{
 "id": "falling_three_methods",
 "name": "Falling three methods",
 "family": "candlestick",
 "direction": "bearish",
 "kind": "continuation",
 "page": "https://patternswizard.com/falling-rising-three-methods-candlestick-patterns/",
 "data": "https://patternswizard.com/data/patterns/falling_three_methods.json",
 "rule": "In a downtrend: a long black candle; three short candles drifting higher inside its range (the first and third white); a long black candle opening below the fourth close and closing below the first close. A long body is at least 1.3 times the average body of the 10 candles before the pattern and at least 0.6 times the largest of them.",
 "trade_rule": "Entry by an order at the trigger level, filled at the open when a bar opens beyond it. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open.",
 "generated_at": "2026-11-05T17:19:18+00:00",
 "code_version": "c2a1683f",
 "results": [
  {
   "market": "crypto",
   "tf": "1h",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 251,
   "symbols": 191,
   "first": "2018-04-04",
   "last": "2026-10-12",
   "win10": 0.43426295,
   "baseWin10": 0.50825649,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.00161123,
    "low": -0.00403585,
    "high": 0.00063377,
    "q": 0.55514914,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 209,
    "winRate": 0.24401914,
    "expectancyR": -0.23934219,
    "baseWinRate": 0.32296651,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.04563726,
    "timeoutRate": 0.02392344,
    "triggeredRate": 0.83665339,
    "invalidatedRate": 0.15139442,
    "hits": 51,
    "stops": 153,
    "triggered": 210
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     8,
     20,
     31
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     6,
     13,
     23
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     7,
     14,
     27
    ],
    "mfe_r": [
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     0.69960475,
     1.94565213
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.22875817,
    "bars_to_entry": [
     1,
     1,
     1
    ],
    "range_pct": [
     0.02642784,
     0.03603014,
     0.05048756
    ],
    "range_atr": [
     1.78035271,
     2.1420083,
     2.6154983
    ]
   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
    "baseFalseStartRate": null,
    "throwbackRate": null,
    "targetHitRate": null
   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 58491,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "crypto",
   "tf": "4h",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 70,
   "symbols": 61,
   "first": "2018-01-23",
   "last": "2026-08-12",
   "win10": 0.34285714,
   "baseWin10": 0.52180473,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": 0.00535541,
    "low": -0.00498814,
    "high": 0.01421022,
    "q": 0.66518049,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 49,
    "winRate": 0.2244898,
    "expectancyR": -0.28742486,
    "baseWinRate": 0.29340278,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.01909656,
    "timeoutRate": 0.06122449,
    "triggeredRate": 0.7,
    "invalidatedRate": 0.25714286,
    "hits": 11,
    "stops": 35,
    "triggered": 49
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     7.5,
     23,
     59
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     8.5,
     29,
     38
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     9,
     29,
     52
    ],
    "mfe_r": [
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     1.64081633
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.4,
    "bars_to_entry": [
     1,
     1,
     2
    ],
    "range_pct": [
     0.06060783,
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     0.12870757
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    "range_atr": [
     1.91461718,
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
    "baseFalseStartRate": null,
    "throwbackRate": null,
    "targetHitRate": null
   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 52447,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "crypto",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 11,
   "symbols": 11,
   "first": "2022-01-14",
   "last": "2026-10-12",
   "win10": 0.54545455,
   "baseWin10": 0.56635991,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.0092838,
    "low": -0.03919467,
    "high": 0.09265336,
    "q": null,
    "stable": false
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 9,
    "winRate": 0.55555556,
    "expectancyR": 0.66666667,
    "baseWinRate": 0.27777778,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.04958416,
    "timeoutRate": 0,
    "triggeredRate": 0.90909091,
    "invalidatedRate": 0.09090909,
    "hits": 5,
    "stops": 4,
    "triggered": 10
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     1,
     1,
     6
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     8,
     13,
     17.25
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     1,
     6,
     17
    ],
    "mfe_r": [
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     2.12108564
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.25,
    "bars_to_entry": [
     1,
     1,
     1
    ],
    "range_pct": [
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     0.19137114
    ],
    "range_atr": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
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    "throwbackRate": null,
    "targetHitRate": null
   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 54725,
   "verdict": "insufficient_data",
   "verdictTrade": "insufficient_data"
  },
  {
   "market": "stocks",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 64,
   "symbols": 64,
   "first": "2000-04-24",
   "last": "2026-10-19",
   "win10": 0.50793651,
   "baseWin10": 0.45988037,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": 0.0075249,
    "low": -0.01272067,
    "high": 0.02838797,
    "q": 0.79984506,
