{
 "id": "dead_cat_bounce",
 "name": "Dead cat bounce",
 "family": "chart",
 "direction": "bearish",
 "page": "https://patternswizard.com/dead-cat-bounce/",
 "data": "https://patternswizard.com/data/patterns/dead_cat_bounce.json",
 "rule": "A sharp drop from a peak to a low, at least 4 ATR deep, falling at least 0.5 ATR per bar, then a bounce that retraces at most 50% of the drop and lasts at most 3 times as long as the drop. Confirmed by a close below the low of the drop. At least 3 bars between swing points. Stop at the top of the bounce.",
 "entry_rule": "Close below the low of the drop",
 "stop_rule": "At the top of the bounce",
 "trade_rule": "Entry at the close of the signal bar. Exit at the stop or the target, or at the open when a bar opens beyond either one; otherwise at the close after 100 bars. When one bar touches both the stop and the target, the loss is counted. No fees or slippage. A result above +2 R or below −1 R means a bar opened past the target or the stop, and the trade was closed at that open.",
 "generated_at": "2026-11-05T17:19:18+00:00",
 "code_version": "c2a1683f",
 "results": [
  {
   "market": "crypto",
   "tf": "1h",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 5340,
   "symbols": 561,
   "first": "2018-01-16",
   "last": "2026-10-27",
   "win10": 0.40187266,
   "baseWin10": 0.50718457,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": 0.00011088,
    "low": -0.00055614,
    "high": 0.00086878,
    "q": 0.91936516,
    "stable": false
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 5326,
    "winRate": 0.23957942,
    "expectancyR": -0.0598757,
    "baseWinRate": 0.25768244,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.00239465,
    "timeoutRate": 0.16316185,
    "triggeredRate": null,
    "invalidatedRate": null,
    "hits": 1276,
    "stops": 3181,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     13,
     27,
     52
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     10,
     19,
     36
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     12,
     27,
     67
    ],
    "mfe_r": [
     0.29825769,
     0.79438025,
     1.9259221
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.16064131,
    "duration": [
     17,
     22,
     28
    ],
    "height_pct": [
     0.02806292,
     0.03930929,
     0.05791924
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    "breakout_delay": [
     0,
     1,
     3
    ],
    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
     2,
     6,
     18
    ]
   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": 0.28930582,
    "baseFalseStartRate": 0.26579276,
    "throwbackRate": 0.53991754,
    "targetHitRate": 0.56590953
   },
   "confirmRate": 0.3871061,
   "oneEveryBars": 2749,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "forex",
   "tf": "1h",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 1463,
   "symbols": 25,
   "first": "2012-02-07",
   "last": "2026-10-22",
   "win10": 0.47058824,
   "baseWin10": 0.49195144,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.00017959,
    "low": -0.00040693,
    "high": 0.00004152,
    "q": 0.4375996,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 1461,
    "winRate": 0.26694045,
    "expectancyR": -0.04132639,
    "baseWinRate": 0.27817705,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.00825646,
    "timeoutRate": 0.11293634,
    "triggeredRate": null,
    "invalidatedRate": null,
    "hits": 390,
    "stops": 906,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     19,
     29.5,
     53
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     7,
     20,
     37
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     11,
     25,
     57
    ],
    "mfe_r": [
     0.30526316,
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     2.01364112
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.20750552,
    "duration": [
     19,
     24,
     28
    ],
    "height_pct": [
     0.00263638,
     0.00356873,
     0.00471086
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    "breakout_delay": [
     0,
     1,
     3
    ],
    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
     2,
     6,
     17
    ]
   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": 0.2844414,
    "baseFalseStartRate": 0.28702438,
    "throwbackRate": 0.52465753,
    "targetHitRate": 0.58550317
   },
   "confirmRate": 0.49901878,
   "oneEveryBars": 1483,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "all",
   "tf": "1h",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 6803,
   "symbols": 586,
   "first": "2012-02-07",
   "last": "2026-10-27",
   "win10": 0.41664216,
   "baseWin10": 0.50391041,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": 0.00004845,
    "low": -0.0004855,
    "high": 0.00060063,
    "q": 0.95626429,
    "stable": false
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 6787,
    "winRate": 0.24546928,
    "expectancyR": -0.05588269,
    "baseWinRate": 0.2620942,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.00010185,
    "timeoutRate": 0.15235008,
    "triggeredRate": null,
    "invalidatedRate": null,
    "hits": 1666,
    "stops": 4087,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     13,
     28,
     52
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     9,
     19,
     36
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     12,
     26,
     65
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    "mfe_r": [
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     1.96496493
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.1710301,
    "duration": [
     18,
     22,
     28
    ],
    "height_pct": [
     0.0162808,
     0.03315607,
     0.05128205
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    "breakout_delay": [
     0,
     1,
     3
    ],
    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
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     17
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": 0.28826042,
    "baseFalseStartRate": 0.27035867,
    "throwbackRate": 0.5366392,
    "targetHitRate": 0.57014607
   },
   "confirmRate": 0.39756794,
   "oneEveryBars": 2477,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "crypto",
