndicate in Calcutta sold short 11 lakh Reliance shares, worth Rs 16 crore. Brokers allied with Reliance kept buying and, on the clearing day of April 30, refused to let the shorts postpone delivery, asking Rs 50 a share for any delay. The stock had risen from about Rs 125 in March to about Rs 202 in April, and the Bombay exchange had to close for two days.
5. Volkswagen, October 2008
On Sunday, October 26, 2008, Porsche announced a largely unexpected plan to take over Volkswagen. By selling cash-settled put options, it had, in the words of a Harvard Law School Forum analysis, "effectively insured more than 50% of the voting stock of VW" against falling prices. The free float shrank significantly, and short sellers found it increasingly difficult to buy shares to cover. The stock went from €211 at the Friday close to more than €1,005 on Tuesday, October 28, briefly making VW the most valuable listed company in the world, and short sellers' losses were estimated at more than €20 billion.
Porsche's own release that Sunday gave the numbers: 42.6% of the ordinary shares held and cash-settled options on another 31.5%, 74.1% in total. With the state of Lower Saxony's stake of more than 20%, less than 6% of the ordinary shares were left for everyone else, short sellers included. Our page on the infinity short squeeze follows that chain step by step.
Who held Volkswagen's ordinary shares after Porsche's disclosure
Four of the first five cases give prices or multiples, not percentages, so the chart converts them: from €211 to €1,005 for Volkswagen, about $40 to above $120 for Piggly Wiggly, about Rs 125 to Rs 202 for Reliance, and ten times the price of a week earlier for the Northern Pacific sale at $1,000. Harlem Railroad has no price at the squeeze in our sources and gets no bar. The windows differ, from two sessions to two months, so the bars compare the size of each move, not its speed.
How far the price ran: the older squeezes
6. Herbalife, 2012 to 2018
On December 19, 2012, Bill Ackman's $1 billion bet against Herbalife became public, and he presented his case that it was a pyramid scheme the next day. Instead of falling, the stock climbed. Herbalife reached a $200 million settlement with the FTC in July 2016 that required it to restructure, but the shares kept rising. When Ackman almost entirely exited on February 28, 2018, the stock had more than doubled and hit a record $95.93. This was a slow squeeze: years of rising prices rather than a few days.
7. KaloBios, November 2015
On November 13, 2015, KaloBios said it would wind down and liquidate. A group led by Martin Shkreli then bought a majority stake and the shares rose from about $1 to as high as $40. On November 27, Shkreli said he would stop lending his shares to short sellers, and the stock jumped another 29% as shorts scrambled to cover. Shkreli later spent more than four years in prison for defrauding investors.
8. Tesla, 2020
Tesla shares rose 743% during 2020. According to S3 Partners, short sellers lost a record $40.1 billion on paper over the year, more than the combined short losses of the next nine companies. No single day caused it: the record came from a year of steady gains rather than a spike.
9. GameStop, January 2021
GameStop's short interest reached 122.97% of its float in January 2021. The price rose sharply from January 13, closed at a high of $347.51 on January 27, more than 1,600% above its January 11 close, reached an intraday high of $483.00 the next day, and the intraday price rose about 2,700% from January 8 to January 28 before falling more than 86% by early February. The SEC staff found that short covering contributed to some sharp rises, but concluded that it was "the positive sentiment, not the buying-to-cover" that sustained the rally. Melvin Capital, one of the short sellers, lost about $7 billion of capital that month; its story is on our list of the worst hedge fund losses.
The modern cases publish their moves as percentages: more than 1,600% for GameStop between the January 11 and January 27 closes, 301.2% in one day for AMC (SEC staff report), 743% over 2020 for Tesla (CNN, citing S3 Partners), and more than a doubling over five years for Herbalife (Fortune).
How far the price ran: the modern squeezes
10. AMC Entertainment, January 2021
AMC, the cinema chain, rose 301.2% in one day on January 27, 2021, a bigger one-day move than any GameStop session. Its short interest was only 11.4% of the float, which shows that a meme rally can lift a stock even without a large short position to squeeze. The SEC staff gives the usual range for comparison: short interest is often below 2.5% for large non-financial stocks and below 13% for small ones. On January 28 several brokers restricted purchases of AMC and GameStop.
Short interest as a percent of float, January 2021
Signals the ten cases have in common
| Signal | Seen in | How to check it today |
|---|---|---|
| Short interest far above normal | GameStop, Northern Pacific | Short interest as a percent of float and of shares outstanding |
| Small free float | Volkswagen, KaloBios | Shares held by insiders, a parent company or locked in options |
| Shares hard to borrow | KaloBios, GameStop | Borrow fees and lender recalls |
| A trigger that surprises shorts | Volkswagen, Reliance, KaloBios | Takeover news, delivery deadlines, new holders |
| Buying that keeps going | Tesla, Herbalife, AMC | Volume and price trend, not one-day spikes |
For the mechanics, read our guides to short covering, the gamma squeeze driven by options hedging, the infinity short squeeze of the Volkswagen kind, and the mirror case of the long squeeze. The traders who stood on the right side of famous trades are profiled in our list of the most successful stock traders, and more market history is in our famous traders section.
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between short interest and short float?
Short interest is the number of shares sold short. Expressed against the float, the shares actually available to trade, it gives the short float percentage; expressed against all shares outstanding, it gives a lower number. GameStop shows the gap: 122.97% of float in January 2021, against a high of 109.26% of shares outstanding on December 31, 2020, according to the SEC staff.
What does it mean when a stock has high short interest?
It means many investors are betting on a fall. The SEC staff notes that short interest is usually below 2.5% for large non-financial stocks and below 13% for small ones, and that few stocks ever exceed 50%. High short interest is a precondition for a squeeze, not a signal that one will happen.
Are short squeezes illegal?
A squeeze in itself is a market event: buying a heavily shorted stock is legal. What is illegal is market manipulation, which the SEC's investor site defines as artificially affecting the supply or demand for a security, for example by spreading false information. The SEC staff also notes that naked short selling used to manipulate a market is illegal.
When do short squeezes happen?
In the ten cases above, they followed a surprise that left shorts unable to buy back cheaply: a takeover plan (Volkswagen, 2008), a delivery deadline (Reliance, 1982), a new holder who stopped lending shares (KaloBios, 2015) or a wave of buying (GameStop and AMC, January 2021).
Sources
- SEC staff report on equity and options market structure conditions in early 2021 (October 14, 2021)
- Harvard Law School Forum, Evidence from the Volkswagen short squeeze (2021)
- American Heritage, Jacob Schiff and the Northern Pacific corner (1989)
- Appletons' Cyclopaedia of American Biography, Cornelius Vanderbilt
- Tennessee Encyclopedia, Clarence Saunders
- Time, Piggly Wiggly (February 25, 1929)
- Outlook Business, excerpt of India Before the Ambanis
- Herbalife, company statement regarding Ackman allegations (December 19, 2012)
- Fortune, Ackman ends Herbalife fight (2018)
- FTC, statement on the Herbalife settlement (July 15, 2016)
- The Motley Fool, KaloBios (November 27, 2015)
- CNN, Tesla short sellers lost $40 billion in 2020
- Investor.gov, Market manipulation
- Porsche SE, Porsche heads for domination agreement (October 26, 2008)