    "stable": false
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 56,
    "winRate": 0.23214286,
    "expectancyR": -0.28213721,
    "baseWinRate": 0.29315476,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.03496635,
    "timeoutRate": 0.03571429,
    "triggeredRate": 0.875,
    "invalidatedRate": 0.109375,
    "hits": 13,
    "stops": 41,
    "triggered": 56
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     7,
     17,
     24
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     7,
     13,
     23
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     7,
     13,
     25.25
    ],
    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.26829268,
    "bars_to_entry": [
     1,
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     2
    ],
    "range_pct": [
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     0.10699526
    ],
    "range_atr": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
    "baseFalseStartRate": null,
    "throwbackRate": null,
    "targetHitRate": null
   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 114364,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "etf",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 3,
   "symbols": 3,
   "first": "2010-02-04",
   "last": "2018-08-01",
   "win10": 0.33333333,
   "baseWin10": 0.42757585,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": 0.01158975,
    "low": null,
    "high": null,
    "q": null,
    "stable": false
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 3,
    "winRate": 0.33333333,
    "expectancyR": 0.21298675,
    "baseWinRate": 0.41666667,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.20057853,
    "timeoutRate": 0,
    "triggeredRate": 1,
    "invalidatedRate": 0,
    "hits": 1,
    "stops": 2,
    "triggered": 3
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     9,
     9,
     9
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     6,
     6,
     6
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     6,
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     7.5
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0,
    "bars_to_entry": [
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     1
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    "range_pct": [
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     0.03368213
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    "range_atr": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
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    "throwbackRate": null,
    "targetHitRate": null
   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 84512,
   "verdict": "insufficient_data",
   "verdictTrade": "insufficient_data"
  },
  {
   "market": "indices",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 4,
   "symbols": 4,
   "first": "2001-09-06",
   "last": "2010-02-04",
   "win10": 0.25,
   "baseWin10": 0.40567424,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.0251511,
    "low": null,
    "high": null,
    "q": null,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 4,
    "winRate": 0.5,
    "expectancyR": 0.48696011,
    "baseWinRate": 0.35416667,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.04730909,
    "timeoutRate": 0,
    "triggeredRate": 1,
    "invalidatedRate": 0,
    "hits": 2,
    "stops": 2,
    "triggered": 4
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     14.75,
     27.5,
     40.25
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     6,
     6,
     6
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     5,
     6,
     17.75
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0,
    "bars_to_entry": [
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     1
    ],
    "range_pct": [
     0.03536807,
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     0.03824465
    ],
    "range_atr": [
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    ]
   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
    "baseFalseStartRate": null,
    "throwbackRate": null,
    "targetHitRate": null
   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 34559,
   "verdict": "insufficient_data",
   "verdictTrade": "insufficient_data"
  },
  {
   "market": "all",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 82,
   "symbols": 82,
   "first": "2000-04-24",
   "last": "2026-10-19",
   "win10": 0.49382716,
   "baseWin10": 0.47046725,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": 0.00377916,
    "low": -0.0118354,
    "high": 0.01947356,
    "q": 0.87217946,
    "stable": false
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 72,
    "winRate": 0.29166667,
    "expectancyR": -0.10017893,
    "baseWinRate": 0.29976852,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.01001231,
    "timeoutRate": 0.02777778,
    "triggeredRate": 0.8902439,
    "invalidatedRate": 0.09756098,
    "hits": 21,
    "stops": 49,
    "triggered": 73
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     5,
     9,
     24
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     6,
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     18
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     6,
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.24489796,
    "bars_to_entry": [
     1,
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    ],
    "range_pct": [
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    "range_atr": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
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    "throwbackRate": null,
    "targetHitRate": null
   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 101379,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "crypto",
   "tf": "1w",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 2,
   "symbols": 2,
   "first": "2023-06-05",
   "last": "2024-07-29",
   "win10": 0,
   "baseWin10": 0.52491044,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.12754123,