   "tf": "4h",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 1162,
   "symbols": 445,
   "first": "2018-03-08",
   "last": "2026-10-28",
   "win10": 0.39568966,
   "baseWin10": 0.52293574,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.0046087,
    "low": -0.00835687,
    "high": -0.00022947,
    "q": 0.25442161,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 1128,
    "winRate": 0.23404255,
    "expectancyR": -0.03991591,
    "baseWinRate": 0.24977817,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.04735364,
    "timeoutRate": 0.17730496,
    "triggeredRate": null,
    "invalidatedRate": null,
    "hits": 264,
    "stops": 664,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     14,
     36,
     77
    ],
    "bars_to_stop": [
     9,
     19,
     38
    ],
    "bars_in_trade": [
     13,
     30,
     82
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.18373494,
    "duration": [
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     22,
     32
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    "height_pct": [
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     0.12389149
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    "breakout_delay": [
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     3
    ],
    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
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     24
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
    "falseStartRate": 0.29166667,
    "baseFalseStartRate": 0.26713999,
    "throwbackRate": 0.52086957,
    "targetHitRate": 0.58047493
   },
   "confirmRate": 0.36998499,
   "oneEveryBars": 3159,
   "verdict": "weak_evidence",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "forex",
   "tf": "4h",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 270,
   "symbols": 25,
   "first": "2012-02-29",
   "last": "2026-10-14",
   "win10": 0.47407407,
   "baseWin10": 0.49392439,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.00038043,
    "low": -0.00128814,
    "high": 0.00052356,
    "q": 0.76673247,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 269,
    "winRate": 0.2267658,
    "expectancyR": -0.1549644,
    "baseWinRate": 0.28407683,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.02201031,
    "timeoutRate": 0.12267658,
    "triggeredRate": null,
    "invalidatedRate": null,
    "hits": 61,
    "stops": 175,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     17,
     30,
     59
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    "bars_to_stop": [
     8,
     16,
     34.5
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    "bars_in_trade": [
     11,
     24,
     51
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.12571429,
    "duration": [
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     21,
     25
    ],
    "height_pct": [
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     0.01006321
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    "breakout_delay": [
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    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
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    "baseFalseStartRate": 0.30895062,
    "throwbackRate": 0.56296296,
    "targetHitRate": 0.52238806
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   "confirmRate": 0.5085034,
   "oneEveryBars": 1959,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "all",
   "tf": "4h",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 1432,
   "symbols": 470,
   "first": "2012-02-29",
   "last": "2026-10-28",
   "win10": 0.41048951,
   "baseWin10": 0.51745807,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.00381036,
    "low": -0.00673675,
    "high": -0.0004528,
    "q": 0.20804116,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 1397,
    "winRate": 0.23264137,
    "expectancyR": -0.06206912,
    "baseWinRate": 0.2563873,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.03398766,
    "timeoutRate": 0.16678597,
    "triggeredRate": null,
    "invalidatedRate": null,
    "hits": 325,
    "stops": 839,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     15,
     34,
     72
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    "bars_to_stop": [
     9,
     18,
     37
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    "bars_in_trade": [
     12,
     29,
     77
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.1716329,
    "duration": [
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     22,
     30
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    "height_pct": [
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    "breakout_delay": [
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    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
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    "throwbackRate": 0.52887324,
    "targetHitRate": 0.56939502
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   "confirmRate": 0.37768119,
   "oneEveryBars": 2933,
   "verdict": "weak_evidence",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "crypto",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 188,
   "symbols": 142,
   "first": "2018-06-22",
   "last": "2026-10-14",
   "win10": 0.55851064,
   "baseWin10": 0.56452438,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": 0.01798677,
    "low": 0.00014122,
    "high": 0.03513715,
    "q": 0.30978415,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 108,
    "winRate": 0.25,
    "expectancyR": 0.13052459,
    "baseWinRate": 0.16358025,
    "baseExpectancyR": 0.02619521,
    "timeoutRate": 0.22222222,
    "triggeredRate": null,
    "invalidatedRate": null,
    "hits": 27,
    "stops": 57,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
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     27,
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    "bars_to_stop": [
     15,
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     43
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    "bars_in_trade": [
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.19298246,
    "duration": [
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     31.5,