    "low": null,
    "high": null,
    "q": null,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
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    "winRate": null,
    "expectancyR": null,
    "baseWinRate": null,
    "baseExpectancyR": null,
    "timeoutRate": null,
    "triggeredRate": 1,
    "invalidatedRate": 0,
    "hits": null,
    "stops": null,
    "triggered": 2
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_entry": [
     1,
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     1
    ],
    "range_pct": [
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     0.60254098
    ],
    "range_atr": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
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    "throwbackRate": null,
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   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 31680,
   "verdict": "insufficient_data",
   "verdictTrade": "insufficient_data"
  },
  {
   "market": "stocks",
   "tf": "1w",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 18,
   "symbols": 18,
   "first": "1994-06-20",
   "last": "2025-03-31",
   "win10": 0.11111111,
   "baseWin10": 0.44689746,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.10508165,
    "low": -0.20145998,
    "high": 0.03296043,
    "q": null,
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   },
   "trade": {
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    "winRate": 0.1,
    "expectancyR": -0.7,
    "baseWinRate": 0.14166667,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.3614967,
    "timeoutRate": 0,
    "triggeredRate": 0.66666667,
    "invalidatedRate": 0.33333333,
    "hits": 1,
    "stops": 9,
    "triggered": 12
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     28,
     28,
     28
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    "bars_to_stop": [
     9,
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     27
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    "bars_in_trade": [
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     17,
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.33333333,
    "bars_to_entry": [
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    "range_pct": [
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    "range_atr": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
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   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 76566,
   "verdict": "insufficient_data",
   "verdictTrade": "insufficient_data"
  },
  {
   "market": "indices",
   "tf": "1w",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 1,
   "symbols": 1,
   "first": "2002-09-30",
   "last": "2002-09-30",
   "win10": 1,
   "baseWin10": 0.45179487,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": 0.16875745,
    "low": null,
    "high": null,
    "q": null,
    "stable": false
   },
   "trade": {
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    "winRate": 0,
    "expectancyR": -1,
    "baseWinRate": 0.25,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.25,
    "timeoutRate": 0,
    "triggeredRate": 1,
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    "hits": 0,
    "stops": 1,
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   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": null,
    "bars_to_stop": [
     38,
     38,
     38
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     38,
     38,
     38
    ],
    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 1,
    "bars_to_entry": [
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    "range_pct": [
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    "range_atr": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
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   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 28169,
   "verdict": "insufficient_data",
   "verdictTrade": "insufficient_data"
  },
  {
   "market": "all",
   "tf": "1w",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 21,
   "symbols": 21,
   "first": "1994-06-20",
   "last": "2025-03-31",
   "win10": 0.14285714,
   "baseWin10": 0.45456048,
   "excess10": {
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    "low": -0.18126171,
    "high": 0.02326319,
    "q": null,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
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    "winRate": 0.09090909,
    "expectancyR": -0.72727273,
    "baseWinRate": 0.15151515,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.35136064,
    "timeoutRate": 0,
    "triggeredRate": 0.71428571,
    "invalidatedRate": 0.28571429,
    "hits": 1,
    "stops": 10,
    "triggered": 15
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     28,
     28,
     28
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     9.25,
     17,
     35.25
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     9.5,
     24,
     33
    ],
    "mfe_r": [
     0.70605263,
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     1.16402203
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.4,
    "bars_to_entry": [
     1,
     1,
     1
    ],
    "range_pct": [
     0.14497453,
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     0.48332354
    ],
    "range_atr": [
     1.63134074,
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": null,
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   },
   "confirmRate": null,
   "oneEveryBars": 69987,
   "verdict": "insufficient_data",
   "verdictTrade": "insufficient_data"
  }
 ],
 "attribution": "PatternsWizard (https://patternswizard.com/), pattern statistics",
 "license": {
  "name": "© PatternsWizard, all rights reserved",
  "url": "https://patternswizard.com/open-data/#license"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Historical statistics before fees and slippage. Not investment advice: past results do not predict future ones."
}