     54
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    "height_pct": [
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    "breakout_delay": [
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    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
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   "confirmRate": 0.36231298,
   "oneEveryBars": 3202,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "stocks",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 4045,
   "symbols": 1339,
   "first": "1974-06-27",
   "last": "2026-10-21",
   "win10": 0.45510759,
   "baseWin10": 0.45929401,
   "excess10": {
    "mean": -0.00156153,
    "low": -0.00430883,
    "high": 0.00120565,
    "q": 0.62351021,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
    "n": 3966,
    "winRate": 0.20852244,
    "expectancyR": -0.2311146,
    "baseWinRate": 0.21142209,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.20467718,
    "timeoutRate": 0.1132123,
    "triggeredRate": null,
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    "hits": 827,
    "stops": 2690,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
     12,
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     44
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    "bars_to_stop": [
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     36
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    "bars_in_trade": [
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.19144981,
    "duration": [
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     21,
     27
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    "height_pct": [
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    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
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   "confirmRate": 0.44786645,
   "oneEveryBars": 1809,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "etf",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 173,
   "symbols": 44,
   "first": "1999-12-08",
   "last": "2026-09-30",
   "win10": 0.35260116,
   "baseWin10": 0.4414575,
   "excess10": {
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    "high": 0.00462668,
    "q": 0.67305082,
    "stable": true
   },
   "trade": {
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    "winRate": 0.15789474,
    "expectancyR": -0.46413789,
    "baseWinRate": 0.26169591,
    "baseExpectancyR": -0.11500249,
    "timeoutRate": 0.06432749,
    "triggeredRate": null,
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    "hits": 27,
    "stops": 133,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
    "bars_to_target": [
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     33,
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    "bars_to_stop": [
     6,
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     28
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    "bars_in_trade": [
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "stopped_after_1r": 0.22556391,
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    "height_pct": [
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    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
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    "throwbackRate": 0.58381503,
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   "confirmRate": 0.59146341,
   "oneEveryBars": 1466,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "weak_evidence"
  },
  {
   "market": "indices",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 115,
   "symbols": 15,
   "first": "1981-09-03",
   "last": "2026-09-30",
   "win10": 0.36521739,
   "baseWin10": 0.42627701,
   "excess10": {
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    "q": 0.75607515,
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   },
   "trade": {
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    "winRate": 0.2,
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    "hits": 23,
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    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
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     5,
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     18
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    "bars_to_stop": [
     9,
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     38
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    "bars_in_trade": [
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     39
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    "mfe_r": [
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    "height_pct": [
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    "bars_to_pattern_target": [
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   },
   "breakoutStats": {
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    "throwbackRate": 0.53913043,
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   "confirmRate": 0.56872038,
   "oneEveryBars": 1202,
   "verdict": "no_edge",
   "verdictTrade": "no_edge"
  },
  {
   "market": "forex",
   "tf": "1d",
   "side": "all",
   "n": 32,
   "symbols": 21,
   "first": "2012-08-27",
   "last": "2025-11-19",
   "win10": 0.3125,
   "baseWin10": 0.49458009,
   "excess10": {
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   },
   "trade": {
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    "stops": 23,
    "triggered": null
   },
   "timing": {
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     16,
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    "bars_to_stop": [
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    "bars_in_trade": [
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     41
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    "mfe_r": [
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 ],
 "attribution": "PatternsWizard (https://patternswizard.com/), pattern statistics",
 "license": {
  "name": "© PatternsWizard, all rights reserved",
  "url": "https://patternswizard.com/open-data/#license"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Historical statistics before fees and slippage. Not investment advice: past results do not predict future ones."
}